Search Asia Times

Advanced Search

 
South Asia

Spies, terrorists and Pakistan
By B Raman

The United States' 9-11 National Commission Recommendations Act (Law 2845) provides for the implementation of all the recommendations of the National Commission relating to the intelligence and security apparatus, as well as the diplomatic strategy for the future conduct of the "war against terrorism" in general, and Islamist terrorism in particular.

The US Congress has approved the biggest overhaul of US intelligence agencies in more than 50 years, sending the bill that creates a new director of national intelligence, demanded after September 11, 2001, to President George W Bush for his signature. In addition to a new spy director, the legislation creates a national counter-terrorism center to plan and help oversee security operations. It also includes measures to improve border security and give law enforcement new anti-terror tools.

The media have focused mainly on the act's provisions for the revamping of the US intelligence community and made it appear as if it is essentially an act for intelligence reforms. Yet reform of the physical security apparatus of the US and the future conduct of US diplomacy vis-a-vis Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, which are the main epicenters of jihadi terrorism, occupy an equally important place in the act.

The provisions of the act relating to US relations with Pakistan should be of greater interest to Indian policymakers than those having a bearing on the reform of the US intelligence and security apparatus.

Those who carefully read the text of the report would have noticed that while bringing on record all reports regarding Pakistan's links with the Taliban and al-Qaeda, the commission had, at the same time, made appreciative references to the post-September 11 role played by President General Pervez Musharraf in helping the US in its "war against terrorism" and to his efforts to curb Islamic extremism in Pakistan, at tremendous risk to his life.

The commission was, therefore, inclined to treat what had happened pre-September 11 as a closed chapter and to encourage Musharraf to vigorously implement the policy of enlightened moderation, which he has been advocating in recent months. In a recommendation on policy toward Pakistan as part of the United States' counter-terrorism strategy, it had said: "If Musharraf stands for enlightened moderation in a fight for his life and for the life of his country, the US should be willing to make hard choices too and make the difficult long-term commitment to the future of Pakistan. Sustaining the current scale of aid to Pakistan, the US should support Pakistan's government in its struggle against extremists with a comprehensive effort that extends from military aid to support for better education, so long as Pakistan's leaders remain willing to make difficult choices of their own."

The act seeks to give effect to this recommendation through Section 4082, which states as follows:
Section 4082. United States commitment to the future of Pakistan.
(a) Sense of Congress - It is the sense of Congress that the United States should, over a long-term period, help to ensure a promising, stable, and secure future for Pakistan, and should in particular provide assistance to encourage and enable Pakistan.
(1) To continue and improve upon its commitment to combating extremists;
(2) To seek to resolve any outstanding difficulties with its neighbors and other countries in its region;
(3) To continue to make efforts to fully control its territory and borders;
(4) To progress towards becoming a more effective and participatory democracy;
(5) To participate more vigorously in the global marketplace and to continue to modernize its economy;
(6) To take all necessary steps to halt the spread of weapons of mass destruction;
(7) To continue to reform its education system; and
(8) To, in other ways, implement a general strategy of moderation.
(b) Strategy - Not later than 180 days after the date of the enactment of this act, the president shall transmit to Congress a detailed proposed strategy for the future, long-term, engagement of the United States with Pakistan. The strategy required by this subsection may contain a classified annex.
Thus the act not only seeks to address Pakistani complaints that the US looks on it only as an ally of convenience and not as a strategic partner, but also provides the necessary congressional authorization for the continuance of the present preferential policy of the Bush administration toward Pakistan, under certain conditions, and calls on the president to submit to Congress within 180 days a paper outlining a strategy of long-term engagement with Pakistan. The act is not a carte blanche to the president to provide assistance to Pakistan on a long-term basis. The long-term commitment to Pakistan would be dependent on Pakistan continuing to serve the US national objective of combating jihadi terrorism and Islamist extremism.

It also calls on the administration to provide assistance to Pakistan to encourage and enable it "to seek to resolve any outstanding difficulties with its neighbors and other countries in its region". Though no countries have been named, the obvious reference is to India and Afghanistan. Indian policymakers should be prepared for a continuation and even enhancement of US military aid to Pakistan as a quid pro quo for its cooperation in the fight against al-Qaeda and the Taliban and for an intrusive US interest in the dialogue between India and Pakistan on various issues, particularly Kashmir. Whether the United States' now-assured long-term commitment to Pakistan, which Islamabad has always been demanding, and its constant nudging of Islamabad with regard to its talks with India will make Pakistan more flexible or more obdurate remains to be seen.

While the act provides incentives to Pakistan to continue on its declared path of enlightened moderation, it refrains from talking of any disincentives or punitive measures should it fail to do so.

