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India and Iran: Renewed energy
By Hooman Peimani

Iran and India quietly reached a major long-term gas agreement last week under which Iran will supply its strategic friend with 5 million tonnes of liquidified gas (LNG) annually for 25 years and with 100,000 barrels of oil per day for a trial period of one year. The agreement reflected the two sides' continued cooperation and, in particular, India's determination to expand its relations with its strategic friend Iran despite its also cozying up to the United States.

On May 13 in Tehran, Iran and India signed two separate agreements for the oil sale and for the gas deal. M S Sreenivasan, additional secretary in India's Ministry of Petroleum, and Iranian deputy oil minister Hadi Nejad Hosainain signed the gas agreement. Iranian first deputy managing director of the National Iranian Oil Company, Hojjatollah Ghanimifard, and his Indian counterpart Subir Raha signed the oil agreement. Iranian oil minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh and his Indian counterpart Ram Naik were present at the signing ceremony.

According to Naik, the signatories will work out the commercial terms for the LNG deal in an unspecified time. As agreed, the initial purchase of LNG would be in two segments of 2.5 million tonnes each.

Undoubtedly, the gas agreement is a major event in the international energy industry with an obvious economic significance both for Iran and India, while the oil agreement has a short term importance, unless it is renewed for a longer period. However, the May 13 agreements are also significant for their containing other important energy contracts. If fully implemented, they will surely expand Iranian-Indian economic relations, while reflecting the growing strategic relations between the countries.

Thus, the agreements provided for "cooperation, exchange of experience in the field of compressed natural gas [CNG] production and reconstruction of refineries". As for the latter, India will help Iran upgrade its oil refineries, which Iran can only do partially on its own. For addressing Iranian oil refinery requirements, the American sanctions on Iran have made American companies out of the question. Many European companies are reluctant to help Iran in that regard for fear of an American reprisal or they attach unacceptable political conditions to their proposals.

The agreement on CNG production is even more important for Iran than the mentioned one as it has taken serious steps to replace oil with natural gas for its domestic fuel consumption. Iran's efforts to that end began about 40 years ago when Tehran started the construction of a nationwide network of gas pipelines. Various factors have since slowed down the process, including the Iran-Iraq war (1980-88) and financial difficulties. However, about 90 percent of Iran's urban areas and close to 80 percent of its rural areas have piped natural gas, while the entire country has access to LNG distributed in cylinders.

Nevertheless, the existence of millions of diesel and gasoline-fueled private and commercial vehicles have contributed to a rapid depletion of Iranian oil reserves at the time when Iran could export its crude oil into more profitable petrochemical products. Towards that objective, it has built major petrochemical complexes that meet most of its domestic consumption, while generating about $1 billion worth of exported products. As well, the growing consumption of oil in various refined forms has resulted in a phenomenal increase in air pollution. The latter is a major health and environmental hazard in all major Iranian cities.

For all these reasons, Iran needs to speed up its replacement of oil with natural gas. For that matter, it particularly needs to upgrade and expand its technological capability to turn natural gas into the major fuel for all vehicles, requiring a shift to gas-powered engines. This is the area in which India can help as it has embarked on changing non-environmentally friendly engines into more friendly natural gas ones. The May 13 agreements provided for India to offer its technical know-how to Iran for setting up CNG centers and CNG systems for using compressed natural gas as vehicle fuel.

Other major areas of cooperation covered under the agreements include the Iranian government's offering unspecified "discovered and semi-discovered" gas fields to Indian companies for investment. As well, it has agreed in principle to award a discovered Iranian oil field to ONGC Videsh Limited (OVL), the overseas arm of India's Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC). Moreover, the May 13 agreements provided for Gail India Limited and the National Petrochemical Company of Iran to explore jointly the feasibility of setting up petrochemical projects in Iran and of exporting their products to India and other countries.

Against a background of political, economic and military/security cooperation based on the commonality of views on various regional and international issues, the conclusion of the agreements between Iran and India was not a surprise in itself. However, India's clear interest in expanding relations with the United States, especially in the economic field, runs contrary to its growing ties with Iran, as evident in the agreements.

India's Naik rejected claims that his country was forced by the American government not to sign any accord with Iran in the oil and gas sectors. Nevertheless, it is highly unlikely that a government with a stated objective of weakening the Iranian government remains aloof and does not try to dissuade India, especially when it can easily threaten to stop India's expanding computer software exports to the US.

If Iran and India implement fully all the agreements reached on May 13, Iranian-Indian economic relations will expand significantly in the near future. As Iran possesses the world's fifth largest oil deposits and its second largest gas reserves, India's presence in the Iranian energy industry as secured and encouraged under those agreements could potentially turn India into a major global energy player.

Perhaps such prospect encouraged New Delhi to sign on the dotted line despite the apparent risk of damaging ties with Washington.

Dr Hooman Peimani works as an independent consultant with international organizations in Geneva and does research in international relations.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
May 22, 2003




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