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India adds to cable television confusion
By Indrajit Basu

KOLKATA - In mid-December last year, when the Indian government approved the Cable Networks (Regulation) Amendment Bill 2002, it was touted as a harbinger of harmony to the chaos that prevails in the television distribution and broadcasting sector in India.

The bill paved the way for the introduction of a "conditional access system" (CAS) for the distribution and broadcast of TV content, which in simple terms means that instead of paying for blanket channels, the viewer can choose, through a "set-top" box, which channels are wanted, and pay only for those. This will be in addition to a fixed amount of US$1.5 that viewers would have to pay each month for a clutch (a minimum of 30) free-to-air channels. This system will be introduced initially in Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai and Kolkata.

When the policy was announced, the first reactions were positive, from the multi-system cable operators who distribute TV channels to cable operators, who in turn distribute to millions of homes across the country, to TV broadcasters who would know exactly how many people were watching their channels and would be able to charge them accordingly, to TV viewers.

"It will bring in orderliness and legalize cable operations," said K Jayaraman, chief executive officer, Hathway Cable and Datacom, one of the largest distributors of TV channels who distributes through a network of cable operators. "TV viewers now get a choice, they give money to the extent of what they want to see, and it is the last chance for the TV industry to clean its house."

But now, with the four cities just over month away from switching over to CAS, chaos and uncertainty rule supreme.

"The TV industry is on tenterhooks about the introduction of the conditional access system from July 14," says Amit Khanna, an industry stalwart and chairman of Reliance Entertainment, a prominent entertainment company. "The government is adding to the chaos by arriving at some rather arbitrary conclusions. What is surprising is that almost anyone associated with the business, and even some consumer activists, are taking a myopic view of the fast changing panorama of broadcasting."

To understand how CAS is meant to bring order to the sector, it is important to understand the peculiar functioning of the TV, particularly cable and satellite, market in India. Industry estimates put the total number of TV households in India at about 85 million. About 60 percent of these depend on (un)friendly neighborhood cable operators to bring channels to their homes - the rest are catered for directly by multi-system operators.

During the Gulf War of the early 1990s Indians were first exposed to satellite TV when a few enterprising cable operators started distributing CNN to affluent neighborhoods in Mumbai and Delhi. A couple of years later, when the satellite Asiasat, launched by Hong Kong-based Asia Satellite Telecommunications, Asia's first privately-owned regional satellite operator, became available for broadcasting TV channels to India, a few consumer-savvy channels, mostly foreign-owned, like Rupert Murdoch-owned Star TV, Zee TV - in which Murdoch also has a stake - the BBC and MTV emerged to beam TV content to Indian homes. A few more local language channels soon followed. Suddenly, most homes in larger Indian cities had a cable operator in their neighborhood stringing coaxial cables across their rooftops.

In the absence of any regulatory laws, local goons, petty politicians and smart entrepreneurs joined in the free-for-all cable operating business. For about $2 a month, an Indian home could receive a dozen or so channels, including a movie channel running pirated videos of the latest Indian films. This unfettered growth created one of the largest cable markets in the world. Low-tech, homegrown cable operators became as ubiquitous as the local grocer.

The mid-1990s saw the first consolidation. The Cable TV Act was promulgated in 1995, which saw the emergence of six multi-service operators, all owned by large and influential businessmen. These operators took the "last mile" operator as a franchisee and upgraded networks to offer up to 100 channels, which were distributed through a network of over 50,000 cable operators. On the ground, however, nothing much changed. While many channels became pay channels and cables passed millions of homes, piracy continued. There were constant turf battles between cable operators in which some people were even killed. And worst, despite the array of channels, the consumer hardly had a choice. Whatever the cable operators offered and charged was what a TV viewer had to gulp. And since there were no laws or system to control the cable operators, there was a rampant under-declaration of the TV viewership. This was because TV broadcasters charged multi-service operators, who in turn charged the cable operators on the basis of connected homes. No pay channel, therefore, has a declared subscriber base of more than 10 million as of date.

Amid all this chaos, the government thought that the time had come for a regulatory framework, not only to curb piracy but to protect consumers from paying for what they did not watch and to ensure that broadcasters, too, get their due share.

But the simple-law CAS is proving to be no match for the highly unorganized cable and satellite market where the rule of the jungle prevails.

Critics say that the government wanted to put an end to the broadcaster-cable operator dispute over subscriber numbers. And therein lies the problem: Although broadcasters should be happy, most of them that have now to serve as pay channels are scared. STAR TV's head honcho, James Murdoch, says that "CAS is not a magic bullet that will solve the problem of under-declaration".

Channels like STAR and Sony, which have been consistent toppers in the TV (viewership) ratings for years, fear that forcing their viewers to pay for viewing channels and for set-top boxes that could cost between $80 to $150 a piece, would cause an unnecessary burden on viewers, resulting in a drastic fall in subscription. And lower subscription means even lower advertising revenues. That's not all. Broadcasters like STAR, which want to be players in the yet-to-be introduced direct-to-home (DTH) broadcasting - where broadcasters can beam channels directly to homes through satellite and another types of set-top-boxes - fear that if CAS is implemented now, DTH will find very few subscribers willing to spend again in additional set-top boxes.

As with the broadcasters, CAS should ease the woes of the cable operators. But they, too, say that they have to handle the toughest part of the CAS rollout. "First, we will have to sell the idea, make the initial investments in the set top boxes that will be sold to viewers as well as spend on software at our end," say officials of the Mumbai-based Cable Operators and Distribution Association. "Moreover, CAS will help pay channels to increase their rates at the cost of cable operators. CAS could destroy over 20,000 families in Mumbai alone that depend on the cable industry."

Multi-service operators and set-top-box sellers are the only ones not complaining. Critics say that's because they get, at the TV viewers' expense, control over India's 42 million cable homes - in four cities. It is a control that will make them very profitable, increase valuations for their businesses and help them expand and stabilize revenues. As an added bonus, there will be transparency: one of the reasons why many international cable companies have not yet touched India. "Even if we get 30 percent penetration, we make more money," said Sunil Khanna of multi-service operator Zee-Turner.

And ironically, the biggest losers would be the TV viewers themselves. "The debate over the conditional access system is meaningless," say officials of the Consumers Guidance Society of India. "There should be no debate at all. It's pretty clear that CAS, in its current avatar, benefits nobody - not the broadcaster, not the cable operator and definitely not the viewer. If the government sticks to its July 14 deadline of CAS compliance, it will go against all conventional principles of governance where legislation is meant to benefit the greatest number of people."

Indeed, under the present CAS formula, although a TV viewer pays more for every extra channel, some basic benefits, like movies on demand, don't come with it because the technology currently used by cable operators and multi-service operators doesn't allow much of tweaking. Again, one gets to exercise some choice over viewing of channels, but that is already present today to some extent by paying a little extra to cable operators. Does the quality of broadcasting improve? No, it doesn't. So, for the extra money that one has to shell out, one gets virtually nothing in return.

However, in spite of what many called a "half-baked" cable networks bill, some feel that CAS is a welcome step. "After a choppy six months of confusion and uncertainty, the cable and satellite industry should see reasonable growth," predicts Amit Khanna.

Most others, though, can only keep their fingers crossed.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jun 12, 2003



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