The main provision regarding the revamping of the intelligence apparatus relates to the creation of a post of national intelligence director (NID), who will perform the following tasks (as indicated in a congressional summary of the act):
  • Serves as the head of the United States intelligence community and acts as the principal advisor to the president, the National Security Council, and the Homeland Security Council for foreign and domestic intelligence matters relating to the national security.
  • Ensures the effective execution of the annual budget for intelligence and intelligence-related activities.
  • Facilitates the management and execution of funds appropriated for the national intelligence program.
  • Ensures the sharing of and access to information within, with special emphasis on detecting, preventing, preempting, and disrupting terrorist threats and attacks against the US.
  • Ensures that appropriate agencies and departments have access to and receive all-source intelligence support needed to carry out their own missions as well as to perform independent, competitive analysis.
  • Establishes a National Intelligence Council to produce national intelligence estimates and evaluate intelligence community-wide collection and production of intelligence.
  • Receives funds for the National Intelligence Program (NIP) and allocates those funds to the intelligence community.
  • Approves annual budgets for the intelligence community and develops and presents the annual intelligence budget request for the approval of the president.
  • Establishes a civil liberties protection officer, appointed by the NID, to ensure policies and procedures for civil liberty protections; also reviews and assesses complaints.
  • Establishes an Intelligence Community Information Technology Officer to assist the NID in sharing of information and developing and implementing an integrated information technology network.
  • Establishes a National Counter Terrorism Center to serve as the primary organization for analyzing and integrating all US intelligence pertaining to terrorism and counter-terrorism.
  • There has been much hype about the creation of the post of the NID. The media have projected him as the intelligence czar of the US and the post's creation as a revolutionary change in the US intelligence community since the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) was created. The idea of a separate post of intelligence coordinator and adviser to the president is nothing new. Even in the present set-up, there is a post of director of central intelligence to act as the coordinator and the adviser to the president. But, under the present setup, the post is held as an additional charge by the director of the CIA.

    For many years, there has been a criticism that this dual charge comes in the way of the CIA director's ability to act effectively as the intelligence coordinator. Moreover, according to critics, the fact that the coordinator is also the head of the CIA tended to affect his objectivity, thereby creating a perception that he was not even-handed in the allocation of resources and responsibilities among the various agencies of the intelligence community.

    Since the early 1990s, some sections of policymakers, non-governmental experts and congressmen have been demanding the separation of the two posts and the creation of the post of intelligence director, with enhanced powers of supervision and coordination. They could not succeed in their efforts to have this post created due to strong opposition from inside the intelligence community. The heads of individual agencies, including the CIA, were worried that this could reduce their importance. The heads of the technical intelligence agencies of the Defense Department, which consume nearly 75% of the total budget of the intelligence community (currently US$40 billion), were reluctant to cede control to anyone outside the Pentagon.

    Those in favor of the creation of a director have taken advantage of the public shock over the failure of the US intelligence and security agencies to prevent the September 11 terrorist strikes to have this proposal approved by the 9-11 Commission and pushed through Congress. The CIA officers, who were in the forefront of the opposition in the past, have not been able to prevent it this time because of their negative image in the eyes of the public and Congress due to their perceived poor performance with regard to September 11 and Iraq.

    The technical intelligence agencies of the Pentagon, through their supporters in Congress, did put up a fight against the proposal, but they too could not succeed because US public opinion, mobilized by the relatives of those killed on September 11, has been strongly in favor of the implementation of the recommendations of the 9-11 Commission in total.

    A group of congressmen headed by Duncan Hunter, the chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, strongly opposed the bill. Hunter said he feared the new bill would give too much power to the new director, preventing battlefield commanders from having timely access to necessary satellite intelligence. He gave his support to the bill only after a modification in it directed the president to issue guidelines for the director "in a manner that respects and does not abrogate the statutory responsibilities of the heads of the departments". Assurances have been given to those opposing the bill that the Pentagon will retain control over battlefield intelligence assets.

    What it apparently means is that the president, while laying down the charter of the director, will restrict his powers of supervision over the technical and other intelligence agencies of the Pentagon in areas of conflict or in the battlefield areas such as Afghanistan and Iraq, where the powers of supervision of the defense secretary will have primacy over those of the NID.

    Supporters of the bill have made it appear as if there would have been no September 11 if only there was a director at that time. "We are going to create a more aggressive, a more vibrant and a more organized intelligence community that is going to give policymakers the information that they need to make the appropriate decisions," said Peter Hoekstra, House Intelligence Committee chairman. He added: "It's also going to give very, very good information to our war fighters."

    This is all wishful thinking. September 11 and Iraq happened because the US intelligence officers, due to their over-dependence on technical gadgetry, had lost the ability to win over, raise and run human sources, particularly in an alien culture, and over the years the analytical capabilities of the intelligence community and the staffers of the National Security Council have been allowed to be weakened. Matters were made worse by a political leadership that came to office with preconceived ideas of threats to the United States' national security and was not prepared to accept and act on any analysis that was not in conformity with its preconceived ideas.

