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    Middle East
     May 25, 2007
Page 2 of 2
A 'surge' in the wrong direction

By Julian Delasantellis

you get a practical illustration of just why the insurgency possesses as much "recuperative power" as Petraeus fears it does.

Besides the concern with disproportionate force, there are other counterinsurgency-policy prescriptions from FM 3-24 that are not being implemented. Petraeus and Amos recommend a 25:1 ratio of the civilian population to the counterinsurgency forces. Even with the "surge", the total coalition forces just in the Sunni areas



and Baghdad (let alone the threat from the Sadrists in the Shi'ite areas) are still short of this requirement by about half.

They also recommend getting the troops off and out of the huge US military "superbases" on the outskirts of the population centers and into smaller, police-station-type outposts in the cities. This is being attempted, but with US military forces stretched so thin from the demands of now four-plus years of repeated Iraq deployments, the full complement of troops will not be available to man the new local outposts until at least late summer - about the time that the advocates of the "surge" said last winter that it would end.

Many current and former members of the US military do not share the new conception of US military commanders as eternally infallible and omniscient. Representative of a growing chorus of dissent is an article in the current edition of Armed Forces Journal, a publication that describes itself as "the leading joint service monthly magazine for officers and leaders in the United States military community".

The article, "A failure in generalship", by US Army Lieutenant-Colonel Paul Yingling, a deputy commander of the 3rd Armored Cavalry Regiment and veteran of two combat tours in Iraq, is in essence a 4,500-word lament against US generalship in the Iraq war. In the current political environment, any anti-war civilian who spoke these same words would immediately be labeled a "defeatocrat" for "not supporting the troops". Here is an excerpt from Yingling's article:
For the second time in a generation, the United States faces the prospect of defeat at the hands of an insurgency. In April 1975, the US fled the Republic of Vietnam, abandoning our allies to their fate at the hands of North Vietnamese communists. In 2007, Iraq's grave and deteriorating condition offers diminishing hope for an American victory and portends risk of an even wider and more destructive regional war. These debacles are not attributable to individual failures, but rather to a crisis in an entire institution: America's general officer corps. America's generals have failed to prepare our armed forces for war and advise civilian authorities on the application of force to achieve the aims of policy.
In postings on Military Times (a sister publication and website of the Armed Forces Journal) discussion boards, you can read similar sentiments; what they lack in Yingling's erudition and eloquence they more than make up for with passion.

Commenting on Yingling, a poster identified as ENGSOC84 states:
I served a tour in Iraq and agree that the upper echelons are clueless on many levels. Examples include ignorance of the Middle East and for that matter foreign culture. The army tends to think that they live in the real world and everyone else is wrong. Lack of preparation for an insurgency. Training infantrymen to think on their feet and be able to use discretion when applying force just doesn't have the same appeal as building a new weapons system.
Another, Ridgerunner, states, "I agree with Yingling. The other night on the PBS's [US Public Broadcasting System's] NewsHour I watched the photos of 23 more US KIAs [soldiers killed in action]. Twenty-one were young enlisted men. The rank of the other two was lieutenant. That sums up the situation. The generals are out of touch."

Amazingly, many posters, possessing far more courage than the daily ever-meeker Democratic Party opposition, even feel that their service, either current or previous, allows them a license to criticize the president's Iraq policies vigorously.

One poster wrote, "There is no way that this [the 'surge'] can work becasuse [sic] there is no purpose for the US military being in Iraq other than this dumb-ass president and his gang of cavemen advisers being too cowardly to admit that THIS ENTIRE IRAQ POLICY WAS A DUMB IDEA IN THE FIRST PLACE."

One poster who definitely has not received the current administration talking-points about the requisite necessity of showering Petraeus with periodic panegyrics is army veteran Roger Simpson. He says, "These guys don't have a clue but they'd do anything for a command of their own. Petraeus is no different. He wanted that fourth star [the highest rank in the US military] and he agreed to do whatever CINC [commander-in-chief] Bush told him in order to get that star. Now he is up to his neck in crap and he smells to the high heavens."

One would hope that, both literally and figuratively, this is not true. Petraeus, with his Princeton University PhD, is certainly one of America's great military intellectuals - he certainly qualifies as one of "the best and brightest", as the late David Halberstam described the team of elite intellectuals who misguided the United States into the Vietnam War. Retired general and MSNBC analyst Barry McCaffrey calls him "the brilliant General Petraeus" so frequently you'd think that "brilliant" is his actual given name.

While agreeing to implement a plan, the "surge", that many of his military officer peers thought was folly, and then not objecting as the surge's supporters constructed a cult of personality around him, one hopes that hubris and a hunger for that fourth star has not so clouded his judgment that he accepts in practice operational battle tactics and conditions that as recently as last year he so decried in theory.

All evidence is to the contrary.

When victorious Roman generals received their triumphal parade through the streets of the city, a slave would stand on a chariot platform behind him whispering, "Memento mori" ("You are only a man") into his ear. The Roman Senate did not want its conquering heroes to get overly swollen heads and think they were gods; that was considered bad luck for Rome, and potentially terrible luck for the senators.

By making Petraeus into an unassailable figure of unquestionable perspicacity, a modern American military god, just to sell a dubious policy, the supporters of the "surge" are sowing the wind. If, with almost the entire complement of ready US ground forces now committed in Iraq, the surge turns out to be a disaster, a Dien Bien Phu-style flaming denouement to the ongoing and intensifying debacle that the Iraq misadventure has become, they, and the United States, will reap a frightful whirlwind in recompense.

Note
1. Why 21,500 wrongs won't make it right, Asia Times Online, January 12, 2007.

Julian Delasantellis is a management consultant, private investor and educator in international business in the US state of Washington. He can be reached at juliandelasantellis@yahoo.com.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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