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Sri Lankan peace process on the ropes again
By Feizal Samath

COLOMBO - The firing by Sri Lankan President Chandrika Kumaratunga on Tuesday of three ministers and subsequent declaration of a state of emergency have triggered a major uproar, but even these dramatic events are unlikely to upset the peace process and a 20-month long ceasefire with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) , analysts say.

Defense Minister Tilak Marapana, Interior Minister John Amaratunga and Media Minister Imtiaz Bakeer Markar were removed from their posts under constitutional powers vested in the president. The move, which stunned many Sri Lankans, came hours before Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe was due to meet US President George W Bush in Washington.

And later, Kumaratunga declared a state of emergency. Its exact details and powers of the declaration have yet to be made clear, although under the constitution the president has command of Sri Lanka's armed forces and ultimate responsibility for law and order and security.

"This is shocking news," said Jehan Perera, media director at the National Peace Council (NPC), a privately funded peace promoter.

However, a presidential spokesman commented, "The president has specifically asked me to state that the ceasefire agreement [with the LTTE] stands, and will stand and there is no question about it," said spokesman Lakshman Kadirgamar.

The dismissals add to the perception of more political instability in Sri Lanka, where Kumaratunga and Wickremesinghe have long had differences over the peace process in the past few years. The peace process that began in September 2002 continues, but the LTTE suspended participation in April and said that progress was too slow. Talks had been expected to start next month.

Kumaratunga has swiftly moved to take charge at the three ministries left leaderless, appointing her confidantes as permanent secretaries to the institutions. News reports say that she is planning a major shakeup in the departments that come under defense, media and interior. She has also ordered troops stationed at state television stations and at the government printing press.

Her moves were triggered by widely-published proposals made by the LTTE at the weekend on the formation of an interim administration in the northeast region, where the majority of Tamils live in the Sinhalese-dominated nation.

The LTTE said that they wanted to lead an interim self-governing authority with autonomous powers - if necessary outside the country's constitution - to rule the northeast for five years. Elections would then be held afterwards.

In the structure they propose for an interim administration, the Tigers want wide powers over raising revenues and the imposition of taxes, and over land and law and order. They also want to have the power to negotiate foreign aid.

The NPC's Perera said that Kumaratunga's reactions in the wake of the LTTE's announcement were not warranted by conditions on the ground. After all, he said, this was the first time they have made proposals for a negotiated political settlement to end the 20-year long ethnic conflict - and these deserve to at least be discussed. "This is very unfortunate since the LTTE step was welcomed by the international community led by the United States," he added.

The sacking of the three ministers means an end to a shaky cohabitation between Wickremesinghe's United National Party (UNP), which was elected to power in December 2001, and Kumaratunga, who was elected separately in 2000 while leading the then ruling People's Alliance coalition. Kumaratunga had also expressed unhappiness about the way the military and the police were being run and had reprimanded the ministers, all Wickremesinghe's nominees.

But Kethish Loganathan, director of the Peace and Conflict Unit at the Center for Policy Alternatives, said that he did not expect the peace process to be shattered by the latest political divisions. "In any case, peace talks were only likely to resume next month to discuss the proposals made by Tamil rebels," he said.

There was no immediate reaction from the LTTE to the latest developments. But public support for the peace process, despite concerns over the LTTE strengthening its forces and taking control in the northeast, remains high.

This is given the fact that the ceasefire has been the longest so far. The absence of war has also yielded dividends in the form of economic stimulus and freer movement of people in the war-torn north and the east, areas that were once closed to the public.

Although Kumaratunga well knows that there is massive international support for the peace process and has said that she supports a negotiated settlement, her Sri Lanka Freedom Party in a statement on Tuesday said that the rebels' proposal for an interim administration would violate the constitution because it would break up the state. It said it viewed "with grave concern the proposals released by the LTTE for the establishment of an interim self-governing authority which lays the legal foundation for a future, separate, sovereign state".

Kumaratunga was in the fact the one who invited Norway to help initiate peace talks in 1999, but failed to push through the initiative due to an escalation in the fighting. When Wickremesinghe's UNP took power in December 2001, he cut a deal with the rebels and launched Sri Lanka's most successful peace effort so far since the rebels stepped up their campaign in 1983 for a separate state for minority Tamils.

(Inter Press Service)
 
Nov 6, 2003



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