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    South Asia
     Feb 11, 2006
Taliban deal lights a slow-burning fuse
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

JALALABAD, Afghanistan - Dozens of influential delegates, including religious scholars, tribal chiefs and important citizens from several provinces, are gathered in the courtyard of the newly renovated Qasr-i-Shahi (Royal Palace) built by late Afghan King Ghazi Amanullah, who liberated Afghanistan from British rule.

The dignitaries are assembled to greet the governor of Nangarhar province, Gul Aga Sherzai, who recently returned from a visit to the United States. The ceremony is in line with the Afghan



tradition of greeting anybody powerful who returns home. In this ceremony, the governor distributes gifts to the guests, also a part of Afghan tradition. Equally important, the governor and the delegates exchange views in a series of speeches.

Gul Aga Sherzai makes his address, outlining his initiatives in the



social and economic sectors. Before he invites the delegates to speak, he urges this correspondent to put down his camera, which until then had recorded the ceremonies.

A noble Pashtun with a greying beard stands up and responds to Gul Aga Sherzai's speech.

"You might have rebuilt Qasr-i-Shahi, but you should also have come up with a solution to the foreign intervention in Afghan affairs. Now is the time that we should ask the kharjis [foreigners] to leave Afghanistan and let us decide matters on our own," the man says, speaking in Pashtu. His long speech continues in this manner.

Gul Aga Sherzai quietly finishes his tea and stands up. "There is no question that the kharjis should leave Afghanistan, but before that we should make ourselves strong enough. We should be self-reliant and self-sufficient."

It is debate such as this that the governor does not want recorded; in eastern Afghanistan, on the record everything is fine, but in fact it is not.

Traveling in the eastern region to Jalalabad one can see the complete writ of the government. Construction work is going on everywhere along the main highways. Life in Jalalabad appears normal. And unlike the constantly restive areas to the south, there are no bomb blasts or suicide attacks. The Taliban do not challenge the government, nor do they carry out attacks on government buildings, as in other areas.

This reminds one that Jalalabad was surrendered to allied forces without a fight when the Taliban retreated in the face of the US-led invasion of 2001. The Taliban simply melted into their tribes.

Shershah Hamdard, the editor of the local Nangarhar Daily, comments, "Whether people are Taliban or members of the Hizb-i-Islami Afghanistan [HIA], they are Afghans first, and if they live as peaceful citizens nobody objects to them. Now many people who were Taliban serve in the local administration, and many important positions are held by people who were members of the Hizb."

This is the on-the-record view. Everything appears calm and normal. Under the surface, though, a time bomb is ticking, and even the Director of Information and Culture, Mohammed Hashim Ghamsharik, admits that "unscrupulous elements" are a threat to peace and stability in the province.

The real Nangarhar
Jalalabad is the second-largest city of Afghanistan and the capital of the eastern province of Nangarhar. Ever since the Soviets invaded Afghanistan in the late 1970s, Jalalabad has remained a political stronghold of Afghan communists, as well as secular nationalists.

However, across the province the dynamics are somewhat different. The suburbs of Jalalabad are full of people loyal to the HIA led by Gulbuddin Hekmatyar or another faction led by Moulvi Younus Khalis.

The Taliban never had direct support among the people of Nangarhar province. The Taliban mobilized forces from Kandahar, Paktia, Paktika and Khost to defeat local warlords in the province. This resulted in an exodus of commanders loyal to Hekmatyar to Pakistan, or else they stayed on as ordinary citizens.

The commanders loyal to Moulvi Khalis also either migrated to Pakistan (like the slain brothers Abdul Haq and Haji Abdul Qadeer) or they joined the Taliban.

After the fall of the Taliban, Jalalabad came under the control of nationalist tribals loyal to former King Zahir Shah, while in the surrounding areas the "converted" Taliban and HIA loyalists lay low.

The current calm, therefore, precedes a storm.

The various tribes have struck an unwritten deal with the provincial government that it will not undertake search operations in and around Jalalabad.

Such an arrangement was also said to have been made with the previous governor, Haji Deen Mohammed (now the governor of Kabul province); that he struck a deal with the Taliban to prevent the province from falling into chaos. As a result, Haji Deen was transferred to Kabul.

When Gul Aga Sherzai became governor in Nangarhar he was urged by allied forces to hunt down Taliban forces. As a result, joint patrols of allied forces and Afghan police went on raids, but they immediately met with resistance.

So a few months ago a messenger of the Taliban personally met Gul Aga Sherzai and other government officials and told them that should any more raids occur, their reward would be death squads. Thus a lull prevails in Nangarhar.

Building up the resistance
The focus of the resistance at present is in south Afghanistan, from Kandahar (the previous Taliban stronghold) up to Kunar. The strategy is to first establish an unbreakable foothold in the south, and then spread to other areas, such as Jalalabad, where silent supporters will rise up and establish new fronts. Kabul, as it was when the Taliban finally seized power in 1996, would be the final prize.

Next: Spiritual royalists: A countervailing force

Syed Saleem Shahzad, Bureau Chief, Pakistan Asia Times Online. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com

(Copyright 2006 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing .)


The Taliban's bloody foothold in Pakistan (Feb 8, '06)

Afghan opium: License to kill (Feb 1, '06)

The Afghan exit strategy (Jan 19, '06)


 
 



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