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    South Asia
     May 10, 2005
Musharraf in the firing line
By B Raman

The investigations into the two unsuccessful attempts to assassinate Pakistan's President General Pervez Musharraf in December 2003 brought to light the penetration of jihadi terrorist organizations into the Pakistan army and air force at the junior and middle levels. Four officers of the army and six of the air force were found to have joined hands with an assortment of jihadi terrorist organizations, such as the Harkat-ul-Jihad-al-Islami (HUJI), the Jaish-e-Mohammad, the Jundullah, the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LEJ) and al-Qaeda in hatching the conspiracy to have Musharraf killed as a reprisal for his cooperation with the US in the "war against terror".

They could not forgive him for helping the US-led coalition in Afghanistan in its military operations against the Taliban and al-Qaeda. Musharraf became an apostate in the eyes of al-Qaeda, despite his continued support to jihadi organizations for their activities in India's Jammu & Kashmir, and had to be eliminated. Ayman al-Zawahiri, the No 2 to Osama bin Laden in al-Qaeda, has openly called for the overthrow of Musharraf, and has warned that his continuance in power will help the Hindus of India in destroying Islam in Pakistan.

The leadership role in the planning and execution of this conspiracy was played by the LEJ and al-Qaeda, represented by Abu Faraj al-Libbi, the Libyan who was arrested by Pakistani security forces this month.

There are still many unanswered questions about this conspiracy. Who took the initiative in planning it? These officers or the leaders of these jihadi organizations? When was the conspiracy hatched? How did Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) and the intelligence directorates general of the army and the air force remain unaware of this conspiracy, despite the fact that the conspirators had allegedly held some of their preparatory meetings in their living quarters in military cantonments and air force stations? Was there a complicity in the intelligence establishment itself? If so, at what level? Why has the government not been able to identify so far those in the intelligence establishment involved in the conspiracy? Was there an involvement of the Hizbut Tehrir (HT), a highly secretive organization which came into existence in Pakistan for the first time in 2000, in this conspiracy?

These questions have resurfaced in the wake of the arrest of Abu Faraj and the re-arrest of a civilian employee of the air force involved in the conspiracy, who had managed to escape from custody in November last while under interrogation. It may be recalled that when a section of army officers led by Major General Zaheer-ul-Islam Abbasi joined hands with the HUJI in 1995 in plotting to have Benazir Bhutto, the then prime minister, and General Abdul Waheed Kakkar, the then chief of army staff, assassinated and then to capture power, the directorate general of military intelligence had come to know of the conspiracy and crushed it before the conspirators could make progress. But the detection at that time was accidental. The capture of a jeep carrying arms and ammunition from North-West Frontier Province in which an army brigadier and Qari Saifullah Akhtar, the amir of the HUJI, were travelling together, led to the detection.

In the case of the conspiracy against Musharraf there was no detection. The conspirators were able to complete their preparations and actually execute the conspiracy. Musharraf survived partly due to God's grace and partly to the use by his security guards of a remote-control de-activation device.

That there are apprehensions in the minds of those close to Musharraf over the role of sections of the intelligence establishment in the entire conspiracy and over the failure of the investigating agencies so far to unravel the entire conspiracy became evident from an interview given by Dr Aamir Liaqat Hussain, minister of state for Religious Affairs, to the prestigious Daily Times of Lahore, on May 5.

An advance summary of the interview was carried by the newspaper on May 6. This summary quoted the minister as warning that Musharraf had a lot of enemies "within" who could make an attempt on his life again at any time. He said that there were certain elements within the forces who could attack the general.

He added: "No common people could attack President Musharraf, but certainly there are elements in the forces who can launch yet another attack against him. There is an ISI within the ISI, which is more powerful than the original and still orchestrating many eventualities in the country." The minister said he feared a threat to his own life because he supported Musharraf's call for an enlightened and moderate Islam and has been given the task of preparing the texts of sermons advocating enlightened and moderate Islam to be used at all mosques of the armed forces.

