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    South Asia
     Sep 1, 2005
Pakistan takes to the world stage
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - Despite the bad international press it receives for some of its policies, Pakistan remains an integral part of the US-led "war on terror", and Islamabad is increasingly taking a more active role on the world stage in promoting "enlightened moderation" as the best way to counter extremism and terrorism.

The most important development in this US-prompted initiative is that President General Pervez Musharraf will address the American Jewish Congress (AJC) in New York on September 17 - the first leader of a Muslim country to do so.

The Washington-based online newspaper South Asia Tribune quoted a memo from the chairman of the Council for World Jewry (CWJ), Jack Rosen, to top leaders in the Jewish community: "I am pleased to announce that President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan has accepted an invitation I extended to him last May in his Islamabad office to address the most pressing global problem – the need for Muslims to embrace modernity with openness and

 

tolerance." The CWJ is part of the powerful AJC.

The memo also disclosed that Musharraf had indicated he had tested the domestic Pakistani waters over the Israel issue and felt that diplomatic ties could only follow an Israeli-Palestinian agreement. Pakistan has no diplomatic ties with Israel, and its official position is support of the Palestinians' call for an independent state and demands that Israel end its occupation of Palestinian territory.

Rosen disclosed that before requesting Musharraf to speak to the Jewish community, he consulted President George W Bush at his Texas ranch, who gave his approval. But the process started when Musharraf himself invited Jewish leaders to Islamabad, Rosen's memo revealed.

"At President Musharraf's invitation, I went to Islamabad last May with AJC-CWJ vice chairman Phil Baum and director David Twersky. During our discussions, which addressed the Israeli-Palestinian situation, terrorism and relations between the Islamic world and the West, we proposed that he publicly address a broad sector of the American Jewish community in New York. I am pleased to announce that President Musharraf has accepted our invitation."

Backchannel diplomacy between Israel and Pakistan started soon after Musharraf took over the government after a bloodless military coup on October 12, 1999. The main initiator of dialogue was former chief of army staff, retired General Jehangir Karamat, a close friend of Musharraf and once his immediate boss in the army.

After retirement, Karamat, whom Musharraf refers to by his initials, JK, joined a US think-tank. Pakistani diplomat and now UN envoy in Baghdad, Jehangir Ashraf Qazi, was another player in the backchannel diplomacy. He met Israeli diplomats in the US as well as in Israel.

JK's vision emphasized better Israel-Pakistan relations as a way to helping establish Pakistan as a regional powerbroker. He initiated debate when he was chief of army staff, and when he was forcibly retired by former premier Nawaz Sharif, who installed Musharraf in his place, Musharraf embraced the idea.

"Officially, Pakistan does not recognize Israel, and nobody is allowed to travel to Israel on a Pakistani passport. However, unofficially, Pakistan International Airline [PIA] staff are allowed to visit Israel and they are welcome by Israeli authorities. PIA book seats for pilgrims for Saudi Arabia and then takes the passengers from Amman [Jordan]. After opening channels with Israel, Pakistan will have limited diplomatic ties and open trade of both commercial and military goods," said a top Pakistani official in an exclusive briefing with Asia Times Online.

Insiders say that in this emerging friendship, Israel has been the more keen. In the many backroom meetings, Israeli diplomats assured Pakistan that they did not consider Pakistan as their enemy, and wanted Pakistan to play its role in taming hardliners in the Jewish state.

Pakistan's vision
Pakistan-Israel relations are only one aspect of Pakistan's strategic vision in today's changing geopolitical world. Islamabad aims to position itself in the middle of the power game between China, Russia and the US.

The US has relocated its focus to Eastern Europe from Western Europe, with the chain stretching up to Russia. The US is not an "empire" in its basic ambitions, it aims to trade interests with various regions. Key to this is its strategic presence in Afghanistan and in the Central Asian republics.

China, too, has its eyes on the region and has already succeeded in Russia at the expense of the US. Since the emergence of the China-Russia strategic partnership, bilateral trade between the two countries has risen dramatically, and by 2010 is estimated to reach up to US$80 billion.

China is planning to increase its oil imports from Russia by 50% in 2005 to 70 million barrels. More than $6 billion in Chinese loans has been provided to Rosneft, the main state-owned oil exporter to China. A central interest is now Siberia, where nearly half of all the proven oil reserves of the former USSR lie, as do 70% of all Russia's coal reserves. Siberia is Russia's largest producer of oil, the second-largest for coal and a major center for metal industries. Some 140 out of 200 of the largest enterprises in Siberia are weapons manufacturers.

This growing alliances between China and Russia has effectively upset US designs, and Russia is now becoming a ring, separated from US post-Cold War investments from Eastern Europe to Central Asia. At the same time, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, which includes Russian and China and four Central Asian states, has spoken against the presence of US military bases in the region, and Uzbekistan has demanded the evacuation of the US base in its country.

At the same time, both China (Muslim-majority Xinjiang province) and Russia (predominately Muslim Chechnya ) face home-grown separatist movements, while Islamist movements in the Central Asian republics are a threat to the interests of both Beijing and Moscow.

Therefore, the two countries are looking for an alliance with Pakistan to combat these regional and domestic problems.

"Whether it is Uzbek [Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan] leader Tahir Yaldevish or the leaders of Xinjiang, all have taken refuge [at some time] in the Pakistani tribal belt. Pakistan has arrested many and is pursuing the arrests of the rest. Recently, China advised Pakistan that its citizens were attending Pakistani madrassas [seminaries] and then returning to the country and joining the separatist movement. The [Pakistani] decision to expel foreign students from the madrassas was a result of Chinese demands. Pakistan has already signed agreements with the Central Asian republics under which it will hand over terror suspects arrested in Pakistan to their countries of origin - this will help these countries to get to the local networks," a senior security official told Asia Times Online.

Another official involved in Pakistan's strategic decision-making said, "The situation is very well settled in Pakistan's favor. China and Russia seek Pakistani assistance to combat terror, and therefore they are ready to extend ideal investments in the country. Despite this, the US cannot push Pakistan out of its camp as its [the US's] presence in Afghanistan is heavily dependent on Pakistan. And US interests in Central Asia and Russia are of major importance to the US, it cannot afford to retreat from the region. Pakistan has already removed all its hang-ups over Israel and its obsession with its strategic depth concepts. Now it is interested in strengthening its grip in the present power game and prove itself as the lone South Asian powerbroker."

Pakistan has already reaped some rewards. Recently, Islamabad and Beijing signed contracts for the construction of four warships for the Pakistani navy. The F-22P frigates will add to the operational capabilities of the Pakistani navy and also help guard the sea boundaries of the country, according to a statement from Pakistan's Defense Ministry. The frigates will be equipped with helicopters specially designed for anti-submarine warfare, with surface-to-surface-to-air missiles and numerous associated self-defense systems. The agreement also involves the transfer of technology between the two countries.

Pakistan and China are likely to implement 19 trade and investment agreements worth US$350 million in the next five years. Bilateral trade between the two neighbors now stands at $2.5 billion.

Chinese investors have shown a keen interest in Pakistan's oil and gas sector, telecommunications, information technology, ports and shipping, infrastructure projects, housing, pharmaceutical, chemicals and engineering. Currently, 30 Chinese companies operate in Pakistan.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)

Syed Saleem Shahzad, Bureau Chief, Pakistan Asia Times Online. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com


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(Aug 26, '05)

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(Aug 13, '05)

 
 



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