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    South Asia
     Mar 6, 2007
Taliban fire off spring warning
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - Recent Taliban operations in southwestern Afghanistan's Helmand province and Pakistan's anti-Taliban swoop in its southwestern province of Balochistan mark a broadening of the struggle into Pakistani territory.

The Taliban claim to have overrun the Kabul-installed administration in Nawzad district headquarters in Helmand and all surrounding villages.

This only confirms the belief among North Atlantic Treaty Organization officials that until a broader strategy is devised that



takes in the whole region - including the Pakistani border areas - there can be no level playing field between NATO and the insurgency, and NATO will be the loser.

"The Taliban besieged NATO bases and offices of the Afghan administration [in Nawzad] during [the] whole winter season. We did not attack them because of the difficulties of a winter mobilization of men, and the sustainability of battle remains a problem," Taliban commander Abdul Khaliq Akhund told Asia Times Online by satellite phone from Nawzad district. "Nevertheless, we just curtailed the mobility of the Afghan administration and NATO forces throughout the winter and it was a real blow to their morale.

"As soon as the summer started, we announced the end of the ceasefire with the [Hamid]-Karzai backed administration of Nawzad district and the Taliban and moved into district headquarters. I gladly inform you that the Taliban are now fully in control of Nawzad district headquarters and all villages around it."

A NATO spokesperson in Kabul did not respond to an Asia Times Online request for comment on the Taliban's claim to have taken control of Nawzad.

During a visit to Helmand province last November, this correspondent observed the ceasefire between the Taliban and NATO forces in Nawzad district (see Time out from a siege, Asia Times Online, December 9, 2006). NATO saw the ceasefire as a chance slowly and peacefully to extend the influence of NATO forces as well as the writ of the Afghan government. However, the scheme seems to have come to nothing.

"The fall of Nawzad is the start of the Taliban-led uprising in southwestern Afghanistan, and soon the entire province of Helmand will be in the hands of the mujahideen," Abdul Khaliq claimed.

As events in Nawzad illustrate, the Taliban are unlikely to receive much opposition from Kabul-backed administrations across the province.

To stop the rot, as it were, NATO wants to take the fight into Pakistani territory - from where the Taliban receive logistical support - as its "ceasefire" tactics seem to have failed.

A new focus on Balochistan
Recent clashes between NATO forces and the Taliban in Gramser, Helmand, left dozens of Taliban wounded. Some of them retreated to Naushki, Kuchlak and Quetta in Balochistan, where they were admitted to various hospitals. Their colleagues stayed with the Afghan diaspora in the area.

NATO followed the movement of these people in Pakistan and eventually passed on information to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation's proxies, which have deep influence in the Pakistani police. As a result, under the direct surveillance of the FBI, Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence led an operation to capture dozens of Taliban.

A Pakistani newspaper claimed one of the arrested was Mullah Obaidullah, one of Taliban leader Mullah Omar's top aides. Pakistani state authorities denied the claim, including the Ministry of Interior. Nevertheless, sources in the security agencies did say that during a raid in Quetta some "very important persons were sorted out" and that Mullah Obaidullah might indeed be in the area.

These developments reinforce the Afghan government and NATO view that Quetta is an important command and control post for the Taliban and that they have to be rooted out from there. The areas of Naushki and Gardi Jungle in Balochistan have also been identified by the British Task Force in Helmand as the main supply lines of logistics and manpower into Helmand province.

"Local Baloch youths are very active supporters of the Taliban in the region of Naushki and it is the main supply line of weapons and manpower to the Taliban," commented a British military official based in Helmand province, speaking on condition of anonymity.

In return for the heat being turned on them, the Taliban will target the US proxy intelligence network in Balochistan. These include Police Intelligence Unit and FBI collaborators among Muslim clerics and other anti-Taliban elements.

It's all very well, though, for NATO to recognize the necessity of becoming more proactive across the border. There is an obstacle - and a big one. As reported by Asia Times Online (Pakistan makes a deal with the Taliban, March 1), the Pakistani establishment has struck an accord with the Taliban through a leading Taliban commander that will extend Islamabad's influence into southwestern Afghanistan and significantly strengthen the resistance in its push to capture Kabul.

As the Taliban begin the first phases of their spring offensive, the battlefield is getting bigger, as is the number of contestants.

Syed Saleem Shahzad is Asia Times Online's Pakistan Bureau Chief. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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