    In such an environment, an additional post of a director would not have made any difference. What ails the intelligence communities all over the world, including in the US and India, is a lack of an intellectual humility and a lucidity in thinking in intelligence officers and their unwillingness and inability to admit their inadequacies and take measures to correct them. Intelligence officers tend to think they are the cat's whiskers. Osama bin Laden and his horde of jihadi terrorists have shown them that they are not.

    The lack of coordination and sharing of actionable intelligence highlighted by the commission is not a disease only in the US intelligence community. It is there in the intelligence communities of all countries, including India. Turf battles among different departments and agencies are nothing unusual, nor found only in the intelligence community. They are there everywhere in the government and in the corporate world too. But turf battles and ego clashes in the intelligence community damage national security and cost the lives of people. Dog eats dog in all professions, but dog eats dog with relish in the intelligence profession. To think that one director with high-profile and enhanced powers will cure the community of this disease is to live in a make-believe world.

    To revamp the intelligence apparatus, what is required is not more posts, more money and more powers, but a spell of introspection by all intelligence officers regarding their inadequacies and how to correct them. Any revolutionary change in the working and performance of intelligence agencies has to come from within the agencies. It cannot come from outside.

    The annexure gives a summary of the other provisions of the act. This has been taken from a congressional website.

    B Raman is additional secretary (retired), Cabinet Secretariat, government of India, New Delhi, and currently, director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai, and distinguished fellow and convenor, Observer Research Foundation, Chennai Chapter. E-mail: corde@vsnl.com

    Annexure

    Tracking 'lone wolf; terrorists
  • Authorizes federal officials to target and track "lone wolf" terrorists who act individually and free of any terrorist organization.
  • Changes the law so that federal officials can monitor independently operating terrorists even if he/she does not have a demonstrable connection to a foreign terrorist organization.
  • Example of a "lone wolf": Convicted felon Richard Reed, who attempted to blow up an American Airlines flight from Paris to Miami in December 2001 with a bomb in his shoes. He operated alone without assistance from any terrorist organization.

    Stopping terrorist hoaxes
  • Makes it a crime for an individual to intentionally pull a terrorist hoax or fake the death of a US soldier. Such acts siphon off valuable resources, manpower and equipment away from those trying to respond to real threats.
  • Example of a terrorist hoax: Danny Hogg sent a letter to the family of a US soldier fighting in Iraq falsely informing them that their son was dead.

    Cutting off material support for terrorists
  • Clarifies current law, stipulating that those who provide material support to terrorists or terrorist organizations will be prosecuted and imprisoned.
  • Defines "material support" or "resources" as currency or monetary instruments or financial securities, financial services, lodging, training, expert advice or assistance, safehouses, false documentation or identification, communications equipment, facilities, weapons, lethal substances, explosives, personnel, transportation, and other physical assets. This definition illustrates the breadth of resources that terrorists may need to carry out a successful attack, and the many ways in which their supporters can contribute to the spread of violence.
  • Targets and seeks to dismantle the entire terrorist network, from the frontline killers, to those in terrorist training camps, to the fundraisers and facilitators.
  • Example: Terrorists need not only weapons, but also the training to use them, the money to buy them, and the personnel to wield them. And while planning and preparing for their attacks, terrorists need safe places to stay, expert advice on targets and methods of attack, communications equipment to keep in touch with each other, means of transportation, and identity documents to cross borders.

    Strengthening laws against weapons of mass destruction
  • Clarifies criminal activity about weapons of mass destruction.
  • Expands current law to include chemical weapons and the development of nuclear weapons as grounds for criminal prosecution.

    Continuing to crack down on money laundering and terrorist financing
  • Strengthens bipartisan improvements to current law making it harder for terrorists to secure financing.
  • Further improves the tools available to law enforcement to investigate and prosecute money laundering.
  • Mandates better safeguards in the financial industry against financial fraud by terrorists and criminals.

    Enhancing airline security
  • Trains all federal law enforcement officers with in-flight counterterrorism procedures.
  • Allows qualified federal law enforcement officers to assist with airline security while not on duty.
  • Improves the current passenger pre-screening system that more accurately targets suspected terrorists.

    Border security/terrorist travel

    Enhancing border security
  • Doubles the current number of border patrol officers and triples the number of immigration enforcement agents.

    Improving security identification
  • Makes it more difficult for terrorists to falsify identification to gain admission and remain in the country to plan and plot terrorist acts.
  • Requires all drivers' licenses and birth certificates to bear a set of standard characteristics thereby cutting down on forgeries.
  • Reduces the black market for identification documents where terrorists like sniper John Muhammad made a living by providing bogus birth certificates and drivers' licenses.
  • Standardizes entry requirements for all individuals coming into the US, asking anyone coming from a country other than Mexico and Canada to provide a secure document.

