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South Asia

Public spat sets India and Pakistan back
By Seema Sirohi

NEW YORK - After a week of bitter exchanges between India and Pakistan during the United Nations General Assembly, Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee's peace initiative has gone through a shredder, with little likelihood of an early revival.

Insults were the mainstay of the annual encounter, instead of progress towards dialogue, dimming hopes of an early summit-level meeting between the two sides. Progress so far, incremental and noteworthy, has been halting since Vajpayee famously offered a hand of friendship to Pakistan from the streets of Kashmir several months ago.

That path-breaking initiative now needs an infusion of oxygen if it is to survive the poisonous atmosphere created in New York. At his concluding press conference, Vajpayee, measuring each word said, "The environment is not right for talks. It won't be any use." But he added, "I am also saddened by what happened, but I don't think the peace initiative has ended. We must make it move forward." The subtext - he will not go out of his way, at least for the time being, as he has done three times in the past.

The tit-for-tat nature of verbal missiles that came flying thick and fast last week from leaders and diplomats from both sides showed the depth of the divide between the two countries. The question of "who started it" was on many minds as the bilateral dispute came to dominate the larger agenda of the 58th session of the UN General Assembly - Iraq and its reconstruction, expansion of the Security Council, the millennium goals set by UN Secretary General Kofi Annan. Even though both India and Pakistan have been asked to contribute troops to Iraq for "stabilization" under a refined UN mandate, the Kashmir dispute dominated exchanges between Vajpayee and Pakistan President General Pervez Musharraf.

Musharraf, a military tactician who increasingly appears to thinks of himself as a political wizard, tried to use his visit to wrap the Kashmir issue into the larger question of "oppressed peoples" around the world, a comparison that immediately got Indian officials on edge. He compared Kashmir not only to Palestine, which many Pakistani leaders have done in the past, but also to East Timor, at an international conference organized by the Norwegian government on the sidelines of the UN session.

Indian officials had bowed out of the conference, saying that they didn't want their leaders to face the predictable torrent of abuse from Musharraf and get into a shouting match. The Indian Foreign Secretary, Kanwal Sibal, said acidly, "It is not necessary to attend every conference. We also have to keep in mind the company we keep." Indian officials were trying to avoid ugly exchanges in front of other leaders, who already view the India-Pakistan tussles in a condescending manner. They find it easier to roll their eyes than to sit down and face real facts - that their key ally Pakistan in the US-led "war on terrorism" has been supporting militancy and terrorist groups in India, and that Musharraf allows Kashmiri militant groups to operate in Pakistan, while cooperating on hunting down al-Qaeda in his own country.

But the recent spate of reports in the Western press questioning Musharraf's commitment to fight terrorism is an indication that the American establishment is not completely satisfied with his performance. He arrived in New York to a series of editorials and articles, from the New York Times to Time magazine, questioning the role of his intelligence service, the Inter-Services Intelligence, in routing al-Qaeda.

Recently, three Pakistani military officers were arrested in an operation aimed against the Taliban, an incident that shocked the Americans a great deal. They were faced with evidence that elements of the Pakistani military are sympathetic and helpful to the "enemy". To deflect the arrows, Musharraf did what is a stock Pakistani defense - to raise and hammer the Kashmir issue - to show his domestic critics back home that he has a spine and that he hasn't become a puppet of the Americans, who have been telling him to start talks with India.

But talks seemed far from his ken as he used every media opportunity - and there were many - to condemn India, criticize its defense policies, and in a somewhat mean-spirited diatribe, say that India should never be a member of the expanded UN Security Council. He told the Western media that India was "uncontrollable" in its quest for acquiring arms and that any disturbance in the conventional arms balance was a recipe for disaster in South Asia. He claimed that his government had done "far more" to defuse tension around the Line of Control that divides Kashmir, but "unfortunately, there is zero return from the Indian side".

Came the reply from Sibal, "If General Musharraf feels there has been zero return it is because there has been zero investment from him." He then went on to advise Musharraf to get rid of his "annual Kashmir itch" by fasting before coming to New York - a remark that was as insensitive as it was provocative ,given the annual fasting by Muslims for religious reasons.

