Wanted: A new
Saddam
The more repressive Washington acts in Iraq, the more unpopular it becomes -
and the more the Shi'ite majority bolsters the ranks of the armed resistance.
And it becomes more unlikely that even the emergence of a Saddam Hussein-like
dictator would be able to hold things together. But maybe this is the logic of
total war. (Apr 14, '04)
One year on:
From liberation to jihad
Shi'ite leader Muqtada al-Sadr finds echo in Iraq when he compares US proconsul
L Paul Bremer to Saddam Hussein. He also finds resonance in the Arab world when
he aligns himself with Hamas - predominantly Sunni - and Hezbollah -
predominantly Shi'ite. And in the mosques, the calls are for jihad.
(Apr 8, '04)
9-11 AND THE
SMOKING GUN
Part 1:
'Independent' commission
Given the less than independent leanings of some of the members of the 9-11
Commission, it is expected that it will keep rolling a huge data bank of
unconnected "intelligence failures" and instances of lack of dialogue among the
country's agencies, while the real lapses will go unchallenged, Pepe Escobar
writes in the first article of a two-part report. (Apr
6, '04)
9-11 AND THE SMOKING GUN
Part
2: A real smoking gun
Beyond all the side issues, what people want to know about September 11 is what really
happened on that fateful day. Yet the 9-11 Commission is not asking the hard
questions. In the second part of a two-part report, Pepe Escobar
raises the questions that need be asked, and they start with Pakistan.
(Apr 7, '04)
Road
map to hell
The cycle of violence in the Middle East continues with the
assassination by Israel of Hamas spritual leader Sheikh Yassin, but it has
moved up a notch. Israel, apparently, has signalled its determination to go to
war, not only against all Palestinians, but against all Islam.
(Mar 26, '04)
The al-Zawahiri fiasco
Despite confident official claims, the
thousands of troops dispatched to Pakistan's tribal areas have failed to find
"high-value target" Ayman al-Zawahiri, the al-Qaeda number two. What they have
found, though, is fierce resistance from local tribesmen who owe far greater
allegiance to other such "targets" than they do to Islamabad.
(Mar 23, '04)
The
emergence of hyperterrorism
In the wake of last week's bombing in Madrid,
Europe is afraid. According to Brussels intelligence estimates, there may be an
invisible army of up to 30,000 "holy warriors" spread around the world. How to
stop them? There's no possible diplomacy, no target to attack. Al-Qaeda is not
a Joint Chiefs of Staff: it is an idea.
(Mar 16, '04)
Who's behind
Spain's 3-11?
Thursday's Madrid train bombings don't fit the modus operandi of the
obvious suspect, the Basque ETA separatist group. On the other hand, Spain,
which has troops in Iraq and Afghanistan, had been warned by al-Qaeda's highest
leadership that it was a target for terrorism. After the initial - official -
rush to blame ETA, doubts are emerging thick and fast.
(Mar 12, '04)
Iraq: The civil war bogy
Even though Shi'ites are not blaming Sunnis or Kurds for the attacks on their
numbers last week, the Coalition Provisional Authority and the Iraqi Governing
Council, by insisting on playing the "civil war" card, have touched a raw nerve
that might yet help them get their way in the country. (Mar
10, '04)
Get Osama - but where, and when?
He's here, there and everywhere according to which reports one chooses to
believe, the latest of which place Osama bin Laden in Pakistan's South
Waziristan and close to capture. But even if he is caught any time soon, will
the world ever get to hear of it, given that the US presidential elections are
still eight months away? (Mar 4, '04)
A constitution drenched in blood
Any jubilation generated by the Iraqi Governing Council
finally agreeing on a draft constitution quickly evaporated with the multiple
attacks on Shi'ites in Baghdad and Karbala. Now the mood is one of deep gloom,
and equally deep fear that the aspirations of the Iraqi people will be
determined in blood, not parchment. (Mar 3, '04)
Bring me the head of Osama bin
Laden
Amid the hive of military activity on the border between
Afghanistan and Pakistan, the United States's chief headhunter for Osama bin
Laden, fresh from nailing Saddam Hussein, is in position to make the ultimate
catch. But what if bin Laden doesn't play ball? (Feb
25, '04)
Holdup at the ballot box
The timetable in Afghanistan for any sort of election - presidential or
parliamentary - by the end of June favors the Bush administration, which would
like to leave the country as quickly as possible. But where weapons rather than
political policies hold sway, Afghanis are highly unlikely to be casting their
votes on time. (Feb 19, '04)
IRAQ AND AL-QAEDA
Part 1 - The usual suspects
The apparent discovery by the United States of an al-Qaeda memo outlining plans
to foment sectarian strife in Iraq fits well with the Bush administration's
take on events in that country. On the ground, though, such an interpretation
makes little sense. This is the first article in a two-part report.
