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INDIA-US SECURITY
India caught in Washington's political mangle

By Ashish Kumar Sen

WASHINGTON - President George W Bush's intention of building a "strategic partnership" with India runs the risk of being consistently undermined by Washington's powerful non-proliferation faction.

Earlier this month, while in Mexico to attend a summit of American states, and far from the political sway of Washington, Bush announced a bilateral decision to expand cooperation with India. Specific areas of collaboration that have been identified include civilian nuclear activities, civilian space programs and high-technology trade.

"We agree to expand our dialogue on missile defense," said the president, noting that cooperation in all these areas will deepen the ties of commerce and friendship between the two nations, while increasing stability in Asia and beyond.

But any enthusiasm that this optimistic statement may have generated was duly squelched in Washington, where a senior State Department official pointed out, on the condition of anonymity, that this cooperation could take months, even years, to play out.

Washington's non-proliferation lobby, principally entrenched in the State Department and influential policy think tanks that proliferate in the city, has been a persistent thorn in the side of US-India relations.

The significant hurdle posed by this group was reflected in a recent speech made by Mitchell Reiss at a conference at the Los Alamos National Laboratory. Reiss, director of the State Department's policy planning bureau, said that not only North Korea, but also India, Pakistan and Israel should be stripped of their nuclear weapons. He asserted that the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty which all three countries, along with Cuba, have resisted signing "should be made universal".

While the Bush administration has steered a course unencumbered by the treaty, many American policy analysts believe non-proliferation concerns will continue to plague Washington's relationship with New Delhi.

The differences in perception of non-proliferation issues underscore the policy rift between the State Department and the Pentagon. The office of the Secretary of Defense sponsored a study, "Indo-US Military Relationship: Expectations and Perceptions" - to explore impediments to military cooperation between the US and India. Not surprisingly, many Indian and American interviewees agreed that the State Department was an "obstacle" to developing the relationship quickly as it does not share the Department of Defense's longer-term strategic view. Another factor cited was the State Department's power to stall the licensing process for technology transfer.

A senior Indian army official was quoted as saying: "The attitudes at the State Department must change if the relationship is ever to progress beyond low-level service-to-service cooperation into a well-developed defense relationship."

Pentagon officials are critical of the State Department's stand based on past experiences of dealing with the department and are skeptical about its willingness to abandon its prejudices, particularly given the ongoing tension in Kashmir.

Common complaints at the Pentagon include: Congress and the State Department repeatedly deploy stalling tactics against India by refusing to send India even the most benign items, such as spare parts for low-cost aircraft, even after the Indians have paid for them.

In New Delhi, officials assert that the non-proliferation lobby will continue to be an obstacle to greater cooperation until the US accepts India as a nuclear power and treats it as a nuclear "friend".

Conflicting signals from the Pentagon - which seeks to embrace India as a strategic partner - and the State Department - which tends to treat India as a dangerous proliferator - also threaten the Indian confidence in talk of a "strategic partnership" between the two countries.

Following the November 2001 meeting between Bush and Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee, "strategic partnership" became the new mantra of the bilateral relations between India and the US.

From the American perspective, a strategic military relationship with India represents a "hedge" against an uncertain and possibly threatening future in Asia. Analysts view this partnership as a long-term process.

One of the recurring arguments in the Defense Department report was: If China emerges as a major power, the US needs to have friends - preferably friends who share the same values (eg democracy). Given India's strategic geographical location and clout in the region, this collaboration would give the US access to Asia.

State Department opposition centers on concern over potential leakage of technology due to a lack of export laws and safeguards of technologies in India. "We have seen India attempting to take steps [to control such leakage] but in many cases not being able to finish the process," said a senior State Department official.

Jon Wolfsthal, an arms-control expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, is more vocal in his criticism of India. "India has misappropriated and misused US technology in the past, and this is the same technology that could be used for long range interceptor missiles. Until we see India acting responsibly, we need to be very careful that we don't provide them with technology that could be used [by a third party] to target US forces in the field," Wolfsthal said in a recent interview with the Washington Times.

The Bush administration has worked hard to develop ties with India in the face of such opposition. An American policymaker observed: "India's nuclear capability is not an obstacle but a driver of the United States's relationship with India. We need to cultivate India as a friend to ensure that its nuclear weapons are not used against the United States or its friends. Moreover, engagement with India gives the US more leverage on other issues related to nuclear proliferation."

The recently announced initiative, echoed by Vajpayee in New Delhi, will include expanded engagement on nuclear regulatory and safety issues and missile defense, ways to enhance cooperation in peaceful uses of space technology, and steps to create the appropriate environment for successful high technology commerce.

In order to combat the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, relevant laws, regulations and procedures will be strengthened, and measures to increase bilateral and international cooperation in this area will be employed. "These cooperative efforts will be undertaken in accordance with our respective national laws and international obligations," Bush said.

In his final policy speech as US ambassador to India, Robert D Blackwill highlighted defense cooperation as one of the most critical areas in the ongoing evolution of US-India relations. "In US defense sales to India, we have gone from zero to almost $200 million in the past 14 months, and are poised for far more ambitious interaction in this field, including the possible Indian purchase of defensive nuclear, biological and chemical equipment, special forces gear, and P-3 Orion Maritime Patrol aircraft," Blackwill said. He added: "The Bush administration perceives India as a strategic opportunity for the United States, not as an irritating recalcitrant."

Following the end of US sanctions imposed after New Delhi conducted nuclear tests in May 1998, Washington sold the Firefinder weapon-locating radar to India. The delivery of these radars, which can detect long-range enemy missiles and artillery projectiles and then retaliate with pinpoint accuracy, will be completed by September 2006.

"The vision of US-India strategic partnership that Prime Minister Vajpayee and I share is now becoming a reality," Bush declared. Perhaps it was the fact that the president was away in less politically hostile Monterrey, Mexico, when he made this bold statement that allowed him to be oblivious to the lobbies in Washington that haunt such a partnership.

Ashish Kumar Sen is a Washington-based journalist.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jan 22, 2004



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