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New monitor for India's booming TV industry
By Raja M

MUMBAI - A new television viewing monitoring system has been introduced to give Indian broadcasters, advertisers and media planners an overdue alternative to knowing how viewers are watching the 200 channels beamed into India's 85 million TV households.

Leading global TV ratings finder AC Nielsen Media Research's Television Audience Measurement (TAM) held the TV viewership measuring monopoly until now.

Ratings influence who gets the bigger slices of India's US$1.18 billion (Rs 45 billion) television advertising market that is heading rapidly upwards. With 48 million subscribing to cable TV, India has the world's third-largest but most complex couch potato market.

The chairman of India's Reliance Industries, Mukesh Ambani (ranked 13th in Fortune's August 2004 list of the 25 most powerful Asian businessmen), predicted the Indian media and entertainment industry would be worth $200 billion in 20 years. Industry watcher Indiantelevision.com expects India to have 95 million cable TV households by 2010.

Hoping to help advertisers and media planners make better sense of this TV watching maze is the new chip-based technology called aMap (for Audience Map). Unveiled this week, aMap promises daily ratings of viewer trends, as against the weekly ratings provided by AC Nielsen-TAM. The Ahmedabad-based firm marketing the new technology, Audience Measurement and Analytics Ltd (AMA), hopes that aMap could be also modified to monitor Internet, newspaper, cinema and radio usage.

According to Professor Matthias Steinmann, the inventor of the People Meter and founder and chief executive officer of the Swiss-based Telecontrol AG, the aMap service makes India Asia's first overnight online TV audience rating provider.

A People Meter is state of the art electronic equipment that can automatically measure TV viewing, and is a standard for rating televisions worldwide. TV watching habits were monitored through diaries 20 years ago, with selected viewers recording their preferences on paper. Use of the obviously far more comprehensive People Meters grew with the cable TV explosion of the 1990s.

From sample TV households, between 2 am to 4 am daily, the new Indian entrant, AMA's aMap chip, gathers data on TV viewing from the People Meters and sends it via a mobile phone call to a central server. Subscribers can instantly access the reports through a virtual private network connection. The real-time process involves no human intervention, unlike TAM that physically scoops data through field agents visiting sample households.

However, TAM responded that the data collected mechanically would be too raw to be reliable. "We physically validate our weekly data before it goes out," Uday Kumar Shetty, director of core services at Nielsen Media Research, told Asia Times Online. He expressed doubts how TV viewership data going directly from individual households could be extrapolated in a larger market sense. AC Nielsen, owned by the Dutch media company VNU, has been measuring TV audiences in America since the 1950s.

Most industry players welcomed the competition, the first since TAM merged with India's earlier TV viewer measuring agency INTAM in 2003. Pallavi Iyer, media planner at Carat, the world's largest independent media agency ($17.9 billion in global billings last fiscal), told Asia Times Online that there definitely was a need for an alternative TV viewership measurement. "On one occasion, the TAM figures gave a TRP [Television Rating Points] of between 3 and 4 for Star Utsav [part of Rupert Murdoch's Star TV network]. But I found it to be closer around 0.8." Iyer says that she invariably does independent research for major clients.

But a bigger, central problem challenging any TV viewership measurers is the sample size of households, with persistent doubts about how a minuscule monitoring system can speak for India's diverse TV market. The bristling issue burst open three years ago in a major controversy when the confidential list of sampling households was leaked to the media.

"The sampling size is pathetic," observes Ralph Paes, general manager of a national publication with 30 years experience as a media professional. "You cannot throw away clients' money without knowing where it is going. How can a sampling size of, say, 600 viewers in a city like Mumbai reflect viewership trends of 15 million people? Niche channels tend to lose out."

Shetty says TAM has 4,565 of the imported People Meters installed in India at a cost of $5,400 each. Mumbai has 450 People Meters. "Around 5,000 People Meters work well in large TV viewership countries such as the USA and the UK," says Shetty. On whether a sample size of 4,500 would be enough to deal with India's diversity - India has 37 national languages - Shetty says that TAM data shows the differences in viewing habits between regions does not vary much.

To tackle complaints that niche channels were being ignored, TAM had announced plans this June to install a new set of People Meters to track the media consumption habits of high income groups. Not surprisingly, the share of niche channels in the TV advertising business is twice their viewership share. Two percent of total viewership of premium channels such as HBO and STAR Movies rake in 4% of the total ad revenue.

AMA says that 1,000 aMap meters have been installed in India, with Mumbai (400), Delhi (400) and Ahmedabad (200). The number could be increased to 20,000 in two years. But the figure advertising houses are more comfortable with is at least around 10,000 meters for a city such as Mumbai.

"Otherwise credibility is a big problem," Abhijit Bannerjee, managing partner of medium-sized advertising agency Wavelength Communications ($1.3 million annual billing) told Asia Times Online. "Around 350 families in my apartment block watch TV. I find it hard to believe that around 300 People Meters can speak for the entire city of Mumbai. But for want of any other alternative, we have to go by the TRP."

Raviratan Arora, managing director of AMA, says aMap has around 30 variables with the option of 256 other variables to measure viewership, such as also factoring in the fact that the same TV channel could be on for five hours with no one in the house watching it except the family dog. AMA says that their system can automatically measure what Indians in New York watch for instance. The user simply defines the sample base, installs the People Meters and then makes the calls accordingly. An actual physical presence is not needed.

However, better than such fine selling points for monitoring systems, the move promising more credible times for India's TV advertising business is the lobbying presently on for an industry watchdog - a monitor to monitor the TV rating agencies.

Raja M is an independent writer based in Mumbai, India.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Aug 7, 2004



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