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Palestinians pay for Indian ambitions
By Ramtanu Maitra

During his three-day (August 29-31) visit to New Delhi, Palestinian Foreign Minister Dr Nabil Shaath received a clear reading on how much India has shifted its policy on the Israel-Palestine issue. In an interview with the Chennai-headquartered English news daily, The Hindu, Shaath took on indirectly the new mantra, preached from close to India's highest office, which says that the United States, Israel and India are now ready to join to take on terrorism. Shaath asked rhetorically, "Why? Was not Indonesia subject to terrorism? Was not Morocco subject to terrorism? Why just pick Israel? Were not Palestinians subject to terrorism?"

The fact is that India wants to get close to Israel, and in the process hopes to get closer to the US. Bureaucrats and politicians at India's highest level of policy making believe that the nation's security can be strengthened in the future only by forming a triangular strategic relationship with the US and Israel. Such a triangular alliance would stem the tide against the Islamic terrorists, Pakistan, and anyone else, they believe.

A double whammy
At the pragmatic level, the traders and business lobby root for closer relations with Israel. This money-conscious class, which has become most vocal in claiming that business interests should be the key component in India's foreign policy decisions, does not give a damn about Palestine. Since Palestine has little to offer financially or technologically, while Israel can sell to India what the US refuses to sell to India, these pragmatists insist that New Delhi has no option but to court the more "valuable" Israel.

This thinking led to the decision by New Delhi months ago to invite the Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon to visit India, where he is now on a four-day trip that ends on Thursday. In the period that followed, New Delhi found out that the 130 million or so Indian Muslims and many more Indian Hindus are not particularly happy about India's 180 degree about turn on the Palestine issue. Many Indians were particularly disturbed that New Delhi's decision on the Israel-Palestine issue was made in the US, though not necessarily by the Bush administration.

There is no question that India wants to be "liked" by both the Israelis and the Palestinians, to enjoy the best of both diplomatic worlds. That India must not make a clear choice between Israel and the yet-to-be-born Palestine has always been conventional wisdom in New Delhi. Otherwise, India would appear to be a two-faced nation and not a dependable, forthright and moral nation. However, during the last couple of years, and particularly since September 11, 2001, this evenhanded approach has been superceded by an avid and growing friendship and support for Israel and simultaneous consignment of Palestine to the diplomatic doghouse. Driving this shift is India's conflict with a hostile and Islamic Pakistan nation.

Ten-acre secularism
This "unevenness" in India's policy making became blatantly visible this summer, and New Delhi's "secular" crowd went into damage-control mode. As an afterthought, India invited Shaath to visit India a few days before Sharon's arrival, and promised then-Palestinian prime minister Mahmoud Abbas that he, too, would be honored with a visit to India within a month after Sharon leaves. To concretize the tokenism, New Delhi also announced that India would gift 10 acres (four hectares) of prime land in New Delhi's diplomatic area, known as Chanakyapuri, for the purpose of building the Palestine embassy.

This did not particularly impress Shaath. Taking a swipe at India's newfound pro-Israel policy, the foreign minister told The Hindu, "Many people who felt that Israel was the address for the United States failed. And I give the example of Central and Eastern Europe. They all went to Israel to seek relations with the United States; [but] they found it much easier to approach NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) than to approach Israel to do their bidding. Secondly, again, Israel would like to make it look like all the resistance it is facing from the Palestinians is terrorism, to make it look like September 11, which is false. Identifying with that puts you in a position of being anti-Palestinian when there is no need to do so ..."

However, judging by his public statements, Shaath seems not wholly aware of the new cement that bonds India with Israel: namely the flourishing and prosperous Indian community in the US. Having been in the US for four decades or more, Indian-Americans have now achieved financial stability and are looking for a way to intervene in the American political system. Community leaders look up to the Jewish community in America and deeply admire the ability of this small community to play a disproportionate role in many major foreign policies of the US. These Indian-American leaders have found in the Jewish community their role model.

Advantage Israel
The push to consolidate the India-US-Israel compact at the strategic level began months ago, but surfaced only recently. Last May, India's National Security Advisor Brajesh Mishra was in Washington to form the India-US-Israel axis. In a clear public announcement, made in front of 1,200 dinner guests of the American Jewish Committee (AJC), Brajesh Mishra spoke in support of such a triangular bonding. Mishra proposed, offered and expounded on just about everything to make the case that the three countries must fight terrorism together.

That speech by a non-political authority in a sort of private gathering was just one among many defining moments in a longer process. When Indian Deputy Prime Minister L K Advani was in Washington last June, his brief visit included dinner at the elite Cosmos Club, courtesy of the American Jewish Committee. "It's a natural alliance between Israel and India," said Jason Isaacson, the committee's director of government and international affairs. "It's about trade and common interests between democracies [and], complementing what is the growing relationships between Indian Americans and American Jews," he said. Isaacson has visited India seven times since 1995, and the AJC plans to set up a liaison office in India this year. The organization is also renovating a school in Gujarat, where minority Muslims have been the victims of ethnic violence. As evidence the ties have "come of age", the AJC, the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and the US-India Political American Organization hosted a joint reception for Congress on July 16.