(Feb 12, '04)
IRAQ AND AL-QAEDA
Part 2: Why al-Qaeda votes Bush
Al-Qaeda may have given the Bush administration the perfect motive for bombing
Afghanistan and then invading Iraq. But the flip side of the coin is that even
though seriously disabled, al-Qaeda benefits enormously from all the attention
it receives in Washington. (Feb 13, '04)
(DIS)UNITED EUROPE
Part 1 - My friend Silvio
Italy - under Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi - squandered much goodwill in
Europe after its disastrous European presidency in the second half of 2003. Not
that this matters to the flamboyant Berlusconi, who counts among his friends
President George W Bush and Vladimir Putin, and who has everything under
control in his own country - or so he thinks. This is the first article in a
two-part report. - Pepe Escobar (Feb
5, '04)
(DIS)UNITED EUROPE
Part 2 - Ever changing alliances
Europe may look like it has been broken, but under the
direction of the Franco-German duo - with increased British input - the shape
of things to come indicates that Washington and Brussels won't be haggling only
about steel quotas, bananas and genetically modified crops, but geopolitics as
well. (Feb 6, '04)
SISTANI'S WAY
Part 1: Democracy, colonial-style
Although Washington has welcomed the news that the United Nations will
send a team into Iraq to determine the viability of holding elections, that's
not the end of the matter. The power struggle between President George W Bush
and Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani has just begun, Pepe Escobar reports
in the first part of a two-part series. (Jan 28,
'04)
SISTANI'S WAY
Part 2: The marja and the
proconsul
Senior American administrator L Paul Bremer has his views on how elections in
Iraq should be conducted, as does Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, religious
leader of the country's 15 million Shi'ites. For Washington, this means one of
two outcomes: jihad or civil war. This is the second part of a two-part report
by Pepe Escobar (Jan 29, '04)
Rough justice in
Pakistan
With more than a little help from their
government, two French journalists have been spared jail terms for violating
their visa conditions in Pakistan. Not so fortunate, though, is their Pakistani
"fixer", who has simply disappeared, let alone been afforded a trial for his
alleged crime.
THE RAT TRAP
Part
1: How Saddam may still nail Bush
The United States has caught its rat, but like any rat worth
its name, Saddam Hussein can be expected, once he comes to trial, to deploy
every dirty trick in the book to expose his captors. And he certainly has some
incriminating stories to tell, reports Pepe
Escobar in the first part of a two-part series.
(Dec 18, '03)
THE RAT TRAP
Part 2: Why the resistance will increase
From tribal sheikhs to businessmen, from
Sunni and Wahhabi religious leaders to cashiered soldiers to foreign jihadis,
the Iraqi resistance has many faces, yet these disparate groups have a truly
common agenda: a war against the American occupation of Iraq. This is the
second part of a two-part report by
Pepe Escobar. (Dec
19, '03)
Shanghai
rocks!
It is arguably the most exciting city in Asia, where Little
Helmsman Deng Xiaoping's unforgettable war cry, "to get rich is glorious",
rings truer than anywhere else in China. Yet the glitz of Pudong and the
intoxicating atmosphere cannot fully obscure the city's seamy history - or the
dark side of all this modernity. - Pepe
Escobar (Oct 28, '03)
A Shi'ite warning to
America
Iraq's Shi'ites speak with several very influential voices, which Pepe Escobar
hears loud and clear, and their message is: Shi'ites are not happy with the
situation at present, and unless it changes, so will their passive wait-and-see
approach to the US presence in their country. (Oct
10, '03)
Going mobile in Iraq
Turkish troops will soon be marching around Iraq, although there has been some
surprise opposition from within the country to their deployment. Also on the
move are a Kurdish, an Egyptian and a Kuwaiti business, awarded brand new
mobile phone licenses. Or that is what one is supposed to believe.