    Targeting terrorist travel
  • Expands pre-inspection programs at foreign airports to better target suspected terrorists before they enter the US.
  • Increases penalties for doctoring existing passports or forging new ones.
  • Enhances fingerprinting capabilities used to check visitors to the US.
  • Strengthens the ability of consular officers and immigration inspectors to access the cumulative travel history of individuals, preventing terrorists from entering the US.

    International cooperation and coordination

    Attacking terrorist sanctuaries
  • Asserts that the US needs to develop and implement a comprehensive strategy to address current and potential terrorist sanctuaries.
  • Amends current US law to allow the president to restrict sensitive exports to countries that continue to provide terrorist sanctuaries.

    Strengthening diplomatic ties
  • Encourages the president to use all diplomatic means with coalition partners to agree on an effective approach regarding the detention and treatment of captured terrorists.
  • Requires an annual review and assessment of public diplomacy activities by the Secretary of State.
  • Requires preparation of long-term strategy in Afghanistan, encouraging more participation of other nations in its reconstruction and making available additional assistance for measures to disrupt the opium trade in Afghanistan and its growing links to international terrorism.
  • Requires the president to develop a strategy for expanding collaboration with the people and government of Saudi Arabia, including intelligence and security cooperation in the fight against terrorism, and on matters of political and economic reform.
  • Encourages Pakistan to continue in its commitment to combat terrorism, modernize its economy, resolve differences with its neighbors, reform its education system and make progress in creating an effective and participatory democracy.

    Fostering better cross-cultural understanding
  • Creates a scholarship pilot program to provide opportunities for better cultural understanding and awareness by students of American-sponsored schools located in predominately Muslim countries.
  • Encourages American embassies to counter possible anti-American sentiment in biased or false foreign media coverage.

    Cutting red tape for America's intelligence agencies
  • Reforms the designation process of Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) so that such FTOs cannot use bureaucratic red tape to their advantage.
  • Eliminates burdensome regulations so that a new or different spelling of the same terrorist organization does not force intelligence agencies to go through the cumbersome process of reclassifying them.

    Cooperating to fight terrorist financing
  • Improves international cooperation and information sharing by creating an International Terrorist financing coordinating council.
  • Consolidates various resources to track the financial lifeblood of terrorist organizations.

    Government restructuring

    Providing faster, smarter funding for first responders
  • Unclogs the funding pipeline - from the federal government to local first responders - to help expedite resources to where they are most needed.
  • Establishes new guidelines that channel necessary resources according to threat-based assessment and formulas.

    Strengthening the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)
  • Allows the FBI to recruit and retain the best personnel possible to secure America.
  • Enables the FBI to develop a specialized workforce with deep expertise in intelligence and national security.
  • Provides retention bonuses, retirement age waivers and higher pay for special skills for those who keep us safe at home;

    Streamlining current security clearance procedures
  • Creates reciprocity and standards among federal agencies so that capable analysts are no longer hindered from working where they need to be.
  • Eliminates the wasteful, duplicative process of re-doing security clearances between different administrations, enabling the incoming president to have the best information and intelligence available immediately.

    Protecting individual privacy
  • Requires assessments of the impact that proposed and final rules would have on the privacy of individuals.
  • Establishes a chief privacy officer for agencies with law enforcement or anti-terrorism functions, who would be responsible for ensuring that personally identifiable information is protected by the agency from unauthorized or inappropriate use. This privacy officer is in addition to the Civil Liberties Protection Officer in the office of the NID.

    Enhancing America's first responders
  • Makes it easier for first responders (firefighters, policemen etc) to help those in need across state lines without fear of being sued.

    Implementing better oversight and coordination
  • Asks the Secretary of Defense to regularly assess the adequacy of United States Northern Command's plans and strategies to ensure effective preparation and responses to threats within the Untied States.
  • Asks all levels of government to adopt a National Incident Management System - a unified structural framework for federal, state, territorial, tribal and local governments to ensure coordination during emergencies involving multiple jurisdictions or agencies.
  • Establishes a program and Office for Interoperability and Compatibility at the DHS (Department of Homeland Security) to enhance public safety communications at all levels of government.
  • Encourages Congress to review the Congressional oversight of various homeland security and intelligence functions prior to or at the start of the 109th Congress.


  • Dec 10, 2004
    Asia Times Online Community



    High-tech failure against terror 
    (Nov 30, '04)

     

         
             
    No material from Asia Times Online may be republished in any form without written permission.
    Copyright 2003, Asia Times Online, 4305 Far East Finance Centre, 16 Harcourt Rd, Central, Hong Kong