Well-informed sources in Pakistan say that apart from the failure of the intelligence establishment to identify and weed out the pro-jihadi elements in the armed forces and the intelligence establishment, another cause for serious concern is the continuing failure of the intelligence establishment to identify all the leaders of the highly secretive HT and its supporters in the armed forces and arrest them.

This organization, which has built up a world-wide presence since 1953, made its appearance in Pakistan for the first time in 2000. It had a little role to play in the jihad of the 1980s against the Soviet troops in Afghanistan. Like al-Qaeda, it advocates an Islamic caliphate in which the Sharia will be supreme, but says it wants to achieve it through peaceful mass agitations and not by resorting to terrorism or other acts of armed violence. Even though it was born long before al-Qaeda, many believe that the HT now functions as the political wing of al-Qaeda. What al-Qaeda seeks to propagate through jihadi terrorism, it propagates through political means.

There is nothing secretive about its ideological propaganda in favor of an Islamic caliphate, which is open. What is highly secretive are details of its leadership, organizational structure, methods of recruitment, membership and sources of finance.

What is equally disturbing is that the HT, while advocating open "agitprop" (agitation-propaganda) methods for spreading its ideology, lays equal emphasis on the importance of a clandestine penetration of the security forces since, in its view, it would not succeed in establishing an Islamic caliphate if the armed forces remained opposed to it.

The HT ideology and operational methods were imported into Pakistan from the United Kingdom by its supporters in the Pakistani community in the UK. It is said that within five years it has been able to make considerable progress not only in setting up its organizational infrastructure, but also in recruiting dedicated members in the civil society as well as the armed forces. It is said that no other jihadi organization has been able to attract as many young and educated members and as many supporters in the armed forces as the HT, despite the fact that it has been present in Pakistan for about five years now.

It has been carrying on a campaign - open as well as secret - against Musharraf on various issues, such as his alleged betrayal of Islam by supporting the US against the Taliban and al-Qaeda, his failure to "liberate" Jammu & Kashmir from the control of India, his failure to condemn US policies in Iraq etc.

In a statement circulated on April 27, on Musharraf's recent visit to New Delhi for talks with Indian leaders, it said, "Musharraf's claim that he has not taken a u-turn on Kashmir is an absolute lie. As a matter of fact, in Delhi, his statement that he has come to India with a 'new heart' exposes that he has taken a u-turn on Kashmir. In expressing his 'new heart' he proposed to make the Line of Control [that separates the Indian and Pakistani sections of Kashmir] a 'soft border'. Not only this, the general also explicitly called for working out arrangements where 'boundaries become irrelevant'. During his visit, Musharraf for the very first time claimed that there existed a representative Kashmiri leadership other than All Parties Hurriyat Conference, a clear shift in policy. In the past Pakistan was calling for solving Kashmir first, but now it maintains that trade, cultural exchange and other CBMs [confidence-building measures] should get preference. Hence, the Indian stance, ie all issues should not be linked to Kashmir, is now being propagated by Musharraf himself. The ummah should get rid of such rulers and the Muslims be united under a single leadership by establishing [caliphate]. Consequently, it will be able to resolve problems such as Kashmir, Chechnya and Palestine with a great ease."

There was no credible evidence of the HT's possible involvement in the anti-Musharraf plots of December, 2003, but its present call for "getting rid of such rulers", which is similar to the call issued in the past by al-Zawahiri, is ominous.

B Raman is additional secretary (retired), cabinet secretariat, government of India, New Delhi, and, presently, director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai, and distinguished fellow and convener, Observer Research Foundation, Chennai Chapter. Email: itschen36@gmail.com

(Copyright 2005 B Raman)


Al-Qaeda witch-hunt in Pakistan's army
(May 7, '05)

Meet Mr al-Qaeda 'Number 3' (2003)
(May 6, '05)

The Pakistan striptease (continued)
(May 6, '05)

 
 

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