Another major event was the first-ever joint Capitol Hill forum that was held on July 16, between the US Indian Political Action Committee, the American Jewish Committee, and AIPAC. The event featured nearly a dozen Congress members from across the US, including Republican Tom Lantos (D-CA) and Republican Gary Ackerman (D-NY). Tom Lantos summarized the binding issue of the evening thus, "We are drawn together by mindless, vicious, fanatic, Islamic terrorism." Congressman Ackerman said that Israel was "surrounded by 120 million Muslims" while "India has 120 millions Muslims [within]".

Subsequently, visiting Israeli special envoy David Ivry told New Delhi that Israel will assist India in its battle against terrorism. Ivry met with External Affairs Minister Yashwant Sinha, Advani and Mishra. Ivry said that a recent speech by Mishra in Washington implied that India, the US and Israel should cooperate in fighting terrorism. "The US can be the leader and we [Israel and India] can contribute as much as we can," he said. He added that sharing of intelligence was very important. But that is not all. The traders' bonding has also become pretty tight.

The Indian lobby that promotes a strong India-Israel business linkage also finds it necessary to justify why Israel should be brought closer. They point out the commonalities that hang these two countries together - India and Israel are both democracies and have survived in a sea of hostility, surrounded by implacable adversaries and a heavily militarized security environment. Both nations have fought wars in nearly every decade of their existence. No other two countries in the world have suffered so much at the hands of state-sponsored Islamic jihadi terrorism as India and Israel, the rhetoric goes.

Money talks
But beyond that thin curtain, it is the business potential between India and Israel that drives these lobbyists. In the US, the hard talking strategic analysts from the AJC, and their supporters, are also looking at the business potential that would not only give the supporters of the AJC a leg up in the opening up of the vast market in India, but would also help Indian community leaders in the US to invest more fruitfully.

In India, Israel appeals the most to the military and intelligence community. According to the various pro-Israel lobbies in India, the visit of the Israeli prime minister is centered around three objectives: Israel-India-United States strategic cooperation; Israel-India strategic cooperation in the Indian Ocean in the nuclear context; and Israel-India enhanced defense cooperation.

In the area of defense cooperation, the most important items seem to be the beginning of a dialogue for a joint India-Israel development of a Ballistic Missile Defense system based on the Israeli Arrow system, and consummation of the Israeli sale of the Phalcon Airborne Early Warning and Control system to India with US concurrence. This itself is reflective of Israel-India-US strategic cooperation: earlier the US had vetoed the sale of this system by Israel to China. On the other hand, the Israel-India program for strategic cooperation in the Indian Ocean will be directed toward laying the groundwork to block the Chinese navy's presence in the Indian Ocean. This, of course, would please a section of the most hawkish among American strategists.

Meanwhile, another area of India-Israel cooperation is in the offing: the information technology sector. A greater number of Israeli telecom companies are now expected to set up manufacturing facilities in India for export purposes. While Indian telecom operators are expected to enhance their capabilities with greater sourcing from Israeli vendors, the two countries are also looking at working jointly on research and development.

It would involve intensified joint collaboration initiatives in the sectors of agriculture, telecommunications, software and medical equipment, said sources in India's Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) recently. Israeli industry is also expected to tap avenues for doubling its exports to India from the present level of $1 billion to $3 billion by the end of 2004, a senior official told an Indian news daily.
An Indian business news daily, The Financial Express, said recently that even before Sharon arrived in New Delhi a team of leading IT players landed in India. The mission of this delegation was to identify opportunities where the Israeli industry could corner a major chunk of the Indian market. Ahead of the forthcoming visit, New Delhi and Tel Aviv had already started work on the feasibility of a free trade agreement (FTA). According to MEA sources, the proposal for this has been mooted, but is still in a nascent stage.

The news report also quoted the Confederation of Indian Industry's senior advisor for policy, T K Bhaumik, who said, "India is now open to FTAs more than ever before. An FTA with Israel is also being seen as an acceptable idea. It may come up for discussion during Mr Sharon's visit."

Pointing out that there is a tariff mismatch between the two countries, Commerce Ministry officials have, however, said that no view had been taken on this issue as yet. "Our tariff rates are on the higher side and Israeli tariffs are on the lower side. We have to examine the details to figure out the trade-offs," officials said. Asked if politics or economics will dominate Sharon's visit, Bhaumik said, "While politics will definitely be high on the agenda, economics has to be an integral part of any such discussions."

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Sep 10, 2003



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