Indian officials were at pains to explain later that the remark was only triggered by Musharraf's tendency to exploit a bilateral dispute for political advantage, while refusing to cooperate on stopping cross-border terrorism in Kashmir, which might help start a dialogue.

Musharraf then read his speech at the UN General Assembly in which he offered an "action plan" for peace in South Asia - complete ceasefire along the Line of Control, a viable mechanism to monitor infiltration on both sides and a "general cessation of violence within Kashmir involving reciprocal obligations and restraints on Indian forces and the Kashmir freedom movement".

Indian diplomats listened to his speech carefully and were surprised at the apparent admission of guilt by Musharraf in front of world leaders. He was offering to end the violence in exchange for certain steps by India - it was the first clear admission by him that he indeed controlled the "violence" in India. Officials, who had been waiting to put the final touches on Vajpayee's speech, which came a day later, seized on the point and hammered home India's message.

Vajpayee responded, "The president of Pakistan chose this August assembly to make a public admission for the first time that Pakistan is sponsoring terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir. After claiming that there is an indigenous struggle in Kashmir, he has offered to encourage a general cessation of violence within Kashmir. We totally refuse to let terrorism become a tool of blackmail. Just as the world did not negotiate with al-Qaeda or the Taliban, we shall not negotiate with terrorism." He added that dialogue will take place only when cross-border terrorism stops, or India eradicates it with its own might.

The two speeches led to a firestorm of recriminations and diplomats on both sides were in full metal jackets by the end. At the close of the session, Pakistan invoked its "right of reply" and its ambassador to the UN, Munir Akram, described India as "a mother of all terrorism" and accused Vajpayee's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party of following "fascist tendencies". He talked about "stage-managed massacres of Muslims" in India in an apparent reference to the violence in Gujarat, and then announced that "Kashmir will be free". From India's side, Harshvardhan Shringla, a senior diplomat, took the floor and accused Pakistan of "double speak". He said this came easily to Pakistan since its "history and policies have been rooted in political fiction". Diplomatic swords by this time were flashing so brightly one needed to take cover.

The atmosphere was vitiated, the goodwill dissipated as Vajpayee left New York. When he heard about Akram's accusation, he was first surprised and then visibly pained. He said that he had offered the hand of friendship three times to Pakistan - once by going to Lahore when prime minister Nawaz Sharif was in power, then by inviting Musharraf to India for the Agra summit, and finally this April when he offered to make peace from Srinagar.

While the first two initiatives were bold, broad strokes of international diplomacy - a visit and a summit - this time Vajpayee will not walk into a trap, said Indian officials. He will not give a photo-opportunity to Musharraf which can then be exploited. The Indian side is determined to take small steps and build a better foundation before thinking about a summit. The Indian approach this time is incremental and gradual, where bureaucrats on both sides will first thrash out steps for normalization, create a conducive atmosphere and then only allow the two leaders to appear together.
Despite the invectives, Indian officials stuck to their strategy and announced some considered steps to improve the atmosphere during the New York madness. They said that they had planned to do that before the verbal exchange to show India's serious intention to bring normalization. India offered to increase the strength of a shrunken Pakistani mission in New Delhi to 55 from 47 diplomats, many of whom were asked to leave after an attack on the Indian parliament on December 13, 2001, which India said was hatched by Pakistani-sponsored militants. The offer to raise the number of diplomats was a small but significant step considering the near-complete severance of relations after the attack.

It was this kind of continuance of the peace initiative that Vajpayee was referring to as he left New York. A slow and inconspicuous pace designed to keep relations growing while maintaining pressure on Pakistan to end cross-border terrorism. So while Vajpayee will go to Islamabad in January to attend the summit of South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation or SAARC, he will not meet Musharraf separately. He is determined to pursue his peace initiative, but won't be insulted yet again, said Indian officials.

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Oct 1, 2003



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