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Victors and villains in India's advertising
By Raja M

MUMBAI - Riding an economy cantering at over 6 percent, insiders in India's US$2.5 billion advertising industry are predicting a growth rate of 15 to 18 percent, while others conservatively peg prospects at 10 to 12 percent.

This upbeat mood reflected the global media's perk up in 2003, after half a decade of either negative or measly growth. The Paris-based World Association of Newspapers (WAN) forecasts happier times in the next five years for the international media and advertising business.

WAN released a study at the end of 2003 showing strong growth for short and mid terms. In a survey of 14 markets around the world, PricewaterhouseCooper's annual Entertainment and Media Outlook gives the global media industry an average annual 4.8 percent growth rate between 2003 and 2007.

"For 2004, a 12 percent growth repeat seems likely in India," says Andre Nair, South Asia chief executive officer of MindShare, a WPP Group company, one of the world's largest media investment management companies.

"Given the macroeconomic conditions, particularly with an early general election, some positive steps in the disinvestment area will further strengthen investor confidence," Nair told Asia Times Online. Spearheading the growth, he expects, will be the automobile sector, financial products and initial public offerings [stocks], telecommunications - both telephone companies and mobile phone makers - insurance, consumer electronics, personal and notebook computers, fashion and luxury goods.

The Indian advertising industry enjoyed some glory in 2003. It hosted the much-hyped AdAsia conference in Jaipur as well snagging 29 finalist nominations in the print and outdoor categories at the Cannes advertising awards. The effervescent Piyush Pandey, executive chairman of Ogilvy & Mather India, was appointed president for the 2004 Cannes Lions Jury, the first Asian to hold the post.

Pandey is one of a few colorful characters brightening the Indian advertising tribe. A former tea taster and inter-state cricket player, Pandey is known for his earthy ideas and iconoclastic outlook. Meanwhile Nair, a squash player with a masters degree in psychology, has a love for great train journeys like the trans-Siberian rail route, and has had experience working with Ogilvy and Mather in Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia and New York. Prahlad Kakkar, an eccentric ad filmmaker and gourmet, loves scuba diving. Bharat Dabholkar, one of the pioneers of "Hinglish" in Indian advertising - the hybrid of Hindi and English - scripts and produces smash hit comic plays like Bottoms Up and keeps live piranhas swimming in his office.

Inevitably, advertising is gathering Indian media interest and TV programming. Following CNBC's "Story Board", the BBC commissioned a 13-part series on Indian advertising and marketing to be aired from March.

But every successful ad campaign needs a famous face to back it up. The aging Bollywood icon Amitabh Bachchan and cricketing superstar Sachin Tendulkar continue their reign India's highest paid models. Tendulkar's popularity is not surprising, given cricket in India is a multi-million dollar media business, with companies investing hugely in television ads and sponsorships. Rates and ratings inevitably surge ahead with the fortunes of the Indian cricket team. As much as one-third of the Indian advertising growth rate is owed to cricket.

During the cricket World Cup in South Africa last year, where India stormed to the final in Johannesburg but suffered a humiliating defeat to the Australians, total advertising for the tournament scored an astonishing $89 million. "Cricket will drive TV spending growth in 2004," the pony-tailed Nair says. "There is an unprecedented 100 percent inflation in rates for live cricket broadcasts. The domestic series against Australia and New Zealand was sold out within 24 hours of the channel announcing packages, again at a huge premium."

India's forthcoming cricket tour of Pakistan in March, after a troubled 15-year gap, is expected to send ad spending through the roof. The Pakistan Cricket Board has already declared an expected income of around $9 million from the series.

Sporting events are enjoying growing advertising support in India, a trend reflecting a society with an increased amount of spending money and leisure time. The Media Research Users Council conducted a Sections, Pullouts and Attitudinal Readership Research, or SPARR, which found that newspaper readers in Mumbai prefer sports news to business. Interest in the usually underdone business pages of newspapers was the lowest at 15 to 42 percent.

Business news receives favorable treatment from TV news channels that are perking up in India and increasingly attracting advertisers. "The obvious reason could be the way news channels are now packaging themselves in view of the increased competition and the events occurring in the current world scenario," says an ADEx India analysis.

Not only American TV networks made big money off the Iraq war - and peace parleys between India and Pakistan, for instance, are done to death by Indian TV channels eyeing advertising revenue.

But there is a villain threatening the promising 2004 media story, and that is the long-drawn squabble between satellite TV channels and Indian cable operators. The satellite TV channels accuse cable TV operators of under-reporting subscriptions, while the cable TV operators blame satellite channels for overpricing and arm-twisting. The running fracas usually results in periodic cable TV channel blackouts. Fed up TV viewers are going to court. The Delhi High Court admitted a public interest petition seeking a curb on the number of advertisements in pay channels.

Acting as an exasperated referee, the Information and Broadcasting Ministry announced plans to appoint an interim regulator. It wants to promote transparency in the cable TV industry, regulate the pricing of pay channels and the number of advertisements and, of course, censor content.

Much of the wrangling is over the new Conditional Access System, a set-top box channel accessing system that is on trial in Chennai and South Delhi. With national elections around the corner, the Indian government feels more inclined to hurriedly solve the cable TV tangle - one that will impact many an Indian political, advertising and media fortune.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jan 16, 2004





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