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    South Asia
     Jan 26, 2007
China Mobile answers Pakistan's call
By Syed Fazl-e-Haider

QUETTA, Pakistan - China Mobile Communications Corp has entered an agreement with emerging-markets telecom operator Millicom International Cellular SA to buy 88.86% of the outstanding shares of Paktel Ltd, a mobile-communications operator in Pakistan.

According to the deal, China Mobile, a state-owned enterprise, will pay about US$284 million, which includes the repayment of inter-company debt, to Millicom if the transaction is completed. The completion of the transaction is subject to certain regulatory



approvals and procedures. If such approvals are obtained, completion is expected at the end of next month.

The transaction is considered the first real Chinese strategic investment in Pakistan's cellular-telephone market since Beijing began encouraging overseas expansion by leading state companies, a move aimed at developing firms capable of competing with multinationals.

China Mobile's $5.3 billion bid for Millicom International Cellular fell apart last year, because Millicom said it had been unable to agree terms.

According to some sources, challenging business conditions and interference issues forced Millicom to sell its Pakistani unit with no return on its investment. Millicom is an international investor in cellular telephony services, particularly in emerging markets. Its assets comprise cellular operations in Latin America, Asia and Africa. Moreover, it has five high-speed wireless data businesses. However, the company has been selling off some of its operations because of financial difficulties.

Pakistan's telecom market has become highly competitive in the provision of services. In fact, the operators of Paktel had not planned their marketing strategies in view of rising competition in the already overheated mobile-phone market, which became further charged with the entrance of Telenor and Warid. Paktel was already facing stiff competition with Mobilink and Ufone. Millicom had decided to exit the Pakistani market last November after it had gained additional space in the 1,800-megahertz spectrum, but the grant was not permanent. Additionally, authorities had refused a request to delay payment of a $29 million license installment. About 10 entities expressed interest in Paktel after that.

Paktel is the fifth-largest mobile-telephony operator in Pakistan. The company had 1.5 million subscribers as of September 30, 2006, up 62% year on year. It was the first company to be granted a license to provide cellular-phone services in Pakistan. It was Paktel that launched cellular technology and introduced mobile telephony in the country. Paktel GSM was launched with a subscriber capacity of more than 2 million, and its total coverage will be expanded to 150 cities and towns across Pakistan.

The sale of its stake in Paktel to China Mobile will allow Millicom to focus on the 16 markets in which it already has strong positions. Shares of Millicom last Friday reportedly closed at $67.65 on the Nasdaq, up 2.3%, after reaching a year high of $68.09 earlier in the day. The shares have more than doubled from their July 3 low of $31.71. China's deal with Millicom is likely to have a major impact on the overall market.

In terms of its market value, China Mobile is currently the largest among all the overseas-listed Chinese companies and among all the telecom carriers in Asia. Established in 2000, it has a registered capital of 51.8 billion yuan ($6.5 million) and assets of more than 400 billion yuan. It is the primary telecommunications provider in China. It fully holds the equity of China Mobile (HK) Group Ltd, which established wholly owned subsidiaries in 31 provinces in China and went public on the Hong Kong and New York bourses.

China Mobile is part of the international computer network and is authorized to provide global networking services. The corporation is the largest GSM (Global System for Mobile) communications provider in the world, having a network covering all the cities and more than 96% of the rural towns in China. China Mobile provides roaming service with the cooperation of 108 operators in 59 countries and has more than 66 million customers.

During the past five years, Pakistan's telecom market has witnessed a transition from a regulated state-owned monopoly to a deregulated competitive structure. There are five gateway exchanges in Pakistan's international network - two in Islamabad and three in Karachi. International telephone, telex, data and video services operate through these earth stations. The government has plans to increase fixed-line teledensity from 2.5% at the end of 2002 to 7% (about 10 million fixed lines) by 2010. The target can be achieved by installing up to a million additional lines annually.

Pakistan's telecommunications infrastructure, including its satellite and submarine networks, has seen a change over a period of 15 years. According to a report on Pakistan's telecommunications infrastructure, the number of fixed exchange lines in service in the country has increased more than fivefold. The majority of working lines are in urban areas, but 70% of Pakistan's population is rural. A more balanced distribution needs to be developed for the longer term.

It is worth mentioning that China Mobile also made a bid last year for a stake in Pakistan Telecommunications but lost out to Emirates Telecommunications.

Syed Fazl-e-Haider, sfazlehaider05@yahoo.com, is a Quetta-based development analyst in Pakistan. He is the author of six books, including The Economic Development of Balochistan, published in May 2004.

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