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India's airlines in a tailspin
By Arun Bhattacharjee

NEW DELHI – Flying aboard one of India’s national carriers can be a serious ordeal. On one flight, a passenger on his way to Hong Kong from Delhi found himself sitting in a seat with a broken back. Any attempt to put the seat back to a rest position pitched the passenger virtually into the lap of the passenger behind him. The passenger spent the flight sitting up straight.

That isn’t unusual. Aircraft are increasingly shabby, flight attendants are slovenly, delays are endemic. Restrooms are often filthy, an enormous comedown especially for Air India, the international carrier which three decades ago, with nine aircraft flying to 21 destinations, was regarded as the world’s fifth best airline in services, food and on flight schedules.

India’s two government-owned flag carriers, Indian Airlines and Air India, are in trouble. If the government wants to save them, it must invest an estimated US$20 billion and introduce professional management practices without political interference, analysts say.

But apparently no one knows if India is ready to do that.

Two corporate bodies, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) and the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) ask, “Can India avoid doing it?”

The history of the two sick airlines spans three decades of neglect, underinvestment, politics and trade union pressure. As operational costs have mounted, market share has dived. The last blow was the country’s “open sky” policy, in which private airlines were permitted to compete with the harnessed national carriers.

In the last two decades only a few aircraft have been added to Air India’s lease, but basic fleet strength has not increased more than 20 percent. As Air India’s operational reach has shrunk, Indian Airlines has been allowed to take over short-haul operations such as Dubai, Malaysia, Singapore, Myanmar, Maldives, Colombo and Mauritius. Last week Air India failed in an attempt lease one 747 from Korean Air Lines as it did not have enough funds, and found that KAL was raising its leasing charges because of doubts about Air India’s capacity to pay.

The problems stem partly from a decision by the Ministry of Civil Aviation to allow Indian Airlines to expand overseas as it continued to lose its domestic market to the privately owned Jet Airways, but its competitive edge in the overseas market was blunted by government moves to ban fare flexibility. These, coupled with poor investment and haywire schedules, have shrunk Indian Airlines’ share of Indian passengers from 60.5 percent in 1998-99 to 45.9 percent in 2003.

The average age of Indian Airlines’ aircraft does not inspire passenger confidence either. Its 11 Boeing 737s were 21.9 years old in July and its Airbus 300 fleet 21.3 years old against a Jet Airways fleet average of only 2.98 years. Even the age of Indian Airlines’ relatively new Airbus A320s varies between 7.3 and 12.8 years.

India’s open sky policy brought in new competitors in the market but not all of them have survived. Among the noted casualties are Modi-luft and Damania, but the survivors are doing far better than their government-owned brethren. Jet Airways has increased its capacity by 63 percent, Sahara Airlines by 156 percent. In addition, no-frills regional operators such as Deccan Airways from Southern India are entering the market to further whittle the market share of the national domestic-cum-short haul overseas carrier. (see Plain flying arrives in India, Oct. 1, 2003, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/EJ01Df08.html).

Indian Airlines was formed in 1953 when the government nationalized three private airlines. After a 40-year monopoly and 50 years in the air, the company is in a tailspin. The plan to revitalize it is stalled, as no government decision has yet been made to spend even the first US$2 billion of the projected $20 billion to purchase new aircraft. As the government vacillates, representatives of both Boeing and Airbus have established permanent camps in the capital, offering competitive prices and free service packages, so far to little avail.

It appears that the Indian Airlines board’s earlier decision to purchase 43 Airbus aircraft (A319, A320 and A321) is on hold. Even a lease proposal for five A320s in 2003-2004 has not been cleared. Indian Airlines flies 53 aircraft - four A300s, 38 A320s and 11 Boeing 737s.

A senior management official blames a government policy of making Indian Airlines do national service by operating unprofitable routes, which takes its toll on profit margins. He points out that Indian Airlines flies to 11 northeastern destinations while private operators fly only to only five. While Indian Airlines operates 129 services per week on unprofitable routes, the private operators fly only 35. Although the national carrier has a social responsibility to serve the remote areas, he says, the government’s operating license to new airlines mandates a mixed package of routes.

