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India: US ambassador's parting kick
By Sultan Shahin

NEW DELHI –To the consternation and surprise of many in South Asia, the United States appears to be stoking the same fires on the sub-continent now that it helped douse a year ago.

As India and Pakistan completed a war-rhetoric free three months in a remarkable atmosphere of bonhomie and goodwill on the part of the ruling classes, common people and even hardliners of the two countries, recently departed US ambassador to India Robert Blackwill made himself conspicuous by being the only person to bewail as a parting shot his failure to stop the "continuing cross-border terrorism" on the India-Pakistan Line of Control (LoC) in Kashmir.

Even the hardline deputy premier of India, Lal Krishan Advani, has refrained from making such complaints, despite several terrorist attacks in recent weeks, most notably a dramatic suicide attack on an army camp at Tanda in Kashmir that killed a brigadier among about a dozen army personnel. On the morning of July 22, terrorists almost succeeded in annihilating the entire top officer corps of the country's most important military formation, the Northern Command. Advani's restraint has been particularly noticeable since Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee extended a hand of friendship to Pakistan in a public speech at Srinagar in Kashmir on April 18.

Since Vajpayee's Srinagar speech, a process of normalization of relations between the two countries has continued, though more slowly than many had come to expect. Yet normal diplomatic relations are almost in place, the Delhi-Lahore bus has started running, resumption of train and air links, too, are on the anvil, the prime minister has agreed to travel to the Pakistani capital Islamabad for a summit meeting of South Asian regional leaders in January, and substantive talks on all disputes, including Kashmir, are being contemplated.

In the meantime, track-two diplomacy has gathered extraordinary momentum. A number of delegations of members of parliament and media persons from both countries have exchanged visits. A member of parliament, Abdur Rashid Shaheen, the first Indian Kashmiri politician to visit Pakistan in decades, told Asia Times Online, "Everywhere we went in Pakistan the outpouring of emotions of goodwill was unbelievable. It was as if a dam had burst unexpectedly. You couldn't find anyone willing to talk about discord. Every one we met was happy at the prospect of peace."

Two events have particularly helped to improve the atmosphere. As the bus link resumed, on the very first day from Pakistan came baby Noor Fatima with holes in her heart to be treated by Indian doctors at a hospital in Bangalore. As the media coverage brought her case to the notice of Indians, almost the whole country prayed for her recovery, several anonymous donors paid the cost of her surgery (which she didn't really need), thousands of people wrote to her and hundreds visited her in hospital, bringing gifts. Now she is back to Pakistan, hale and hearty, having shown to the people of both countries how closely their hearts still beat with each other, despite half a century of partition and decades of animosity nursed by politicians on both sides.

Another event that has left a remarkably healthy impact - contrary to all expectations - has been the visit of Muslim fundamentalist leaders from Pakistan, led by the redoubtable Maulana Fazlur Rahman, also known as the father of Taliban, as the latter were the products of madrassas (religious schools) run by his party, the Jamiat-ul-Ulema Islam. Rahman and his delegation met a cross-section of people, from the prime minister and opposition leaders to Hindu religious as well as fundamentalist leaders, never flinching in their protestations of peace. He said all the things Indians wanted to hear on the peaceful solution of Kashmir dispute, normalization of relations and so on. But he had one refrain: let us solve our problems through bilateral dialogue; let us not allow the United States to intervene in our region.

It is perhaps this and the warm response that this sentiment evoked among the ruling elite in India that has alarmed the US. In fact, in his speech offering the olive branch to Pakistan, Vajpayee, too, made a reference to the changed world scenario that necessitated normalization of relations between the two warring, nuclear-armed neighbors.

According to India's national security advisor Brajesh Mishra, the two countries were on the brink of war about this time last year. A terrorist attack on the Indian parliament, killing eight people, had stirred India into action. Almost the entire Indian army was mobilized and most of it was deployed on the border with Pakistan in an eyeball-to-eyeball confrontation. Vajpayee had called for a decisive war. Any war could arguably have led to a nuclear disaster.
The US played a constructive role then. It first encouraged Pakistani President General Pervez Musharraf to promise to do whatever he could to stop militant infiltration across the border. As infiltration declined - without any acknowledgement from India - and the war rhetoric continued, the US issued a travel advisory to its citizens against traveling to the region. This forced India to start acknowledging the reduced levels of cross-border infiltration. Gradually tensions were defused and the travel advisory was withdrawn before it could do too much damage to Indian economy. The Indian and Pakistani armies were redeployed to their peace-time positions.

Against this backdrop, Blackwill may very well have claimed credit in helping the situation move in the direction of normalization, and expressed satisfaction, projecting this as one of the main achievements of his two-year tenure. Instead, he chose to sound a jarring note by highlighting an issue that no Indian leader is complaining about, even in the face of the gravest provocation.

Blackwill's expression of disappointment at the ongoing "cross-border terrorism" has now been followed by the closest US ally, Britain, making similar comments. "Pending a resolution of the Jammu and Kashmir issue, the Line of Control should be strictly respected and Pakistan should fulfill its commitment to stop infiltration across it," a spokesman of the British Foreign Office told the Press Trust of India on Wednesday.

A Pakistan government spokesman has dubbed Blackwill's situation as localitis, a condition that diplomats the world over know as "going native". It is a common condition among envoys. Sent to a country to represent the interests of their government, diplomat can fall so much in love with the host country that they end up acting as a representative of that country.

