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Close US eye on N-activity in South Asia
By Nadeem Malik

ISLAMABAD - Sensors, alarms, radiation detectors and closed-circuit cameras are a part of the operations that the United States will launch in India and Pakistan to strengthen their nuclear security apparatus.

In its budget requests for financial year 2004, the US administration requested funding for two separate programs, the Nonproliferation, Anti-terrorism, Demining and Related Programs (NADR) and the Export Control and Related Border Security Assistance (EXBS) program. These are aimed at ensuring that sensitive nuclear and missile technologies do not fall into the hands of extremists in the event of political upheaval or due to the presence of the sympathizers of hardliners within the security apparatus. The US budget for financial year 2003 included about US$10 million to support these programs in South Asia.

The issue of nuclear security is of primary importance for the US, and many US officials had repeatedly expressed their apprehensions about the nuclear weapons capabilities of India and Pakistan. "If al-Qaeda, the Taliban, the forces inside Pakistan were to pull a coup and take over the government of Pakistan, I think we would be forced to react militarily immediately," said one speaker in the House on June 19. He observed that the US would be forced into a situation that would be dangerous for a long time should "the bomb [fall[ into the hands of terrorists".

The US Defense Authorization Bill for the fiscal year 2004 also incorporates a plan for "the assessment of strategies or options for dealing with nuclear capable nations that may provide nuclear weapons to terrorist or transnational groups, and an assessment of the effect of the strategy on the nuclear programs of emerging nuclear weapons states, including North Korea, Iran, Pakistan and India."

As part of this strategy, the US administration had started a program to assist India and Pakistan in strengthening export control systems. The EXBS program organizes expert-level exchanges addressing subjects such as legal/regulatory reform, licensing automation, and customs enforcement. The EXBS program also provides technical equipment and training, such as specialized radiation-detection and imaging machines and more general inspection/detection training for border control personnel.

Officials in South Asia have been reluctant to say much on the subject, as the political backlash of such a development could be huge - the general perception of a suspicious US monitoring the countries' nuclear activity could hand a new weapon to religious groups, both in India and Pakistan.

The officials say that the EXBS is meant to prevent the transfer of sensitive goods to end-users of proliferation concern. The program, in close coordination with the US Department of Defense, provides equipment, technical assistance and training to enhance investigative capabilities. At present, over 20 US experts are working in various countries with foreign officials on ways to strengthen controls, and in directing training activities and the delivery of much-needed detection and enforcement equipment.

Recently, a senior US administration official claimed that an EXBS program operation had seized sensitive goods or weapon components bound for terrorists, state sponsors of terror and other proliferate entities in unnamed countries.

Several US experts are working on the EXBS program in Central Asian Countries. After September 11, the US launched a focused drive in this strategic region, and in the Caucasus as well, to shore up vulnerable borders and improve capabilities to deter, detect and interdict the transit of illicit goods and weapons, said John Wolf, US Assistant Secretary at the Bureau of Nonproliferation.

In Europe, he said, export control assistance was increased to the Baltics and Southeastern Europe and Mediterranean transshipment points, such as Malta and Cyprus. "All states, especially those with large ports, must do their part to forestall the transit and transshipment of dangerous materials and technology."

Given the global nature of the proliferation threat, the EXBS program had expanded its focus to include countries along key transit routes and countries with a substantial volume of transshipment trade in the Middle East and Southeast Asia. "In potential South Asia supplier countries, we continue to encourage the development, full implementation and enforcement of export controls that meet international standards," Wolf said before the House International Relations Committee.

As part of this global drive, the US government has established the International Geodynamics Research Center in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, which is capable of verifying and detecting nuclear and seismic activities in nearby India, Pakistan and China.

Wolf said that he was hopeful that the focus on securing sensitive technologies, particularly in South Asia, where an active nonproliferation dialogue with Pakistan and India was underway, would yield results.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jun 27, 2003


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