South Asia

Bangladesh: Musharraf comes calling
By Farooq Sobhan

In one sense, President General Pervez Musharraf's two-day visit to Bangladesh at the end of July will be considered by some Bangladeshis as a landmark visit. For the first time ever, a Pakistani head of state expressed regret for army actions in 1971 in which millions were killed by rampaging Pakistani soldiers. He also apologized for what transpired at that time in Bangladesh. Such an apology went well beyond most people's expectations.

In the visitor's book at the National Monument at Savar, Musharraf wrote "your brothers and sisters in Pakistan share the pain of the events of 1971." The following day, at a banquet hosted in his honor hosted by Bangladeshi Prime Minister Khaleda Zia, he said, "We feel sorry for the tragedy which left deep scars on both our nations. But wounds do heal with time." In her reply, Zia thanked Musharraf for his "candid expression on the events of 1971," adding that "this will, no doubt, help to mitigate the old wounds".

Meanwhile, Abdus Samad Azad, leader of the opposition Awami League (AL), referred to Musharraf's apology as "non-serious" and demanded an "unqualified" apology. The Foreign Minister of Bangladesh, Morshed Khan, was quick to remind the Awami League that in 1974 it was none other than Bangubandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman who, in a spirit of magnanimity, had opted to forgive and forget the atrocities committed by the Pakistan army in 1971, and had agreed to the repatriation of the 195 war criminals who were in Indian custody; and that the demand for an apology was raised by neither Sheikh Hasina nor her father when they were at the helm of affairs.

On the issue of the last-minute refusal of the Awami League leadership to meet with Musharraf because he was a military dictator, Morshed Khan referred to Hasina’s 75-minute meeting with Musharraf during the D-8 summit in Cairo in 2001, when she was prime minister. He also mentioned the fact that the then foreign secretary, Shafi Sami, had traveled to Pakistan at Sheikh Hasina’s behest to deliver an invitation to the Pakistani president to visit Bangladesh.

Thus, diplomatic observers feel that the Awami League's attempts to embarrass the government backfired miserably, and that their last-minute decision not to meet Musharraf was, in the words of former state minister of foreign affairs Abul Hassan Chowdhury, who had been instructed by Sheikh Hasina to set up the meeting, an act of "great immaturity" on the part of the AL leadership. Why did the Awami League do this?

It could be that the organization felt that it had the government's back to the wall because of recent traumatic events at Dhaka University, in which police are alleged to have committed brutalities against women students. There has been country-wide criticism of the police actions, and the Awami League may have felt that it could exploit this situation to its advantage by linking the strike called by the students on July 30 to serve simultaneously as a protest against the Musharraf visit. There were, however, few takers for this posture.

It has also been suggested that a possible reason for the cancellation of AL meeting was because India had asked for it. This seems farfetched. In reality, both the ruling Bangladesh National Party (BNP) and the AL have woken up to the fact that, in this day and age, no government in Bangladesh can sustain unfriendly relations with India or ignore its other neighbors in the region.

Musharraf had evidently done some homework before coming to Bangladesh. He knew exactly which buttons to press in order to win over the otherwise suspicious, some might even say hostile, public. Having expressed his apologies for 1971, he announced that Pakistan would allow duty-free access to 10,000 tons of tea from Bangladesh and waive all tariffs on raw jute, and also agreed to examine the request to extend duty-free access for some other items. The possibility of a free-trade agreement was also discussed. The business community has made it a point to contrast this gesture with the prevarication and foot-dragging by four successive Indian governments on the promised duty-free access for 25 Bangladeshi product lines.

Musharraf also earned kudos for his comments on "reinventing" the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), including his suggestion that it was high time SAARC was asked to play a role in the settlement of disputes between member states. Implicit in what Musharraf said was a criticism of India's preference to deal with its neighbors bilaterally, and this was underlined by the statement that SAARC was held hostage by Indo-Pakistani relations.

Commenting on the Kashmir issue, Musharraf reiterated the position that Pakistan would "accept whatever the Kashmiris want. But elections under coercion cannot be a substitute for plebiscite." He was of the view that the Kashmir problem had been internationalized and that the United Nations would not recognize the outcome of the elections in Kashmir without international monitoring. Bangladesh, however, was careful to avoid taking sides on the issue.

The Musharraf visit was very much the general's initiative, and was possibly an attempt to make the point that Pakistan was far from being isolated in the region, and that it was, on the contrary, sensitive to the concerns of its neighbors. His "two gestures" combined with his comments on SAARC and the fact that he refrained from making any statement that would in any way embarrass his hosts, have encouraged the Bangladesh government to view the visit as a very successful one. An added bonus has been the very successful initiative taken by the Awami League to shoot itself in the foot by fixing an appointment with Musharraf and canceling it at the last minute.

In fact, the visit on the whole, rather like Musharraf’s apology, was only a qualified success. No headway was made in respect of two important longstanding between Pakistan and Bangladesh: the division of assets and liabilities that remain from the events of 1971, and the repatriation of the "stranded Pakistanis" or Biharis who opted to go to Pakistan in 1972. Musharraf's position that the repatriation of these persons must await the return of 3 million Afghan refugees was certainly not well received in any quarter. It also remains to be seen whether the efforts to strengthen economic and commercial relations will actually produce anything concrete.

Can the Musharraf visit change the political or economic dynamics in the region? The answer must be an emphatic no. For Bangladesh today, perhaps more so than ever before, there is a compelling need to put its relations with India on a solid and stable footing. Both countries need to reach out to each other in a pragmatic way in order to strengthen trade and economic relations and move forward on a whole range of issues.

Building bridges between India's northeastern states and Bangladesh, breathing life into sub-regional cooperation through the development of roads, railways and ports, harnessing water resources, cooperating on energy projects and a host of other subjects - all these need to be addressed when Yashwant Sinha, India’s Minister for External Affairs, visits Dhaka later this month. Notwithstanding all the hoopla surrounding Musharraf's visit to Bangladesh, there can be little doubt that the Indian minister’s visit is of much greater significance.

Farooq Sobhan is a former foreign secretary, Bangladesh

Published with permission from the South Asia Intelligence Review of the South Asia Terrorism Portal

 
Aug 10, 2002



 

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