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    Middle East
     Feb 22, 2012


Cyprus, Israel explore gas link
By Robert M Cutler

MONTREAL - Israel and the Republic of Cyprus moved closer in their cooperation on development of undersea gas deposits in their respective exclusive economic zones last week with the visit of Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to Nicosia.

Netanyahu's visit, the historic first of an Israeli leader to the Republic of Cyprus, marked further evolution of the rapprochement between the two states, with cooperation in the agriculture, tourism and science sectors also on the agenda.

The Eastern Mediterranean Sea is considered to be a generally underexplored energy province. The Cypriot and Israeli strikes all fall within the perimeter of the greater Levant Basin, a triangular salient of the sea between the two countries that may hold, according to an estimate by the US Geological Survey, as much

 

as 3.4 trillion cubic meters of natural gas and 1.7 million barrels of gas condensate.

The lead company in both the Cypriot and Israeli consortia that have made separate strikes is the same, the US-based Noble Energy.

The two countries "are looking at the possibility - we haven't taken a decision - about a 40-kilometer pipeline between the two findings" off their respective coasts, Netanyahu told a joint press conference with Cypriot President Demetris Christofias, as quoted by Bloomberg News. Netanyahu further indicated that the gas could be liquefied in either Cyprus or Israel and then exported either to Europe (through Cyprus) or to Asia (through Israel).

A two-month joint study has been launched to find the best ways to translate the intention to cooperate into a pragmatic plan for substantive economic cooperation. It will lead in the first instance to agreements on the demarcation, usage and exploitation of resources by each of the two sides.

Netanyahu, in reference to the possibility that such energy projects might in future be scaled up in size, said "a regional approach perhaps beginning with cooperation between Cyprus and Israel could extend to others if they chose to enter it". Agence France-Presse reported.

Netanyahu's visit follows by less than a month a business forum that brought entrepreneurs from Cyprus and Israel together in Tel Aviv to discuss their common interest in the latest developments in gas exploration developments. Representatives of the real estate and tourism sectors in Israel also attended.

In December 2011, Noble announced that it has found probably between 180 billion and 285 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas in Block 12 of Cyprus' exclusive economic zone (EEZ). This is reportedly to be enough to supply the island's domestic consumption for over two centuries.

Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is for geo-economic reasons likelier than pipelines to promote exports, but the Cypriot deposit is not quite big enough to make that worthwhile, so cooperation is possible involving nearby strikes in the Israeli EEZ in the Eastern Mediterranean. In particular, the Leviathan deposit there is estimated to hold 700 bcm of gas plus 4.2 billion barrels of oil.

The once-united Cyprus has been divided into a Greek Cypriot south and a Turkish Cypriot ever since 1974, when Turkish military landed on the island in response to the attempt by Greek Cypriot officers to unite Cyprus with the Greek mainland by overthrowing the country's president Archbishop Makarios, primate of the autocephalous Cypriot Orthodox Church and ethnarch of the Greek Cypriots.

Since then, the immigration of thousand of poor peasants from the Anatolian mainland has definitively altered the culture of the island's Turkish-speaking population in the north of the island and complicated the politics of reunification.

Cyprus is a member of the European Union, but the EU does not recognize the authority in the northern third of the island, which styles itself the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus and is recognized only by Ankara. The EU officially recognizes the sovereignty of the government in Nicosia over the whole of the island although its law can be enforced only in the south.

Soon after the Greek Cypriot administration began exploratory drilling in September 2011, Turkey signed an oil and gas exploration agreement with the Turkish Cypriot administration and sent a seismic research ship into the area in preparation for drilling with a military escort.

The press sometimes erroneously reports that Lebanon claims a piece of the action. While some Lebanese political figures made threatening statements against Israel over the resource development a few years ago, Lebanon officially and formally indicated in August 2010 that it considers the Leviathan gas field to be fully within Israel's EEZ.

Greek-Israeli relations began to improve in the late 1990s, but their recent marked amelioration (as well as that of Cypriot-Israeli relations) is the natural result of Turkey's degradation under Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan of its own relations with Israel. Netanyahu and then-Greek prime minister George Papandreou exchanged visits in summer 2010. In late summer 2011, their two countries signed a mutual defense agreement in addition to an accord on oil and gas exploration in the waters around Cyprus.

Dr Robert M Cutler (http://www.robertcutler.org), educated at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and The University of Michigan, has researched and taught at universities in the United States, Canada, France, Switzerland, and Russia. Now senior research fellow in the Institute of European, Russian and Eurasian Studies, Carleton University, Canada, he also consults privately in a variety of fields.

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