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    Middle East
     Aug 28, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Playing politics with (and in) Iraq

By Sami Moubayed

Sunnis share in government and responsibility, they will also share in security of Iraq. Not all Ba'athists, the Sunnis claim, should be punished for the wrongdoings of Saddam. Many had joined the party either out of conviction in its Arab nationalistic ideology or, more frequently, because it was a guaranteed path to professional development in government and a military career.

That groundbreaking legislation, which is yet to see the light of day, along with investing in Aref's death, will also polish the prime



minister's image in the eyes of Iraq's Sunnis.

Remembering - or forgetting - Aref
Aref was one of the officers who engineered the revolution that toppled Iraq's pro-Western monarchy in 1958. The officers actually massacred the entire royal family, boy king, crown prince, royal chamberlains, women, children - even pets. For years, the date of the revolution - July 14 - was an official holiday in Baghdad. That holiday was canceled after the toppling of Saddam in 2003, and in theory so should have been all homage to its symbols, Aref included.

The former president became chief of staff after his brother Abdulsalam became president in 1963, killing Iraq's first dictator, Abdul-Karim Qasim. When Abdulsalam Aref died in a helicopter crash in 1966, his brother took over as president, staying in power until being toppled (while he was sleeping) by the Ba'ath and his own assistants, in 1968.

Democrats, in theory (as Maliki claims to be), would be opposed to his regime since it was a one-party military rule, an authoritarian system not very different from that of Saddam. It was actually a dictatorship without a dictator. Religiously driven politicians, as Maliki is, would also be opposed to him since he presided over a secular state and cracked down on political Islam during his years in power. The Ba'athists should also oppose him since he belonged to the pre-Ba'ath era.

The pro-American politicians should oppose him because he was a pro-Soviet leader (who actually had been ambassador to the Soviet Union before becoming president in 1966). The only parties who logically would mourn Aref would be his regime associates, who are now either dead or retired. Or the Kurds, with whom he had excellent relations.

This explains why Talabani was one of the first to offer condolences for the late president, saying he represented one of the "white pages" of Iraqi history. But Aref's era represented the heyday of military rule in Iraq where the military establishment, rather than one single officer like Saddam, was in control of political life of Iraq.

The soldiers got Aref to dismiss his reformist prime minister Abdul-Rahman al-Bazzaz, and replace him with an officer, Naji Talib. The powers given by Aref to officers, or his inability to control them, is what dragged Iraq into the humiliating Arab-Israeli war of 1967. Saddam, toppled by the Americans in 2003, is a product of the system laid out by Aref in the 1960s.

Had he been strong enough to survive and outsmart the Ba'athists in 1968, he probably would have remained in power until 2003. Aref was an exception among Iraqi leaders. While King Faysal II was shot, Abdul Karim Qasim was executed, Abdulsalam Aref died prematurely (or was killed), and Saddam was hanged, he is the only leader to lead a normal post-presidential life, and die respectably.

He died when a majority of Iraqis are digging for what remains of their sane and normal past - reminders of the pre-Saddam era. Everything under Saddam, and everything after him, has been horrible. A media stunt, which went by largely unnoticed, was a photograph published in the London-based Saudi daily Al-Hayat, which is critical of the Iran-backed Iraqi government of Maliki. It showed Aref at an official function with deputy Iraqi prime minister Tariq Aziz, who is currently languishing in a US jail, taken in 1999. Aref, after all, was friends with the Saddam regime, having returned to live in Baghdad in the early 1980s, with Saddam's direct blessing. The photo - if anything - showed the double standards of the current Iraqi government.

As Iraq's Sunnis were romanticizing about the era of their former president, a report was published in Al-Hayat saying that the number of Iraqi detainees in US prisons had risen from 19,000 to 24,000. Of that number, 85% are Sunnis (a total of 20,740). Another report released by the Associated Press said that the number of deaths per day had risen from 33 in 2006 to 62 in 2007. One thousand more people have been killed in violence during the first eight months of 2007 than in all of 2006.

This year, as of August, a total of 14,800 Iraqis have been killed. In 2006, the entire year had a death toll of only 13,811. Iraqi observers claim that most of the arrests, and deaths, have been in the Sunni community. Remembering Aref - despite his shortcomings - is certainly more rewarding to them than acknowledging their very difficult current reality. It actually is a direct response to this difficult reality.

Sami Moubayed is a Syrian political analyst.

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