THE ROVING
EYE Is
Bibi the Bully wagging the American
dog? By Pepe Escobar
Even before their fateful encounter at the
White House this Monday, US President Barack Obama
made it clear, on the record, that Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu wouldn't face
him down.
Or did he?
No matter
what the rhetorical gymnastics performed by Obama,
a case can be made that Bibi the Bully wags the
American dog full-time. Worse; the Likud-dominated
Israeli administration, single-handedly, is
playing with dispatching vast spheres of the
global economy into total depression, as its
hysterics progressively hurl oil prices towards
the stratosphere.
The world is a hostage
of Israel's whims even as the 120-plus members of
the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) support Iran's right
to enrich uranium and
BRICS members Russia, China and India, as well as
Turkey, dismiss the US and the EU's oil embargo -
a true declaration of economic war - on Iran.
The American Israel Public Affairs
Committee (AIPAC) get-together in Washington takes
place in an intimidating, cavernous Colosseum
where the wealthy crowd ululates in unison for
Iranian blood. A passable tactician but a lousy
strategist, Bibi the Bully's only game in town is
"Bomb Iran".
This is justified by the
"existential threat" posed by non-nuclear Iran to
a nuclear-armed garrison state/settler colony that
is literally, graphically wiping a whole people
(the Palestinians) off the map.
Still one
more proof of the "existential threat" fallacy was
provided last week by Iran's Supreme Leader
himself, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, even before the
absolute victory of his supporters in Friday's
parliamentary elections - which effectively turned
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad into a lame duck.
Khamenei's words must be reproduced again
and again and again - because the baying-for-blood
US corporate media simply won't do it.
He
said, "The Iranian nation has never pursued and
will never pursue nuclear weapons. There is no
doubt that the decision makers in the countries
opposing us know well that Iran is not after
nuclear weapons because the Islamic Republic,
logically, religiously and theoretically,
considers the possession of nuclear weapons a
grave sin and believes the proliferation of such
weapons is senseless, destructive and dangerous."
Mr president, tear down this wall
Yet once again, the graphic proof that
Israel exercises virtual complete control of US
foreign policy was the sight of an American
president defensively addressing the AIPAC
Colosseum. Apart from a festival of Orwellian
intimations, to his credit at least Obama
emphasized the word "diplomacy", did not specify
any "red lines", nor endorsed the mere
"capability" of Iran to build a nuclear weapon as
a casus belli. After all, he knows he already has
more American Jewish voters in the bag than among
the US electorate as a whole.
But
ultimately Obama did cave in to Bibi the Bully -
as the rhetoric was not unlike Tony Soprano's and
the ominous "military component" remained very
much on the table.
Still, Bibi the Bully -
mimicking his voracity in devouring Palestinian
land - wants more.
Whatever route they
take - overflying Syria and Turkey, and even if
they hit the crucial targets of Natanz, Arak,
Isfahan and Fordow - Israel's Jericho missiles
have zero chances of paralyzing, not to mention
destroying, the complex decision apparatus of the
Islamic Republic. Forget about "humiliation" and
regime change. Even Major General Amos Gilad, head
of the Israeli Defense Ministry's
Diplomatic-Security Bureau, acknowledged last
October that Israel cannot win. That's why Bibi
the Bully badly wants to extract a formal promise
that the US will do the dirty work.
According to a recent poll in Israel, 34%
are against bombing Iran. But 42% are in favor if
the US is at least supporting it. How sweet it is
to enrol a superpower to fight your fictional
"existential threats".
Bibi the Bully
badly wants a Republican to take out Obama in
November. Obama knows he can't be defeated by King
of Flip Flop Mitt Romney or Ayatollah Rick
Santorum. But he can be defeated by the proverbial
US gas pump. The problem is, submitting or not to
Bibi the Bully's absolutist demands, oil prices go
up; they have already have by 20%, and this growth
may reach 50% or more if speculators deem an
attack imminent.
Tehran may hold the key
to defuse the whole psychodrama - and the demented
speculation on oil prices. By late March or early
April, with his authority immensely strengthened,
negotiators on behalf of Ayatollah Khamenei will
be back on the table discussing the nuclear
dossier with the P5+1 - US, France, Britain,
Russia and China, plus Germany.
Obama
himself may also hold the key. He could pull a
Nixon - as in going to China to meet Mao in 1972 -
and offer a face-to-face to Khamenei. The
industrial-military-media complex, Big Oil, the
Israeli firsters and especially Bibi the Bully
will be seeing all shades of red. But it does take
balls to really earn a Nobel Peace Prize. Obama,
will you tear down this wall (of mistrust)?
This is the section of Obama's speech at
AIPAC centered on Iran:
Today there is no doubt - anywhere
in the world - that the United States will
insist upon Israel's security and legitimacy.
That will also be true as we continue our
efforts to our pursuit of peace. And that will
be true when it comes to the issue that is such
a focus for all of us today: Iran's nuclear
program - a threat that has the potential to
bring together the worst rhetoric about Israel's
destruction with the world's most dangerous
weapons.
Let's begin with a basic truth
that you all understand: no Israeli government
can tolerate a nuclear weapon in the hands of a
regime that denies the Holocaust, threatens to
wipe Israel off the map, and sponsors terrorist
groups committed to Israel's destruction. And so
I understand the profound historical obligation
that weighs on the shoulders of Bibi Netanyahu,
Ehud Barak, and all of Israel's leaders.
