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    South Asia
     Sep 8, 2005
Chinks in India's IT armor
By Indrajit Basu

KOLKATA - The Indian IT (information technology) sector these days claims that it has finally attained enough maturity and expertise to rub shoulders with global giants on multimillion dollar deals. But Netherlands-based ABN Amro Bank's outsourcing contract last week - considered a watershed - proves that local IT companies still haven't really moved beyond bagging bread crumbs compared to global giants.

Last week, in the biggest outsourcing deal ever to come out of Europe, the ABN Amro Bank awarded a US$2.2 billion outsourcing contract to IBM, and two Indian companies - TCS and Infosys. The contract will not only save ABN Amro $335 million

 

yearly, but also enable it to shed excess flab to the extent of 3,200 jobs, 2000 of which could be transferred to vendors in India with which it has signed the deal. ABN Amro has also retained IBM, Accenture, TCS, Infosys, and Patni Computers (also an Indian IT company) for application development work, the monetary value of which has not been revealed.

More than the total size of the deal and the number of workers that ABN Amro gets to shed as a result of this deal, what is important from the Indian point of view is that the two local IT biggies - TCS and Infosys - have respectively got $260 million and $140 million of the total outsourcing order, each being the largest single deal bagged by them individually. Indian IT companies generally get contracts worth $25-30 million. If the client is satisfied, the deal size goes up a bit, but over an extended period.

For the next five years, TCS will provide application support and enhancement services for the bank's operations in the Netherlands and Brazil as well as its private client business in South America, while Infosys will provide application support for the bank's operations in North America, parts of Europe and new-growth markets such as Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore.

This deal reinforces that fact that "Indian IT firms have arrived in large direct offshoring deals", says Sidharth Pai, managing director of TPI India, the consultant that managed this deal for ABN Amro. CEOs of both TCS and Infosys have said it clearly indicates that large offshore players like them have a competitive business model to deliver large, global, multi-year contracts.

But even as the local IT sector rejoices on their latest feat, the question is, has the country's outsourcing sector really been able to overcome competition from multinational IT companies that are beginning to make a larger dent on the operations of established Indian IT players? Consider this. Although it comes as the largest single deal for the two companies, IBM still gets the lion's share. IBM has been entrusted to look after the entire information technology infrastructure of the bank, for which it gets to keep $1.8 billion of the $2.2 billion contract.

And, although $400 million (the total value of the contract bagged by the Indian companies) looks big, it doesn't contribute much in terms of yearly revenues and margins. Analysts say, for Infosys, incremental gains in terms of revenues for 2006 could be less than 1% of its total revenues and even in 2007, the deal could account for about 1.5% of the total. Similar would be the impact on margins or profitability. Reportedly, Infosys expects negligible margins in the first year, and "normal" margins through the life of the deal, while for TCS (which is a $1-billion-plus revenue company), "the relatively small yearly revenue ($260 million over five years) compared to its overall size, would have no significant impact on the company's overall margins, said analysts.

This contract could be yet another indication that contrary to the vehement denial of the local IT companies, competition from their MNC counterparts is beginning to make a dent in their operations, squeezing both revenues and margins. Much of this, in fact, has been triggered by India's own IT success. Until a few years back, owing to the complexities involved in outsourcing to distant destinations, MNCs were hesitant in taking up offshore work, which in fact was a boon for Indian outsourcing service providers. But over the years, driven by the success of Indian outsourcing model, MNCs like IBM, Accenture, EDS, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Ernst & Young and most other global biggies have become aggressive in the offshore segment, resulting in deals flowing away from Indian players to these MNCs.

Bill Green, CEO of Accenture, has admitted that going offshore has emerged as an important growth opportunity, which has moved Accenture [and other MNCs] "to be more aggressive in India". Green also said the decision of these MNCs to go offshore has also enabled them to bag additional outsourcing contracts, which otherwise would not have been outsourced at all.

Nevertheless, the ABN deal is important for India. Not just because of the size but according to Shekhar Singh of ICICI Securities, "this could spur other European companies to lean toward India for software services outsourcing. Until now, only the US has been the main export destination (accounting for about 65% of export revenues) for Indian software exporters."

The country is also hoping that large global offshore services seekers that have hitherto followed a fragmented approach to outsourcing will follow ABN Amro's example of awarding larger chunks of outsourcing work. "Indian IT companies have successfully expanded the offshoring model to newer service lines. We expect more such contracts ahead," said Singh.

Indrajit Basu is a Kolkata-based equity-analyst-turned-journalist with more than 12 years of experience in business/finance and technology journalism. Besides writing for Asia Times Online, he also writes for US-based publications, as well as IT companies.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing .)


Outsource or perish (Dec 21, '05)

Indian IT: Not just talk, substance too (Oct 30, '04)

 
 



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