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Musharraf not out of the woods just yet
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - Pakistan has managed to sweep its nuclear-proliferation problems under the carpet by pinning all blame on the country's premier scientist, Dr Abdul Qadeer Khan. But while this may have bought Pakistan some time in the short term, the problem is likely to reappear as the world grows increasingly concerned over the country's past involvement in transferring nuclear technology and information in some form or another to Iran, Libya and North Korea.

And as important, the time that President General Pervez Musharraf has won by pardoning an apparently repentant Khan for his "sins" has come at a very high cost.

Khan is a folk hero in Pakistan for developing the Muslim world's first nuclear bomb, which in turn placed Pakistan on an equal footing with nuclear-armed India. News that the 66-year-old scientist had been made the scapegoat - when it is one of the country's worst-kept secrets that former military and political figures must have been involved - has incensed many.

Their first reaction was to call a general strike in the wake of Khan's February 6 "confession", which had qualified success beyond the port city of Karachi. And sections of the media have been awash with criticism of Musharraf. Notably, Hamid Mir (once the official biographer of Osama bin Laden) termed the strike call by the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA), a powerful alliance of six religious political parties, "a ringing bell" for Musharraf. Though the writer did not say so specifically, he implied that the strike call had been given at the behest of a section within the army.

Herein lies one of Musharraf's biggest problems. While the general apparently has the support of senior officials such as corps commanders - after all, he appointed them - others within the powerful military have never accepted the country's ditching of the Taliban and Musharraf siding with the United States in the "war on terrorism".

Adding fuel to their discontent is the ever-increasing influence that the US appears to have in Pakistan, from its intelligence operators being given a free run in the country to the latest reports that Pakistan has handed over the key codes for its nuclear facilities to the Americans. These reports - not officially confirmed - have appeared in Britain and the US as proof that Pakistan's assets will not fall into the hands of extremists. In Pakistan, the reports are interpreted by many as yet another sign that Musharraf is no more than a US lackey. It is along these lines that the military is increasingly being polarized - either pro-US or anti-US.

After the two recent abortive assassination attempts on Musharraf - the first is still thought by many to have been instigated by Musharraf himself - Pakistan's intelligence agencies launched widespread crackdowns against breakaway factions of the jihadi outfits that had revolted against their own organizations for not waging jihad against Musharraf's government.

At least 15 breakaway factions were identified. Although they were not necessarily linked to the assassination attempts, they were believed to have similar tendencies. During one of the raids, one Jamil was detained in Bahawalpur, southern Punjab province. Under interrogation, according to sources who have spoken to Asia Times Online, he outlined how the groups survived and gave details of their arms supplies. And importantly, he dropped the name of a Saeed from Rawalakot, who was subsequently detained.

This person turned out to be the son of a sister of General Aziz Khan, the chairman of the Chiefs of the Joint Staff Committee, a ceremonial but high post in the armed services.

There is no evidence at all at this point to link General Khan to Saeed in any way, other than by blood, but army intelligence is taking even the hint of a military conspiracy very seriously.

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Feb 12, 2004



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(Feb 11, '04)

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