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    South Asia
     May 17, 2005
Nepal's Maoists air their dirty laundry
By Sudha Ramachandran

BANGALORE - Rumors of a rift in the top leadership of the Nepalese Maoists were confirmed last month when Maoist "supreme leader" Prachanda admitted to serious differences with his deputy and political ideologue, Dr Baburam Bhattarai. While the rift could undermine the strength of the Maoists, it could also prove problematic for the Nepalese government.

The rift between Prachanda - or the "fiery one" - and Bhattarai is not new. Rumors regarding differences between the two have swirled for years. But it was only in March this year that the division erupted into the open and was publicly acknowledged by the Maoist leaders. And this is the first time that the leaders are airing their differences in public.

Nine years have gone by since Nepal's Maoists launched their "people's war" to overthrow the monarchy and set up in its place a secular republic. The transformation of Nepal's Maoists from a rag-tag band of idealistic revolutionaries to battle-hardened insurgents in control of vast swathes of rural Nepal has been dramatic. Today, not only do they run parallel administrations in villages under their control, but they have also repeatedly signaled that a mere call from them for a general strike is enough to paralyze the capital, Kathmandu.

It has now emerged that even as King Gyanendra was consolidating his control over Nepal by dismissing the elected government, declaring a state of emergency and jailing political leaders and mediapersons, Prachanda was consolidating his position in the Maoist movement by divesting Bhattarai and his wife Hisila Yami of their party posts.

In a press statement issued on March 14, the Royal Nepal Army claimed that Bhattarai and Hisala Yami had been expelled from the organization. The allegation was swiftly denied by Maoist spokesperson Krishna Bahadur Mahara, who insisted that Bhattarai and Yami "had been fulfilling their roles and responsibilities in the party and the movement through mutual consultation and regular co-operation with Prachanda".

Then came the statement from Prachanda listing his grievances with Bhattarai. "Comrade Bhattarai is bolstering groupism and divisive activities within the party at this crucial moment for implementation of the central committee's unanimous and most important decisions on revolutionary transformation and counter-offensive plans," Prachanda said, alleging that Bhattarai and his wife were working against the insurgency by questioning recent military decisions of the party's highest decision making body.

According to reports in the Nepalese media, Bhattarai's expulsion is the culmination of serious differences that surfaced during a plenum of the Maoist central committee held last August. Sudheer Sharma, editor of Nepal Weekly magazine, points out that Bhattarai was upset with the withdrawal of a decision in favor of greater inner-party democracy and against democratic centralism that had been made a year earlier. During the 2004 plenum it appears that Prachanda sought to be declared head of the underground government, which Bhattarai headed hitherto, as well as the party and the people's army.

In a 13-point note of dissent addressed to the Maoist high command Bhattarai questioned the centralization of power and posts in the hands of one person; the elevation of the Maoists' revolutionary path called "Prachandapath" to "Prachandaism or Thoughts of Prachanda"; and the decision to promote Prachanda to the pantheon of Karl Marx, Friedrich Engels, Vladimir Lenin, Joseph Stalin and Mao Zedong.

Bhattarai's discomfort with Prachanda's megalomania, however, is not recent. It can be traced back to 1998, when the Maoist plenum decided to elevate Prachanda to the post of "Supreme Leader" and made it mandatory that political articles written by Maoist leaders quote him. "The personality cult that was emerging around Prachanda troubled Bhattarai right from the start," recalls "Upadhyay", a former Maoist now based in India, adding that Bhattarai resented the way Prachanda chipped away at Bhattarai's status within the organization.

The Nepalese Maoists have had serious differences on strategy. Whether or not to go in for talks is one issue that is known to have divided the Maoists at various junctures over the past nine years. In 2001, for instance, after three rounds of talks with the Sher Bahadur Deuba government, the Maoists suddenly walked out of the talks and launched a series of high profile violent attacks. It was reported at that time that Comrade "Badal", the Maoist "military commander", was opposed to the talks. "In some villages, posters with Prachanda's portrait highlighting the 'Prachanda Path' were torn down and replaced with those on 'Comrade Badal's Path'," recalls Upadhyay. "His supremacy challenged and with the threat of a possible revolt looming large, Prachanda called off the talks." Media reports suggested at that time that Comrade Badal had in fact deliberately carried out the attack on the military camp at Dang with the specific aim of torpedoing the talks.

Now the Maoists are said to be divided not only on the issue of talks with the government but also on India's role. Prachanda and Bhattarai are said to have sharp differences on the way they perceive India today. In the past, their rage and rhetoric against "Indian expansionism" notwithstanding, Maoist leaders sought to cultivate contacts in India. In fact, as S D Muni points out in his book Maoist Insurgency in Nepal: The Challenge and Response the Maoists "moderated and diluted their anti-India rhetoric between November 2001 and January 2003".

Sharma writes that at the August 2004 plenum, however, the Maoists "identified India as the primary enemy which might interfere militarily or sabotage their talks with the king". Bhattarai, who believes that the main enemy of the Maoists is the monarchy and is said to be open to reaching out to India, was reportedly upset with the 2004 decision. Sources in Indian Intelligence agencies argue that the difference in the way Prachanda and Bhattarai perceive India finds reflection in who they see as allies in the "people's war". They say that this difference has been visible for years.

In 2002, the online Public Affairs Magazine reported that the Maoists were helping transport jihadi recruits across the territory of Nepal and then through the narrow Siliguri corridor into Bangladesh. The report said that Prachanda and Bhattarai differed on co-operating with Islamic militants and pointed out that Prachanda "is keen on stepping up the cooperation with the Islamic fundamentalists in a bid to boost the operational capabilities of the Maoists. But Bhattarai is of the view that extended cooperation could lead to a loss of popular support in rural Nepal where most people are predominantly Hindu. Bhattarai is apparently unwilling to give a pro-Islamic image to the movement."

The rift at the highest levels of the Maoist movement indicates that even as the Maoists are fighting to overthrow Nepal's monarchy, they are fighting among themselves to determine their own future course of action.

The implications of the Prachanda-Bhattarai rift for the Maoist movement will be far greater should the rift result in a vertical split of the organization. While the rift could create confusion and undermine the morale of the cadres, a vertical split that results in fighting between the two factions would severely erode the strength of the Maoists. The possibility of one faction co-operating with the army, disclosing hideouts and arms caches of the rival faction cannot be ruled out. All this would work in favor of the army, which has for years been hoping and working on deepening the rift between Prachanda and Bhattarai.

The Nepalese government will be hoping that the rift will see the entry of either faction into the political mainstream. It is widely believed that a section among the Maoists is tired of the war and is keen to come above ground into the political mainstream. Whether the rift will encourage this section to come into the mainstream remains to be seen. However, the split in the Maoists might not work out quite so neatly in favor of the government. The split is very likely to result in both, Bhattarai and Prachanda, adopting tougher positions in order to project themselves as uncompromising campaigners of the Maoist cause. Should that happen, Nepal's government is in for more trying times.

Sudha Ramachandran is an independent journalist/researcher based in Bangalore.

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Nepal back in India's embrace
(Apr 30, '05)

Himalayan dilemma (Apr 29, '05)

 
 

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