(Oct 8, '03)
Selective reading and choice
friends
Elements in the Bush administration refuse to believe that Iraq destroyed its
weapons of mass destruction after the Gulf War of 1991, despite the evidence,
which Asia Times Online has also seen. It should not be a surprise, then, that
these same elements continue to put their trust in Ahmad Chalabi, founder of
the Iraqi National Congress. (Oct 6, '03)
The American Saddam
It was easy enough for the United States to break Iraq, now the problem is to
fix it, and fix it in such a way that it does not become just a US version of
Saddam Hussein's regime. (Oct 3, '03)
The marvels
of de-Ba'athification
In much of Iraq, and especially in the Sunni triangle, the heartland from which
the former Ba'ath Party drew most of its members, the stark reality is one of
unemployment, lack of government and poor security. Ba'athists are not allowed
to fill this void. Their alternative hardly bears contemplating. - Pepe Escobar
(Oct 2, '03)
Fear and anger in the Sunni
triangle
Across the Sunni triangle, businessmen sheikhs are angry,
religious sheikhs are angry, and the people are angry as well as afraid, not
only of local thieves who stalk the highways, but also of what is happening to
their country. (Sep
29, '03)
Fallujah: A multilayered
picture emerges
At the heart of the Sunni triangle, where most anti-American
resistance takes place in Iraq, lies the city of Fallujah. Its people have
stories to tell, from the mayor to a powerful sheikh to the ordinary citizens,
and they all paint a different picture from the one that the US prefers to
present. (Sep 25, '03)
Hot off the press
Iraq's press is now free - well, sort of,
depending on which side of the fence one sits. At least, though, newspapers can
publish all the juicy rumors and speculation doing the rounds in Baghdad, which
Pepe Escobar notes down. (Sep
23, '03)
The mean streets of Baghdad
With the risk of assassinations, car bombings, muggings and
incurring the deadly wrath of extremely nervous US soldiers, Baghdad's streets
are not the place for the faint-hearted, or the innocent, as Pepe Escobar
finds out. (Sep 22, '03)
(Just) alive and
kicking in Baghdad
The word in some intelligence quarters, and also on the streets in
Baghdad, where Pepe Escobar does some
footwork, is that Saddam "Elvis" Hussein is secreted in the capital, albeit a
devastated city that he would not recognize from the days when he ruled with an
iron fist. (Sep 18, '03)
Twin Towers and the Tower of Babel
Part 2 : The
roadmap of human folly
The past two years of the "war on terror" have offered up
myriad lessons for mankind, with Afghanistan and Iraq sad examples of how
things can go horribly wrong, and will continue to do so if the lessons remain
unheeded, writes Roving Eye
Pepe Escobar in
the concluding article of a two-part series.
(Sep 10, '03)
Part 1:
Sleeping with the enemy
After consistently blaming "remnants of Saddam's regime" for
all of the troubles in Iraq, Washington has been forced to recruit hundreds of
the worst of these remnants - the feared Mukhabarat - to try to at least
identify the more than 40 different groups that compose the resistance.
Roving Eye Pepe
Escobar reports in the first article
of a two-part series. (Sep 9, '03)
Ayatollah's killing:
Winners and losers
The car bomb outside the Imam Ali Shrine in Iraq's
holy city of Najaf on Friday has simultaneously split the country's majority,
moderate Shi'ites and turned them against the United States. At last, a
Saddam-al-Qaeda nexus comes into view, with both being the big winners from the
killing of Grand Ayatollah Mohammed Baqr al-Hakim.
Vietnam, Leninism and
capitalism
As early as 1994, the road ahead was clear: "The leadership
of the Party is the decisive factor in maintaining a socialist orientation for
our market economy and the entire development of our country." Translation: the
road to socialism is the Communist Party plus capitalism. The inevitable
question: Where does this outlandish mix of Leninism and capitalism go from
here? (Aug 26, '03)
The plot thickens
In the absence of any group claiming responsibility for the
bombing of the UN headquarters in Iraq on Tuesday, speculation is the order of
the day. Wherever the finger is pointed, though, there is one inescapable
truth: the resistance has many faces. (Aug
22, '03)
Why the lessons of Vietnam do
matter
During the Vietnam War, the objective of the resistance was
always to harass, bog down and demoralize a hugely superior army, and play up
national consciousness, patriotism and local traditions - exactly what Iraqis
are now trying to do. (Aug 19, '03)
Vietnam: The deep end of doi moi
Thirty years after the war ended, the Vietnam government is
still struggling to decide what it wants to be - communist, socialist or
capitalist. In the meantime the citizens are keeping their money in their
mattresses. (Aug 14, '03)
Vietnam: The survivor
(Aug 11, '03)
Jihad virus attacks
Pentagon logic (Aug
6, '03)
Deadlock in Cambodia
(Jul 30, '03)
Even the Khmer Rouge loves
democracy
(Jul 28, '03)
Year 28: Cambodia gets ready to
vote (Jul
24, '03)
Bremer a quick
study in colony building
(Jul 11, '03)
Culture shock
and awe (Jul 3, '03)
Who killed Daniel
Pearl? (Jun 27, '03)
A long and tortuous road (Jun
5, '03)
The Saddam intifada
(May 27, '03)
Iraq showdown: Winners and losers (May
20, '03)
Al-Qaeda: Dead or alive?
(May 14, '03)
The lions of Babylon
(Apr 25, '03)
The Baghdad deal (Apr
24, '03)
The
Mukhabarat's shopping list
Shi'ites on the
march to Karbala (Apr
21, '03)
Direct democracy in action (Apr
18, '03)
A (mis)guided tour of Baghdad
(Apr 17, '03)
Suicide at the walls of Baghdad
(Apr 7, '03)
The battle for Shi'ite
hearts and minds (Mar
28, '03)
The 'Palestinization' of
Iraq (Mar
26, '03)
Jihad in Mesopotamia (Mar
25, '03)
Jordan opens up Iraq's
western front (Mar
21, '03)
This war is brought to
you by ... (Mar
19, '03)
The moment of truth -
and lies (Mar
17, '03)
Inside Saddam's mind (Mar
13, '03)
Beating the African drum (Mar
10, '03)
Coercion, all in the name of
democracy (Mar 25, '03) |
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