THE ROVING EYE Real wimps go to Tehran via Baghdad
By Pepe Escobar
The new Holy Trinity mythology peddled by Washington to an unsuspecting world
is that the Libya war is over, the Iraq war will be over by New Year's Eve, and
the Afghan war will be over by 2014.
Oh yes; and Lindsay Lohan is a reincarnation of the Virgin Mary.
Let's focus on Iraq. There is one real reason for the United States troop
withdrawal in December; the Nuri al-Maliki government in Baghdad bluntly denied
blanket immunity from prosecution of war crimes to US soldiers. This implies,
crucially, the Maliki
government evicting the Pentagon from very convenient military bases in Iraq
out of which a strike on Iran could be conducted.
It's essential to remember that this Shi'ite-majority Iraqi government - which
inherited a totally devastated country - was arrived at via US-approved
democratic elections. Now that entails two poetic justice developments; a
democratic Iraq getting closer to the Islamic Republic of Iran; and democracy
expelling the militarized face of empire.
No wonder Washington is dazed and confused. Naturally the Pentagon, the Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA), the State Department and/or all of the above are
already working around the clock to come up with any number of mischief
scenarios.
Expect reams of think-tank Middle East "experts" suggesting a US withdrawal as
a diversionist tactic; the creation of a false flag/black ops gambit, such as
the suicide bombing of a Saudi ambassador (oops, already tried this one);
blaming the "terror" on Tehran; and then reshipping thousands of troops back to
keep Iraq "safe from terror".
Washington currently has fewer than 40,000 US troops in Iraq, down from an
all-time high of 170,000 in late 2007. For the moment, some 16,000 Americans
(the size of an army division), split between US diplomats and "civilian
contractors", aka weaponized mercenaries (8,000 of them, plus 4,500 "general
life support", aka the help) are supposed to be staying on in Iraq.
This mix of bureaucrats, CIA spooks, special forces and barely disguised slaves
will be the de facto US Secretary of State Hillary "We came, we saw, he died"
Clinton's private army.
Iraqi nationalist leader Muqtada al-Sadr has other ideas; he has already
announced that "they are all occupiers and resisting them after the end of the
agreement is an obligation". It's easy to do the math and infer the
consequences.
And they even stole our oil
If one pays attention to the Office of the Inspector General report number
ISP-I-09-30A, even this 16,000 army division figure is bogus. The report,
written in 2009, calls for a "significant rightsizing" (gotta love the
terminology) of the larger-than-the-Vatican US Embassy in Baghdad, aka
Clinton's palace; and stressed, "the rightsizing process has to begin
immediately."
Yet no matter how many "rightsized" US boots remain on Iraqi ground, still the
"how to nail Iran" gambit looms large. The key feature of the recent Justice
Department/Federal Bureau of Investigation/Drug Enforcement Agency "Fast and
Furious" plot (see
The Occupy Iran Fast and Furious plot (extended) Asia Times Online,
October 14) was not its implausibility; it was to hammer home that the Iranians
are evil entities who dare to disrespect the US by concocting all manner of
Hollywood suspension of disbelief schemes to spread "terror".
Then there's the alleged veneer of respectability added to the sub-standard
Hollywood shtick. Take a look at this Brookings Institution report, titled
"Which Path to Persia?" [1] and written by a bunch of usual suspects such as
Kenneth Pollack, Bruce Riedel, Michael O'Hanlon and Martin Indyk.
The record shows that Washington in fact has thrown almost everything in this
book at Iran. The only "strategy" missing is a unilateral Israeli strike (the
neo-conservatives are dying for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to go
for it) which would be met by an Iranian retaliation, thus dragging in the US
and opening up the possibility for a ground invasion (doomed from the start,
but why should these authors care?)
Predictably, the ideal scenario for these and other Beltway armchair warmongers
is for Tel Aviv to launch a sneak attack, with "retreating" US troops in Iraq
offered as bait/sacrificial victims for a vicious Iranian retaliation. There
couldn't be a more ideal pretext for dragging Washington into an uwinnable war
- all over again.
Yet the bottom line, which Washington neo-conservatives will never process, is
that the US lost the Iraq war, period.
There were no Saddam Hussein weapons of mass destruction, never. There was no
Saddam-al-Qaeda connection. There was no bombing the Middle East into democracy
because this was fabricated after the Shock and Awe fact; and although former
US vice president Dick Cheney had elevated Iraq's oil fields to the status of a
US national security priority in the early months of 2001, even before 9/11,
the US didn't get the oil; the best contracts went to the Russians and the
Chinese (see Iraq's
oil auction hits the jackpot Asia Times Online, December 16, 2009).
As for how Washington "reconstructed" the country it devastated, suffice to
read the painfully tragicomic account by former State Department insider Peter
van Buren. [2]
This all feels like the Frank Zappa hit The Torture Never Stops. After
the spectacular success of the cowardly North Atlantic Treaty Organization
operation in Libya, those same nullities who in 2002, in the run-up to the
attack on Iraq, were bragging that "real men go to Tehran", now want to use
Americans as bait for an Israeli attack - and this while US sanctions on Iran
are about to become a de facto blockade, which international law still deems as
an act of war.
In a less than ideal world, a rogue MQ-9 Reaper would put these armchair
warmongers out of their misery.
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