Flush with $86 billion in foreign reserves, India today is in a position to revitalize its Indian Airlines fleet but a bitter controversy over privatization of both Indian Airlines and Air India with foreign equity is apparently holding up its resuscitation. Singapore Airlines and a few European airlines such as British Airways and Lufthansa are known to have shown interest to invest and participate in the management team.

Many are piqued by fact that C M Abraham, from Karnataka State, then the Minister of Civil Aviation, held back Indian Airlines’ expansion while favoring Jet Airways, financed by Dubai-based business tycoons in cooperation with the Emirate Airline. Allegations were raised in Parliament that Ibrahim was showing undue favor to Jet Airways although no formal inquiry was undertaken.

Equally mysterious is the government’s refusal to permit the leading Indian business house, the Tata group, to start an international airline, especially since Air India had belonged to Tata before it was nationalized. As a gesture of good faith, the then-government allowed the late Jamshetji Ratanji Tata, the scion of the Tata house, to remain the chairman of Air India until he was removed by the former Prime Minister, Rajiv Gandhi. The Tata group has always assiduously steered clear of political associations.

Many, including some senior managers, believe that the decline of Air India started following the removal of Tata’s management, and with the introduction of inexperienced government bureaucrats.

The government takeover, bureaucratic control, politics, and total apathy, coupled with falling market share have since stymied all efforts to revitalize the international carrier have so far failed as the ministers and bureaucrats refuse to allow any revival through the inflow of private funds from India or abroad. In the last decade Air India has neither added new destinations to its routes, nor acquired any new aircraft.

It is a comedown. Bobby Kooka, Air India’s former imaginative director of marketing and public relations, made Air India and Maharaja household names through humorous billboards and acerbic slogans, whether by announcing the Queen’s pregnancy on a Piccadilly billboard or with billboards showing Maharaja holding an umbrella to protect his passengers. The “Maharaja” used to earn nearly half a million dollars through sales as a decorative mascot from Copenhagen to New York.

Trade unionism from the level of pilots to cleaners, increasing establishment cost without revenue generation, and a dogged opposition to private participation to operate and sustain it with fresh funds, sealed its fate. Its passengers today are government bureaucrats who add a million free miles without paying. Paying passengers are often offloaded to accommodate staff enjoying their free travel passes. If the Prime Minister goes on an official visit and needs an Air India’s aircraft, flight schedules ago haywire.

India has been following an Open Sky Policy for the last decade, allowing five private airlines to compete for routes and passengers, but refused foreign equity in the national carrier. The government also refused to give up control or allow foreign equity in its national carriers while sectors from telecom to power and steel were privatized through its Ministry for Disinvestment, which raised over $60 billion for the government by selling shares in other government controlled industries.

Earlier, an attempt to start a private international carrier from India by the Tata group in collaboration with the Singapore Airlines was killed at the beginning by a flat government refusal. As a result, India as a tourist destination has become difficult to approach in the absence of adequate flights. The government’s refusal to permit other airlines to access Indian airports without reciprocal access rights, and with Air India without the muscle to do so, made the country a difficult tourist destination.

Even the non-resident Indians who are boosting India’s foreign reserves have to book seats in any airline months in advance, as flights to India are few compared to other Asian countries. Malaysian Airlines’ requests for a frequency increase and to add new destinations in India are on hold as India has neither the aircraft nor muscle to match it.

Most people of Indian origin in Malaysia have to travel to India either by Malaysian Airlines (MAS), Thai Airways or Singapore Airlines as Air India flies only once a week.

Flying Indian Airlines - India’s domestic carrier which often acts as a surrogate for Air India - from South East Asia, is costly as it takes passengers from Malaysia only to Chennai. Anyone trying to reach other destinations within India, such as Delhi or Bombay, needs to pay as much as he had to pay to reach Chennai. It is easier and cheaper fly from Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok or Singapore to New Delhi or Mumbai by other international carriers. The Maharajah would be twisting his mustaches in anger.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Oct 10, 2003



Plain flying arrives in India
(Oct 1, '03)

 

     
         
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