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BRIDGING THE SOUTH ASIAN DIVIDE
Down in the Valley, the mood is somber

By Sudha Ramachandran

SRINAGAR - The decision by India and Pakistan to commence a composite dialogue on contentious issues, including Kashmir, has been welcomed as a significant breakthrough in bilateral relations. However, the international applause that has greeted the handshake between Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee and President General Pervez Musharraf in Islamabad has failed to resonate in the Kashmir Valley.

Leaders of mainstream political parties, as well as the separatist groups, including the pro-Pakistan Jamaat-e-Islami, see the decision to start talks next month as a step in the right direction. But the ordinary people of the Valley are skeptical that the dialogue will bring peace on the ground.

However, residents of villages along the Line of Control in Kashmir (LoC) that divides the Indian and Pakistani-administered sections of Kashmir are nevertheless excited about the peace process. These people have lived for decades under the shadow of daily shelling from Pakistan. The recent ceasefire has brought a remarkable change in their lives. The guns have been silent for almost a month now.

Residents of Uri, a town that lies near the LoC, told Asia Times Online that India and Pakistan's decision to enter into dialogue would make the ceasefire more stable and enduring. "We might even start repairing our homes if the talks start," says one resident. In the past, few people have bothered to repair their shell-shattered homes as their houses would get damaged any way because of the endless shelling.

The people of the border villages are looking forward to the opening of the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad Road that runs through Uri. Many families along the LoC have relatives in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (POK). The opening of the road will enable them to meet their relatives. More importantly, they see it as an opportunity to boost the local economy.

But unlike the people living along the LoC who are upbeat about the upcoming India-Pakistan talks and the radical change it could bring in their violence-hit lives, those living in the interior parts of the Valley view the talks with cynicism and skepticism. Many Kashmiris believe that far too many jihadis have already been infiltrated into the Kashmir Valley for violence in the near future.

Although the security situation in Srinagar, the summer capital of Jammu and Kashmir state, has improved remarkably over the past year, it is not free from violence. An improvised explosive device exploded in the city last week, killing several personnel of the Indian security forces.

But it is the situation in rural Kashmir that is particularly worrying. People living in villages say that there has been a marked increase in the number of jihadis operating here, especially in southern Kashmir. According to Kashmiris living near Tral, unlike in the past when militants were infiltrated from Pakistan into India across the LoC in districts like Kupwara in the Valley, in recent years it is through the districts of Rajouri and Poonch in the Jammu region of the state that most infiltration takes place. The Pakistan-trained militants transit through Doda, a Muslim-majority district in Jammu, into the Valley. Shopian, Pulwama, Tral and Anantnag are being described as the new "hotbeds of militancy", especially jihadi militancy.

But the influence of the jihadis extends to urban Kashmir as well. A Kashmiri journalist pointed out that they have a formidable intelligence network in Srinagar. Describing the way they pressure the media, he said that it is the jihadis who decide who will write an editorial and the line to be taken. The jihadis are not keen that issues such as peace, development and the political process are discussed or written about. "They expect people to write and think only about religion," he said, adding that any anti-Pakistan articles are simply not published. Journalists who write on development issues have been threatened.

The anti-Pakistani mood in the Valley is widespread. While this does not mean that people are pro-India - most Kashmiris are in favor of azadi (independence) from Indian and Pakistani control - many realize that their economic future is brighter with India. They admit that they are better off with India, but only with a secular-democratic India.

Several Kashmiris this correspondent spoke to pointed out that Pakistan would never give up backing terrorism in the Valley. As a professor in Kashmir University put it: "The Kashmir issue holds Pakistan together. Successive governments, whether military or democratic, have thrived on the Kashmir issue. They have made funding terrorism here their business." It is "foolish", he said, to believe that Pakistan will change its "fundamental policy on Kashmir".

In fact, many in Srinagar believe that Pakistan would never agree to the opening of the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad Road as the azadi of POK would be exposed. People in Indian Kashmir would wake up to the fact that they are better off with India, a cab driver said.

The Indian security forces are of the view that Pakistan might crack down on only those militant groups that threaten Musharraf. "But we expect terror camps based in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir to continue functioning," a senior officer of the Indian Border Security Force told Asia Times Online.

Ordinary Kashmiris are skeptical about their lives changing as a result of the forthcoming India-Pakistan talks. They believe that international pressure (United States in particular) notwithstanding, India and Pakistan will not change their positions on the issue. They fear that the talks will break down as soon as the Kashmir issue comes up. Besides, they believe that Pakistan will step up militancy to pressure India to concede more.

Moreover, "The formalization of the LoC as an international border that India and many in the international community see as the most practical solution clarifies things between India and Pakistan," points out a lawyer close to the pro-azadi Jammu and Kashmir Liberation Front. "It does not address the problem of the Kashmiri people and their right to self-determination."

The border and where it will lie is of little consequence to many Kashmiri people who are fed up with 14 years of violence. A generation of Kashmiris has lost out on education and normal life that those in other parts of India have benefited from. They want the militancy to end.

A Srinagar-based Kashmiri businessman said that unlike the Kashmiri militants who were responsive to local sentiments and demands, the jihadis (mainly Pakistanis and Afghans) are not bothered about Kashmiri concerns. "They have their goals and they will pursue them come what may," he says. Nobody believes that the jihadis will lay down arms simply because the Indians and Pakistanis are in a mood to talk now.

A resident of Sopore said that the suffering of the Kashmiri people would not end simply because of the dialogue. The ceasefire is between India and Pakistan along their frontier. India has not extended a ceasefire to the militants. India's counter-insurgency operations continue. "The security forces still harass us and search our homes. That has not and will not change," she points out.

The proposed Islamabad-Delhi talks could bring some change in bilateral relations between the two neighbors. The people of Kashmir fear that for them it could be just business as usual.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jan 10, 2004



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