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    South Asia
     Feb 18, 2006
US joins the battle of Kabul
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KABUL - On the face of it, all the elements of the Bonn Agreement have been accomplished in Afghanistan, in accordance with the blueprint that was hammered out following the ousting of the Taliban government in 2001.

The country has a new constitution, an elected president and parliament, a judiciary and all the other social, political and economic infrastructure.

Yet the situation is reminiscent of the early 1990s following the withdrawal of Soviet troops and the ousting of the communist government, when fractious mujahideen groups fought for power



and virtually brought the country to its knees.

The only difference in 2006 is that allied forces occupy parts of the country, and bombers and fighters prowl the skies. And while mujahideen factions have entered Kabul, they have done so through elections, and not by the barrel of the gun. Nevertheless, divisions run deep, and the potential for political chaos is as acute as it was more than a decade ago.

No single group dominated last year's parliamentary elections, though 85% of the members of the parliament are former mujahideen.

The Hizb-i-Islami Afghanistan (HIA), an element of the Afghan resistance, is now a registered organization, after apparently dismissing its leader, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. The HIA has 40 seats in the 249-seat assembly, the biggest bloc.

Newly elected member of the lower assembly (olsi jirga) and the chief of HIA, Khalid Farooqui, told Asia Times Online: "I would call it a great victory in the circumstances as the party was completely in a shambles. We did not have any money and the party was not really organized, yet we have 40 members in the parliament, among which some are more active than others, but I am sure that soon we will reorganize ourselves and play a lead role in the parliament."

Several former Taliban were elected, but they don't have a single forum like the HIA. Secondly, Hekmatyar did not call for a boycott of the elections, while Taliban leader Mullah Omar denounced the polls and insisted on a boycott. Those former Taliban who have been elected can thus at best be described as defunct Taliban.

Representation from northern Afghanistan is also scattered. There is some from the Hazara community (Shi'ites), Panjshirs, Tajiks and Uzbeks. As with the Pashtun south, the north does not have a unifying political ideology to bind people. Rather, ethnic and sectarian divisions keep them apart. There are also no strong leaders to pull them together.

Royal spiritualism
The son of Pashtun leader Pir (spiritual leader) Sayed Ahmed Gailani, Sayed Hamid Gailani, failed to be elected from the Pashtun heartland of Paktia. His rival was the new chief of the HIA, Khalid Farooqui. Instead, Gailani was elected to the senate, where he was appointed deputy speaker.

Political pundits and diplomatic circles in Kabul agree that the Americans have invested everything in Gailani and his followers to pitch them as a countervailing force against the Islamists in general and the Taliban in particular. This despite the fact that Gailani calls himself a mujahid and pleads for the implementation of Islamic laws in Afghanistan.

"I don't agree with the term warlords for mujahideen, though there might be some bad people, but in general the mujahideen were the people who gave great sacrifices for Afghanistan. I am also one among them and proudly call myself a mujahid," Gailani told Asia Times Online as a military aircraft waited to take him to the US, where he had been invited by First Lady Laura Bush for an official breakfast.

"There is also no harm in the implementation of Islamic laws. There are some wrong interpretations of Islam by some scholars, which are disseminated and arouse some suspicions in the West, otherwise, nobody would object to the moderate and tolerant teachings of Islam," Gailani said.

As the dust settles on the parliamentary elections - the results of which only came out last month - moves are underfoot to elevate people such as Abdul Jabbar Naeemi, at present governor of Wardak province and a disciple of Pir Sayed Ahmed Gailani. He is being tipped for a central role in the capital.

Gailani's followers, who are pro-US, are generally well-educated and enlightened people, and are often given foreign postings as a result. But in the current political climate, Naeemi and his like are considered more valuable on the domestic front.

From the US viewpoint, Naeemi is considered a success story as he has established order in his province, even though it was a stronghold of the Taliban and the HIA.

Speaking in the governor's office in Maidan Shehr, 30 kilometers from Kabul, Naeemi told Asia Times Online, "I adopted a policy of reconciliation with all. People are Afghans first, and if they are Taliban or members of the HIA, I request their cooperation in rebuilding Afghanistan. Without any fight or any controversy, 450 big and small arms were surrendered, while all international agencies witnessed that poppy cultivation was eliminated from the province."

All the same, Mosa Hotaq, a former member of Taliban leader Mullah Omar's cabinet, was elected as a member of the parliament in Kabul.

With the Taliban poised for an intense summer campaign against US-led forces in Afghanistan, people such as Naeemi and other spiritual followers of Pir Sayed Ahmed Gailani are seen by the US as the only chance to bring political stability to Afghanistan.

Historical precedent
Such a spiritual connection has had miraculous success in past. Former King Zahir Shah could not establish his writ in the Pashtun heartland, were tribes were at each other's throats.

Clerics and Sayeds (those who claim direct descent from the Prophet Mohammed) have always been respected in Afghan society. Therefore, a solution was explored in Baghdad in which the direct descendants of Sheikh Abdul Qadir Gailani (or Jailani), founder of the Qadri school of Sufis, which is the largest Sufi school in the Muslim world, was invited to Kabul and given Afghan citizenship.

This was the father of Pir Sayed Ahmed Gailani. The experiment was successful, and the bickering tribes held back their guns when a revered Sayed stepped in, and finally royal writ was established.

During the resistance against the Soviets in the 1980s, Pir Sayed Ahmed Gailani established his own National Islamic Front. The family is still very respected, but the question remains whether it is still as big a force as it was 35 years ago.

Whether it is in Somalia or Afghanistan or any other ethnically non-Arab Muslim country, Sayeds are greatly respected, yet they are ultimately considered as strangers in the political structure of the society and non-native.

They don't have the power base of tribal clans, therefore, their political aspirations often die down. All political segments of Afghan society respect the Gailani family, but they won't necessarily give up their positions for them.

The Taliban's summer offensive will test these loyalties, as well as the newly born political structure that is centered on disparate mujahideen groups.

Next: The brothels of Kabul

Syed Saleem Shahzad, Bureau Chief, Pakistan Asia Times Online. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com

(Copyright 2006 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing .)


Taliban deal lights a slow-burning fuse
(Feb 11, '06)

The Taliban's bloody foothold in Pakistan
(Feb 8, '06)

Armed and dangerous: Taliban gear up
(Dec 22, '05)

 
 



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