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    South Asia
     Oct 3, 2006
Pakistan reaches into Afghanistan
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

PASHTUN HEARTLAND, Pakistan and Afghanistan - The Taliban-led rebellion in April marking the beginning of the spring offensive against Kabul, oriented with Iraq's skillful urban guerrilla war, has been so strong that there is even talk in Kabul of the Taliban returning "any time soon".

While the Taliban obviously take all the credit for the stiff fight they are giving foreign forces in the country, an underlying feature of the resistance can't be ignored: neighboring countries, especially Pakistan, never have, and never will, sit idly by to allow



events to take their natural course.

Asia Times Online investigations on the ground in Afghanistan and Pakistan reveal that much spade work has already been done to help craft an insurgency that best suits Pakistan's national interests.

Talks like the Taliban ...
Qari Mohammed Yousuf is a purported spokesman of the Taliban. He roams around the Chaman and Quetta regions in Pakistan's Balochistan province, where he readily meets with the media and hands out views on the Taliban. He has a local mobile-telephone number and is responsive to correspondents' calls to give his version of Taliban events.

Yet prominent Taliban commanders and affiliates who pledge their allegiance to Taliban leader Mullah Omar noticeably keep their distance from Qari Yousuf.

"Why are his [Qari Yousuf's] calls not traced and why is he not arrested? If I tried to cross the border and go to Quetta I would be immediately arrested," Raza Bacha, a newly famed Taliban commander active in Helmand province in Afghanistan, told Asia Times Online.

The story of Mullah Obaidullah, a purported Taliban commander at Spin Boldek in Afghanistan, is as curious as that of Qari Yousuf. Obaidullah appears to have a relatively small command, with most of his forces made up of young men from Afghan refugee camps in Pakistan. They are each paid about Rs10,000 (US$167) to take part in operations running for a maximum of one month. Yet, as with Qari Yousuf, the Taliban openly distance themselves from Mullah Obaidullah.

The Taliban leadership is known to be wary about the mushroom growth of such "independent" commanders all over Afghanistan, and is taking rapid steps to reorganize its cadre. Taliban circles are convinced that the Pakistani establishment is again actively pushing its agenda.

"They never take directives from the Taliban's leadership. Rather, they receive their instructions [and money] from the Pakistani establishment," commented Raza Bacha on the various commanders active in southwestern Afghanistan.

People such as Raza Bacha believe this is a direct bid by Islamabad to establish its influence in the Pashtun heartlands of Afghanistan - but this time not through the Taliban but through a new force that will be 100% under Pakistan's control.

Pakistan supported the Taliban movement that took over Kabul in 1996 as it wanted to see the end of destabilizing warlordism, beside establish a very Pakistan-friendly government.

British intelligence, while agreeing that Pakistan is meddling, sees the country's involvement in Afghanistan somewhat differently. Last week, the day Pakistani President General Pervez Musharraf arrived in London for talks, a leaked memo linked to Britain's Security Intelligence Service accused his spies of "supporting terrorism and extremism".

The Defense Ministry document, obtained by the British Broadcasting Corp, said the West had turned a blind eye toward "the indirect protection of al-Qaeda and promotion of terrorism" by Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence. The memo called for dismantling the ISI and ending army rule. The army, led by Musharraf, is "indirectly supporting the Taliban through the ISI", it said. Musharraf and his aides rejected that accusation, though it is a fact that the ISI initially helped create the Taliban.

Looks like the Taliban ...
The ISI's main concern at the time was to counter the Northern Alliance and India's hand in Afghanistan, rather than any obsession with the Taliban and its hardline interpretation of Islam.

Soon after the Taliban's retreat from Kabul and Kandahar in 2001, ISI officials tracked a few harmless clerics to Peshawar, Pakistan. They were associated with the Taliban regime as minor central or provincial ministers and had never been a part of the Taliban's fighting corps. In Pakistan, they were simply looking for food and shelter.

The ISI gathered them into a group called the Jamiatul Khudamul Koran and they all rejected Mullah Omar's policy of harboring Osama bin Laden and his jihadist training camps. They received training in Parachanar, a town near the Pakistan-Afghanistan border in North-West Frontier Province, from where they launched operations into Afghanistan against foreign forces. They were pure ISI proxies, and never a part of the Taliban. Nevertheless, most of them eventually left the organization and did join the Taliban as true members.

Similarly, Jaishul Muslim was launched by the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and the ISI to break Mullah Omar's iron grip over the Taliban. Jaishul Muslim established a network in Afghanistan. However, many of those who had been given a lot of money and training then broke ranks and melted into the Taliban.

Similarly, a group of "good" Taliban was pioneered jointly by the ISI and the CIA in Quetta, with members mostly drawn from towns in the Chaman-Spin Boldek area. A team of former Taliban leaders led by one Mullah Abdul Razzaq, for the first time, negotiated with the US on "any terms" that would bring about a truce. Without Mullah Omar, though, the initiative was doomed from the start.

Many independent observers have given their view of the situation in Afghanistan. An international think-tank, the Senlis Council, which has covered Afghanistan extensively, asserted that the Taliban regained control of the southern half of the country largely because of misguided international counter-narcotics and military policies that are losing hearts and minds.

This is true in part. Southwestern Afghanistan is largely beyond the writ of the Kabul administration, there should be no two opinions on that. But not all of the success can be attributed to the Taliban alone.

In visiting kilis (villages) from Chaman to Spin Boldek and from Zhob to Zabul, this correspondent saw night messages posted on walls and in mosques asking people to stand up against foreign forces. The addressees in all the messages were the "mujahideen".

"Yes, all former mujahideen are now active," said Said Rasool, a cleric in the Afghan province of Zabul and a member of Hekmatyar's group. "They command their small groups and their activities are sporadic [and] isolated and do not have any coordination with any bigger command structure, like the Taliban or the Hezb-i-Islami Afghanistan led by Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. They are stand-alone - they carry out actions and then go back to their places. This is in fact a mass mutiny against foreign forces."

It is worth repeating that developments in Afghanistan are very much in line with the historic traditions of Afghan society (although the order of events changes). This growth of small warlords and commanders, as happened against the Soviets, is an example.

In 1979, when Soviet forces entered Afghanistan, the mujahideen were divided into 28 groups. When Pakistani and Iranian intelligence overtly became involved in Afghan operations, the 28 groups were reduced to 13, of which seven were pro-Iranian and headquartered in Tehran and six were pro-Pakistan and headquartered in Peshawar and Quetta.

Afghanistan is at the point now that, apart from the Taliban, independent commanders have emerged. Nearly two centuries ago, they were sufficiently organized to drive out the Soviets.

Now, in their new struggle against foreign forces, they could evolve into a separate movement fueled by Iran or Pakistan, or both, or turn into an independent movement. Alternatively, as in the recent past, they could melt into the Taliban.

Whichever way it develops, this force will have an important bearing on Afghanistan's future - and, as important, its neighboring countries.

Syed Saleem Shahzad is Asia Times Online's Pakistan Bureau Chief. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com.

(Copyright 2006 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing .)


Afghanistan: Why NATO cannot win (Sep 30, '06)

In search of the Taliban's missing link (Sep 16, '06)

Osama's on the move again (Sep 14, '06)

 
 



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