Islamabad is, however, being rather churlish in its reaction. Blackwill is no "greenhorn Orientalist", as one newspaper put it, "capable of going gaga [crazy] over curry and peppers". He is from among the "best and brightest" in the team of US president George W Bush. He is not going back to academia, as he had originally planned. He may have his detractors in the State Department, but he is going back to the inner circles in the White House - as a strategic planner in charge of Afghanistan, Iraq and Iran.

In any case, Blackwill is doing no favors to India by seeking to put a spoke in the moving wheels of India-Pakistan relations. Had he gone "native" and suffered from localitis, he would be rooting, like most other Indians, for normalization of ties on the sub-continent. He is perhaps only trying to distract attention from and giving vent to his frustration over his biggest real failure - not being able to persuade India to send troops to Iraq.

It would be naive to think that Blackwill had his own agenda in the sub-continent, different from that of the Bush administration, particularly as one can see it in the context of a concerted attempt on the part of the pro-American lobby to denigrate Vajpayee's peace initiatives, not only on Pakistan but also on China.

While Vajpayee has been consistently talking of the 21st as being an Asian century, and is presumably working towards that end, his detractors openly talk of an American century and India's subservient role in it. Veteran strategist K Subrahmanyam, for instance, wrote just two days after Vajpayee's Srinagar speech an article entitled "The American Century: Turn it to India's Advantage". He conceded that "US actions in its own self interest may on occasion hurt our national interest and security. Some would argue that it does so to some extent even today." Yet, he argued, "At the same time, it is also possible that Washington, as set out in its national security doctrine, may attempt to cultivate India in its own interest. In that case, there are bound to be new opportunities for this country ... unfortunately, populism rules the roost in political, economic, social, foreign and national security policies." His advice: send troops to Iraq to aid American occupation of that unfortunate country and earn US goodwill.

Another protagonist of this view, Brahma Chellaney, a frequent contributor to the International Herald Tribune and Hindustan Times, is not so diplomatic. He has launched a scathing attack on Vajpayee's foreign policy pre-occupations. "Vajpayee has remained obsessively fixated on this semi-failed neighbor [Pakistan], sometimes vowing a fight to the finish and at other times exuding love. His policy pendulum feverishly swings from one extreme to the other, even as cross-border terrorism in his reign has morphed from hit-and-run attacks to daring suicide assaults on army camps and national emblems of power like parliament and the Red Fort."

The ferocity of the attacks on Vajpayee for his attempts to normalize relations with Pakistan and China is quite unprecedented and cannot be without a reason. Chellaney needs to be quoted at some length, "The much-pilloried I K Gujral [former prime minister] - the BJP's archetypical wimp - could never have dared to do what Vajpayee has gotten away with. One day Vajpayee downgrades diplomatic relations with Pakistan, and on another day he restores full ties. He snaps all air, road and rail links with Pakistan like an incensed lover and then, still spurned, decides to reinstate those links. Sanctions are necessary one day but a bad idea on another day. No sooner does he vow zero tolerance against terrorism than he announces a ceasefire against all terrorist groups. He declares his Ramazan ceasefire failed because of Musharraf and the very same day he invites the Pakistani dictator to Agra. He mobilizes the military for war, vowing a decisive fight, but after keeping the soldiers in combat-ready positions for nine long months, he calls off the operation. One day he says Indian pressure on Islamabad is working, and then heads to Srinagar to theatrically extend his hand of friendship and reverse Pakistan policy, surprising his own foreign minister."

Also significant is his attack in the context of China, "Vajpayee not only failed to capitalize on the boost provided by India's new nuclear state status, but he has also acted in ways to erode the country's self-esteem while giving vent to his self-importance. Notice the way the either-tired-nor-retired-Vajpayee has scoffed at the 1962 parliament resolution on the Chinese betrayal of the Panchsheel [five principles of co-existence] and decided to celebrate with desecrator China the 50th anniversary of those despoiled principles."

Why is Vajpayee attracting such venom on the part of believers in the American century? Apparently, Vajpayee is refusing to play the American game in this region: he is seeking to chart out an independent course for India. This may be in conformity with Indian ideals that evolved over nearly a century of struggle against British imperialism, but apparently doesn't suit a new generation who want to be the new khan bahadurs (feudal lords appointed by the British) of the American century.

It is quite understandable that Chellaney chooses to disparage Vajpayee by comparing him with India's first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru. To be likened to a secular, liberal leader like Nehru can be the worst abuse for a Hindu fundamentalist. Vajpayee built his career opposing Nehruvian politics. He not only opposed Nehru's secularism and liberalism, he also did not participate in his and the country's struggle against the British raj. Vajpayee and his colleagues in the Hindu fundamentalist Rashtriya Swayamsewak Sangh did not join Mahatma Gandhi and Nehru's "quit India" call to the British in 1942, for instance.

But apparently Vajpayee has realized that India is too big and proud a nation to play the role of an American poodle in the region. He did flirt with the neo-imperialist dream of an American century in his initial years as prime minister, perhaps under the influence of his long-time colleague and friend Jaswant Singh. But ever since he shifted Singh from the external affairs portfolio, he has been consistently following an independent foreign policy, refusing to play the American game in the region - containment of China, bases for the US on Indian soil, India heading a new Asian version of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, sending Indian troops to help America occupy Iraq and so on. Backlash from the pro-American lobby or Blackwill's parting kick are not going to sway him from his resolve, it seems.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Aug 9, 2003



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