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The long arm of resistance
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - With the onset of summer, the heat of resistance is gaining momentum in the Afghan mountains and in the Iraqi deserts. The emergence of powerful resistance movements in these two countries is certainly worrisome to the US administration, but players in the region, especially Pakistan, Iran and Saudi Arabia, are also carefully watching these war zones for possible implications for their regimes.

For the first time in 100 years, Pakistan has sent regular troops to the sensitive border area of the virtually inaccessible Federally Administered Tribal Areas in a effort to trap Taliban and al-Qaeda elements being flushed out by US troops across the border in Afghanistan. At the same time, President General Pervez Musharraf has suggested that Pakistan would be willing to send troops to Iraq.

Yet even as these sensitive, pro-US moves were taking place (coinciding with Musharraf's visit to Washington to meet President George W Bush), the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee, General Mohammed Aziz Khan, came out with an extraordinary comment at a public gathering, "America is the number one enemy of the Muslim world and is conspiring against Muslim nations all over the world." He also mentioned that politics should not be done in "uniform", a clear reference to Musharraf's position as Chief of the Army Staff, opposition to which has become a rallying point in anti-government quarters. Aziz Khan also stressed that even with a solution to the Kashmir dispute, India and Pakistan could never be friends.

Reporters covering the speech were stunned by the remarks, and concerned as to how to cover it. Eventually they collaborated on a single report so that in the event of a denial, they could take a joint stand. Later on, to the surprise of many, the same story arrived in news rooms from the government agency, Associated Press of Pakistan. The Inter-Services Public Relations of the Pakistan Army then quickly sent out recommendations that the sensitive parts of the speech be omitted. Those papers that had already not gone to print pulled the story.

Nevertheless, some dismissed the incident as unimportant as Aziz Khan's position is largely ceremonial. However, those who know the man see the development as an indication of simmering discontent within the armed forces.

Aziz Khan belongs to the Sudan tribe of Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir, and he became the first from their ranks to be made a general. He was known as a dedicated member of the Islami Jamiat-i-Talaba (the student wing of the fundamentalist Jamaat-i-Islami) during his college days, and in later years he developed very close ties with militant groups. His excellent communication skills (especially his spoken English) and his camaraderie - he calls all junior officers "son" - made him very popular on his rise through the ranks.

On October 12, 1999, then-premier Nawaz Sharif announced that he was going to replace Musharraf with Khawaja Ziauddin as Chief of Army Staff. Ziauddin was a relatively junior lieutenant-general and it would have meant the end of the careers of at least eight lieutenant-generals senior to him - one of them being Aziz Khan, who was then Chief of General Staff. Aziz Khan immediately convinced the commander of 10 Corps, Lieutenant-General Mehmood Ahmed, to rebel against the decision, and the result was the bloodless coup that propelled Musharraf into power. Nevertheless, these two men wielded enormous influence over the general's decisions. This fact, and Aziz Khan's flirting with the Jamaat-i-Islami, resulted in him being pushed into his current ceremonial role, from where he now appears to be building up opposition to Musharraf.

In the past month, Maulana Masood Azhar, the chief of the banned Jaish-i-Mohammed, a militant Islamic group that was based in Pakistan and which has a long history of militancy in the Kashmir region, has quietly been visiting Pakistan. But recently he visited Karachi and addressed a big public gathering. Unlike in the past, no official moves were made to block his movements. Observers believe that there will now be stepped-up efforts in Kashmir to derail the nascent peace initiative between India and Pakistan, as has happened many times in the past. The most recent attack, at the weekend, in which two militants cut the fence protecting the perimeter of the 36 Infantry Brigade's camp in Sunjwan, on the outskirts of Jammu, made their way to a barracks and shot dead a dozen soldiers, could be a harbinger of things to come.

It is not improbable, given Pakistan's history, that Aziz is laying the ground work for a body of people to force the government to do an about-turn in its support for the United States should the resistance movement in Afghanistan take off into a truly large-scale struggle.

Iran finds itself in a similar position. Tehran has played a double role from the beginning, both in regard to Iraq and Afghanistan. For instance, it opposed the US attack on Afghanistan, but harbored Northern Alliance troops to help US troops. It gave refuge to Gulbuddin Hikmatyar, whose Hizb-i-Islami (HIA) is the lead outfit in the new Afghan resistance movement, but when the US exerted pressure, the Iranian authorities expelled him in such a manner that he could not be caught by the Americans. At the same time, they continue to provide shelter to several top HIA members, who remain the point of contact between the guerrillas in Afghanistan and Iran.

Iran also has several suspected Arab al-Qaeda members in its custody, but it prefers to hand them over to their countries of origin rather than to the US, as it did last year, including to Saudi Arabia. Iran voiced strong opposition to the US-led attack on Iraq, but at the same time it supported the Badr Brigade of Baqar al-Hakeem, the military arm of the Supreme Assembly for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, which covertly provided support to the US. Iran is also closely watching events in the Iraqi Kurdish areas, from where many members of the militant Ansarul Islam fled to Iran after the US invasion. This organization could emerge as a disruptive force again.

The kingdom of Saudi Arabia plays the same double game. It cannot separate itself from its tough Islamic ideology as this underpins the ruling House of Saud. But at the same time, on the diplomatic front, the country cannot afford to totally alienate the US and Britain, on whom it has relied for many years, even though hardliners now want a clear anti-US policy.

The result is that the authorities are turning a blind eye to volunteers crossing over the border into Iraq to join the anti-US forces there, while at the same time they are cracking down on terror cells that are active in Saudi Arabia.

How long the Saudi authorities can keep on walking this tightrope is questionable: much could depend on events in Iraq; just as factions in Pakistan are waiting on events in Afghanistan to bubble over.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jul 2, 2003


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