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    Middle East
     Jan 28, 2012


Page 1 of 2
Looking into the Syrian abyss
By Derek Henry Flood

ANTAKYA, Hatay province southern Turkey - Five weeks before the beginning of Syria's unarmed uprising against the rule of President Bashar al-Assad, Turkish Prime Minister Recip Tayyip Erdogan and his Syrian counterpart Prime Minister Mohammad Naji Otri laid a symbolic cornerstone for the so-called "Friendship Dam" that was to help control the course of the Orontes River (known as the Asi River in Turkey) that flows through what has traditionally been - and is once again - a bitterly divided Levant region.

Otri declared to the state Syrian Arab News Agency that the dam would be "an important symbol on the edifice of the strategic relations" that would revive a long neglected border region that has

 

been littered with land mines for a lengthy party of its post-colonial existence.

Erdogan stated that the dam would help to foster a feeling of lost fraternity between Turkey and the Syrian Arab Republic.

Turkish-Syrian relations have a complicated history, and conflict over the water rights to the Euphrates River led to direct Syrian support of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) under the regime of Bashar's father, Hafez al-Assad. After a fiery speech by then-Turkish president Suleyman Demirel in Antakya near the end of the 1990s, Demirel gave a stern warning to Damascus to end Syrian irredentist claims on Turkey's Hatay province - once part of the French Mandate of Syria - and to end covert support for the PKK insurgency in Turkey's southeast, lest Syria face the wrath of the Turkish military.

From that point on, Turkish-Syrian relations began to slowly improve and continued apace until the outbreak of hostilities in Syria with the outset of the March 15 uprising last year.

After Ankara and Damascus had eliminated their reciprocal visa regimes for each other's nationals in order to strengthen cross-border trade, relations between the two countries were at a comparative all-time high.

Turkey's membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) throughout the Cold War and its partnership with Israel pitted it against a Soviet-aligned Syria. Damascus was also locked in an ideological and territorial dispute with the Israelis over the Golan Heights, meaning that Turkey's once Ottoman-era domain to its south became an enemy of sorts for much of the latter 20th century.


With the outbreak of violence in northern Syria's Idlib governorate in the spring and summer of 2011, cross-border Syrian tourist trade in Antakya's "Syria Bazaar" has come to a complete halt. In early December, Damascus suspended its free trade zone agreement with Turkey in reaction to economic and political sanctions announced by Ankara. Picture: Derek Henry Flood

Turkey's Foreign Minister Ahmet Davotglu has been busy implementing his rather idealistic "zero problems" foreign policy agenda in the region aimed at improving Turkish ties with several neighboring states. The rapid deterioration of Turkish-Israeli relations after the lethal 2010 raid by Israeli commandos on the Mavi Mamara flotilla that was en route to Gaza, led Turkey seemed to further intensify the concept of renewing stunted relationships in its immediate neighborhood.

This resulted in the bilateral Strategic Cooperation Council that was to hail a new era in the region. But when Syria began convulsing in the death throes of Nasserism that rocked the Arab world throughout 2011, Erdogan quickly cooled on Assad by the end of April when it became evident reprisal acts by that regime would not simply let up on their own.

The ongoing crisis in Syria has reignited old feuds. The border has been heavily militarized on the Syrian side since the influx of refugees - including a number of army defectors - from Jisr al-Shigour and the surrounding rural areas of the troubled Idlib governorate since a siege in early June.

As talk of a buffer or security zone has been bandied about in the international community, Assad has been very careful not to let the emergence of a Benghazi-like area along Syria's borders become a political reality. The maintenance of Syria's territorial integrity appears to be of the utmost priority for the regime's survival.

Asia Times Online sat down with a pair of opposition activists near the Syrian border who provided insight into the current situation in the northwestern regions of their country. They described the area along the border with Hatay province as a dead zone with almost no freedom of movement.

Manned by a combination of regular Syrian troops, brutal shabiha militiamen, and Syrian intelligence officers bent on protecting the regime, the border has now reportedly become one of the world's most dangerous no-go zones.

Asia Times Online was informed that almost no refugees had crossed into Turkey since high summer due to the presence of snipers dotted along a series of border outposts. The men said they were not yet categorized as refugees under Turkish law so as to keep their presence, along with several high level Syrian army defectors, as depoliticized in the region as possible.

Ankara does not want to be seen as providing a safe haven for Syrian rebels in order to keep cross border tensions at a minimum. But those who spoke to Asia Times Online did not seem too bothered by the predicament they faced under international humanitarian law as they believed they would naturally return to Syria once Assad met his fate one way or another. In that regard, they were fairly optimistic. That optimism, however, does not sync with a dictatorship that currently shows no signs of abandoning power.

The oppositionists described how they are operating a delicate humanitarian corridor along well-worn smuggling tracts to circumvent the rings of heavy security to bring medical supplies, satellite phones and tiny hidden cameras for their countrymen to document atrocities which can then be smuggled back out of Syria and uploaded onto Youtube and other social networking sites.

Though there has been a recent lifting of the ban on international media after pressure from the Arab league, it has mostly resulted in government-minded dog-and-pony show trips with a few exceptions.

The men based in Antakya showed Asia Times Online an array of devices used to clandestinely gather imagery to show the outside world what is taking place in their beleaguered country. They described vehicle mounted mobile technology imported from both Iran and Iraq that is being used to block social media sites and global satellite news networks inside Syria.

They claimed the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, tilted heavily toward Tehran after the US withdrawal, is fully backing Assad even in the face of a wider Arab consensus that he must leave power.

Shi'ite-majority Iraq has become an outlier in the Arab world in favoring the Iranian position on Syria in opposition to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states led by Qatar which are openly calling for Assad's ouster.

They stated Maliki had even turned over American-designed communications technology that was meant for the Baghdad government to Damascus to aid in its quelling of the rebellion.

Iranian technology has also been offloaded from Iranian naval vessels at the port of Latakia, an Alawite stronghold nearly midway between the Lebanese and Turkish borders.

The Iranians have delivered huge shipments of non-lethal crowd suppressing equipment such as batons, tear gas and riot gear. In comparison, Muammar Gaddafi was rather isolated as Libya and was flanked by the weak, revolutionary states of Tunisia and Egypt. 

Continued 1 2  


Cracks widen in Syrian economy
(Jan 26, '12)

Arab observer calls Syria mission a 'farce' (Jan 12, '12)


1.
US-Iran: A long game with pitfalls

2. The crash and burn of drone warfare

3. An alternative to war

4. Sanctions aimed at averting wider conflict

5. US probe hardens Pakistani suspicions

6. All that glitters is ... oil

7. The myth of an "isolated' Iran

8. New battlelines in Thailand

9. Weapons 'R' Us

10. Southern gas corridor grows more complex

(24 hours to 11:59pm ET, Jan 26, 2012)

 
 



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