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    Middle East
     May 10, 2007
COMMENT
Zugzwang, or, White to play and lose
By Allen Quicke

In chess there is a position called zugzwang. A player is in zugzwang when it is his turn to play but he has no good moves. Anything he does will worsen his position. Zugzwang translates from German as "compulsion to move", or "no-win situation", or "between a rock and a hard place".

Chess, as we all know, is a metaphor for geostrategy. It's a good one, as far as it goes. Obviously the real world contains shades of



gray, unlike the black and white of the chessboard. And chess is played according to rules, under which every move has calculable consequences and logical responses. That's why chess is said to be the only game in which the element of luck plays no part whatsoever - and why computers can be programmed to play and beat grand masters. In the real world, if one side can contrive to move a "knight" in a straight line and so confound his opponent, he will.

Still, zugzwang aptly describes the position in which the US finds itself in its "war on terror".

The US (White, of course) has no good moves left. It's too late now to regret the ongoing strategy of shock and awe, carnage and ruin, it shortsightedly employed in its onslaught to capture pieces and occupy territory. It's too late to try to repair the damage: White has run out of pieces, resources and time, and Black gives him no respite.

In such a dire position, what are White's options?

1. Move anyway
This tactic is known as "surging".

Surging merely prolongs the agony while keeping alive White's desperate hope that his opponent will make a horrendous blunder or fall off his chair and break his neck. If neither of these miracles comes to pass, or even if one does, White pays a heavy cost in terms of men lost, and he incurs the spectators' contempt for his inability to accept defeat when it's staring him in the face.

2. Play for time
There are many variations, including the "Toilet Gambit" (also known as "diplomatic engagement") and requesting a water refill ("staying the course").

This tactic has the benefit of increasing the chances of Black succumbing to a fatal heart attack before the game is over. Unfortunately, it also increases White's chances of a heart attack. The clock is ticking, and it's White's time that is running out.

3. Overturn the board and scatter the pieces
Also known as "nuking". Variations include throwing the clock at an opponent's head, or punching out the player at the adjoining table who has been thumbing his nose at you (the "Spengler Variation").

This cathartic tactic will give White a momentary rush of power and triumph, but ultimately it's utterly self-destructive. White will be set upon by players and spectators alike and consigned to the padded cell in the place where they keep chess geniuses and others who have gone off the rails.

And of course, White's match fee and sponsorship deals worth billions of barrels will be forfeit. The title of Global Superchampion will be up for grabs.

4. Resign
Also known as "withdrawal". The variation called "timetable for withdrawal" (with or without "benchmarks"), simply delays the inevitable, but may at least spare a player from misguided charges of "cutting and running".

This is White's least bad option. It is an admission of defeat, but it ends the squandering of men and resources. It avoids the ignominy of the checkmate that everybody can see coming. It suggests that White has grasped the situation and the fact that all other options are worse, that White can learn from the situation and avoid the same blunders in future.

And if White were to take it upon himself to mop up the blood on the floor, repair the shattered chessboard and nurse the shell-shocked pawns, he would even win respect and achieve what Grand Master Henry Kissinger hoped for but did not achieve: "withdrawal with honor".

Game over. But there is one thing White should still consider doing: retiring from the game altogether. He has played poorly for the past 50 years. Consider how he has got himself into zugzwang so soon after his debacle against Grand Master Ho Chi Minh. White should go home and attend to his own affairs. If he does, he will not be bothered by Black again.

Allen Quicke is Editor of atimes.com

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


Back to 'Saddam without a mustache' (May 9, '07)

The man who might save Iraq (May 5, '07)

What Muqtada wants (May 4, '07)

Masri: Dead or alive, the terror continues (May 3, '07)

Baghdad up close and personal (May 2, '07)

 
 



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