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    Middle East
     Nov 1, 2011


West's Spring lacks focus
By Dafydd Taylor

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

Beginning in Tunisia, 2011 has seen the large parts of the world convulsed by protest. The Middle East and North Africa, Europe and the United States have each witnessed challenges to existing power structures not seen in decades, in some cases centuries.

The protests have various proximate causes. In Egypt and Tunisia world commodity price movements causing inflation in markets for basic foodstuffs were significant. In southern Europe policies of austerity aimed at saving the Euro are fundamental.

In the United Kingdom and US decades of stagnation in real

 
wages for ordinary people coupled with fury at the financial system in general, and investment bankers in particular, have been prime motivators. Yet despite these differences there are also fundamental similarities.

The protesters are leadlerless. Some, for example in Syria (Hamza Ali al-Khateeb) and in Tunisia (Mohamed Bouazizi), are inspired by individuals. But these individuals are martyrs, not leaders.

This can be witnessed in the long and torturous policy discussions held at The "Occupy" protests in London and New York. The agenda of the protests is chaotic and poorly defined, but being leaderless also imparts a great strength. When a group has a leader, if that leader can be eliminated or discredited the protest is weakened. That is not a possibility with a leaderless protest.

These protests are also greatly aided by new technology. Communication is online, there is little by the way of great speeches, Twitter hastags being more significant. As the protesters are generally much younger than the elites which they oppose, greater use of new technology is inevitable.

Finally, the occupation of public space, taking over city center squares, remaining there day and night until some set of objectives can first be agreed, then attained, is the signature modus operandi. This form of protest may or may not be new, but it feels new. Both the protesters and the elites feel it is unprecedented.

That makes it as good as new. Since the industrial revolution, the Western world has been at the forefront of human development. In simple economic terms, in methods of production and communication. In the arts, in political and personal freedoms, thought and philosophy. Perhaps most importantly through European imperialism the West came to dominate the globe in a way no single cultural bloc had ever done before.

Much has been written about how China is set to become the world's dominant economic power, thus striking a blow against a keystone of Western dominance. This can hardly be denied. Much has also been written on the implications of the revolutions across the Middle east and North Africa, the Arab Spring.

One effect that has inspired rather less comment has been the spread of this type of protest to the West. Western media largely report the Occupy wall Street protest as the inspiration for other protest across the world. But this new form of protest took the ancient route out of the Arab world, through Spain.

Inspiring the young Spanish Indignados to occupy squares in cities across their country, before moving across the Atlantic to America. There is little, if anything, new in the "Occupy" protests that was not already present in Tahrir Square in Cairo.

While it is not correct to say nothing new has come out of the Arab world in recent times, it is a very long time indeed since the West has followed the Arab world. For all the bellicose rhetoric of Islamist fundamentalism, Osama bin Laden could scarcely dream of such success.

It has been noted the loss of compliant dictator allies in the Arab world could diminish Western influence. This change, however, represents not just renewed confidence amongst Arab nations, but a blow to Western intellectual and political leadership. The protesters may not acknowledge or even be aware of the leadership of the Arab spring.

That will not alter the facts. Some Wall Street protesters have remarked that there is greater freedom of assembly in Cairo than in New York. In London, they camp outside St Paul's Cathedral because protest at the Stock Exchange or the City is simply not permitted.

In North Africa the protesters have removed the dictators in Egypt and Tunisia. With the North Atlantic Treaty Organization acting as an auxiliary air force the regime in Libya has been annihilated. In Bahrain the protests were crushed with the support of troops from the Gulf Cooperation Council.

How successful they can be in the West remains a matter of conjecture. The extent to which the euro crisis is successfully managed must be of critical importance. As will the management of the ongoing financial and housing crisis in the US.

The quality of Western political leadership fails to inspire, in the European Union and on the Capitol in Washington individuals seem to prefer the political safety of deadlock to radical action. Yet while the Arab protester could cry out for democracy, those in the West are left with less inspiring rhetoric.

Perhaps the Western protesters need a form of inspiration more familiar to their Arab counterparts. If the authorities seek to make an example of some individuals in order to end the protests, they will create martyrs. That could be the factor which transforms the discontent into something more focussed and urgent.

I am no more inspired by the methods of the Western police in London and New York than I am by those of the politicians.

Dafydd Taylor is a UK-based political analyst.

(Copyright 2011 Dafydd Taylor.)

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing. Articles submitted for this section allow our readers to express their opinions and do not necessarily meet the same editorial standards of Asia Times Online's regular contributors.

 

 

 
 



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