A nuclear-armed Iran is completely
counter to Israel's security interests. But it
is also counter to the national security
interests of the United States. Indeed, the
entire world has an interest in preventing Iran
from acquiring a nuclear weapon. A nuclear-armed
Iran would thoroughly undermine the
non-proliferation regime that we have done so
much to build. There are risks that an Iranian
nuclear weapon could fall into the hands of a
terrorist organization. It is almost certain
that others in the region would feel compelled
to get their own nuclear weapon, triggering an
arms race in one of the most volatile regions in
the world. It would embolden a regime that has
brutalized its own people, and it would embolden
Iran's proxies, who have carried out terrorist
attacks from the Levant to southwest Asia.
That is why, four years ago, I made a
commitment to the American people, and said that
we would use all elements of American power to
pressure Iran and prevent it from acquiring a
nuclear weapon. That is what we have done.
When I took office, the efforts to apply
pressure on Iran were in tatters. Iran had gone
from zero centrifuges spinning to thousands,
without facing broad pushback from the world. In
the region, Iran was ascendant - increasingly
popular, and extending its reach. In other
words, the Iranian leadership was united and on
the move, and the international community was
divided about how to go forward.
And so
from my first months in office, we put forward a
very clear choice to the Iranian regime: a path
that would allow them to rejoin the community of
nations if they meet their international
obligations, or a path that leads to an
escalating series of consequences if they don't.
In fact, our policy of engagement - quickly
rebuffed by the Iranian regime - allowed us to
rally the international community as never
before; to expose Iran's intransigence; and to
apply pressure that goes far beyond anything
that the United States could do on our own.
Because of our efforts, Iran is under
greater pressure than ever before. People
predicted that Russia and China wouldn't join us
in moving toward pressure. They did, and in 2010
the UN Security Council overwhelmingly supported
a comprehensive sanctions effort. Few thought
that sanctions could have an immediate bite on
the Iranian regime. They have, slowing the
Iranian nuclear program and virtually grinding
the Iranian economy to a halt in 2011. Many
questioned whether we could hold our coalition
together as we moved against Iran's Central Bank
and oil exports. But our friends in Europe and
Asia and elsewhere are joining us. And in 2012,
the Iranian government faces the prospect of
even more crippling sanctions.
That is
where we are today. Iran is isolated, its
leadership divided and under pressure. And the
Arab Spring has only increased these trends, as
the hypocrisy of the Iranian regime is exposed,
and its ally - the Assad regime - is crumbling.
Of course, so long as Iran fails to meet
its obligations, this problem remains unsolved.
The effective implementation of our policy is
not enough - we must accomplish our objective.
In that effort, I firmly believe that an
opportunity remains for diplomacy - backed by
pressure - to succeed. The United States and
Israel both assess that Iran does not yet have a
nuclear weapon, and we are exceedingly vigilant
in monitoring their program. Now, the
international community has a responsibility to
use the time and space that exists. Sanctions
are continuing to increase, and this July -
thanks to our diplomatic coordination - a
European ban on Iranian oil imports will take
hold. Faced with these increasingly dire
consequences, Iran's leaders still have the
opportunity to make the right decision. They can
choose a path that brings them back into the
community of nations, or they can continue down
a dead end.
Given their history, there
are of course no guarantees that the Iranian
regime will make the right choice. But both
Israel and the United States have an interest in
seeing this challenge resolved diplomatically.
After all, the only way to truly solve this
problem is for the Iranian government to make a
decision to forsake nuclear weapons. That's what
history tells us.
Moreover, as President
and Commander-in-Chief, I have a deeply held
preference for peace over war. I have sent men
and women into harm's way. I have seen the
consequences of those decisions in the eyes of
those I meet who have come back gravely wounded,
and the absence of those who don't make it home.
Long after I leave this office, I will remember
those moments as the most searing of my
presidency. For this reason, as part of my
solemn obligation to the American people, I only
use force when the time and circumstances demand
it. And I know that Israeli leaders also know
all too well the costs and consequences of war,
even as they recognize their obligation to
defend their country.
We all prefer to
resolve this issue diplomatically. Having said
that, Iran's leaders should have no doubt about
the resolve of the United States, just as they
should not doubt Israel's sovereign right to
make its own decisions about what is required to
meet its security needs. I have said that when
it comes to preventing Iran from obtaining a
nuclear weapon, I will take no options off the
table, and I mean what I say. That includes all
elements of American power. A political effort
aimed at isolating Iran; a diplomatic effort to
sustain our coalition and ensure that the
Iranian program is monitored; an economic effort
to impose crippling sanctions; and, yes, a
military effort to be prepared for any
contingency.
Iran's leaders should know
that I do not have a policy of containment; I
have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a
nuclear weapon. And as I've made clear time and
again during the course of my presidency, I will
not hesitate to use force when it is necessary
to defend the United States and its interests.
Moving forward, I would ask that we all
remember the weightiness of these issues; the
stakes involved for Israel, for America, and for
the world. Already, there is too much loose talk
of war. Over the last few weeks, such talk has
only benefited the Iranian government, by
driving up the price of oil, which they depend
upon to fund their nuclear program. For the sake
of Israel's security, America's security, and
the peace and security of the world, now is not
the time for bluster; now is the time to let our
increased pressure sink in, and to sustain the
broad international coalition that we have
built. Now is the time to heed that timeless
advice from Teddy Roosevelt: speak softly, but
carry a big stick. As we do, rest assured that
the Iranian government will know our resolve,
and that our coordination with Israel will
continue. "
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