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    South Asia
     Mar 9, 2007
Page 2 of 2
A catalogue of errors in Afghanistan
By Michael Scheuer

women's rights - added to the misery of rural Afghans by appearing to be attacks on millennia-old social, tribal and religious mores. As Afghans were faced with the reality of being in the thrall of criminals, and perceived their culture to be under attack, it is not surprising that the Taliban are finding at least a tepid welcome home.

The third problem for the coalition is the amount of time it has



spent in Afghanistan. Now in the sixth year of occupation, Western leaders are confronted not only by a stronger-than-2001 enemy, but also by the resurgent insularity and anti-foreign inclinations of the Afghan people.

While not precisely xenophobic, the Afghans are historically hospitable and protective to a fault of visiting foreigners whom they have welcomed - witness their treatment of bin Laden - but have precious little tolerance for foreigners who, by intention or default, seek to rule them. Today, the Afghans perceive themselves to be doubly ruled, and doubly badly ruled, by foreigners: the US-led coalition and the pro-Western, nominally Islamic, detribalized and corruption-ridden government of President Hamid Karzai.

This perception of a "foreign yoke", along with spreading warfare, little reconstruction and endemic banditry, has created a fertile nationalistic environment for the Taliban and their allies to exploit.

Finally, the US-led coalition now faces the full brunt of a new era that was started by the prolonged and brutal Soviet occupation and its consequent jihad. Long on the periphery of Islam - almost a backwater - Afghanistan became part of the Muslim world's consciousness during the Afghan-Soviet war of the 1980s.

The war focused Muslims, and especially Arab Muslims, on the plight of their Afghan brethren and prompted them to send large amounts of money and arms, as well as fighters to support the mujahideen. The Afghans repaid this assistance by defeating the Red Army, thereby giving the Islamic world its first victory over "infidel" Western forces in several hundred years. The Afghans' victory was the turning point, and the totem for the maturing of a well-defined worldwide Islamist militant movement.

Today, many non-Afghan Muslims again perceive that the Afghans are being occupied and tortured by another infidel entity, the US-led coalition. This is especially the case because the Afghan war is occurring in tandem with the Iraq war, which broadens the sense that all of Islam is under infidel attack.

As a result, the flow from abroad of funds, arms and fighters to the Afghan insurgents - while probably not as large as the flow to the Iraqi resistance - is substantial, and can be seen in the improving combat performance of the Taliban-led forces confronting coalition forces.

Also suggesting this connection are the successful efforts to share expertise across the two theaters, with Iraq war skills in suicide attacks and improvised explosive devices being brought to bear in Afghanistan, while the Afghans' well-honed skills in attacking helicopters are emerging as part of the Iraqi insurgents' toolkit.

The future for the West in Afghanistan is bleak, and it is made more discouraging by the fact that much of the West's defeat will be self-inflicted because it did not adequately study the lessons of history.

"Efforts to occupy and rule [Afghanistan] usually ended in disaster," wrote eminent British historian Sir John Keegan in The Daily Telegraph in September 2001. "But straightforward punitive expeditions ... were successful on more than one occasion.

"It should be remembered that, in 1878, the British did succeed in bringing the Afghans to heel [with a punitive expedition]. Lord Roberts' march from 'Kabul to Kandahar' was one of [Queen] Victoria's most celebrated wars. The Russians, moreover, foolishly did not try to punish rogue Afghans, as Roberts did, but to rule the country. Since Afghanistan is ungovernable, the failure of their efforts was predictable ...

"America should not seek to change the regime, but simply to find and kill the terrorists. It should do so without pity."

Michael Scheuer served in the Central Intelligence Agency for 22 years before resigning in 2004. He served as the chief of the Bin Laden Unit at the Counterterrorist Center from 1996 to 1999. He is the once-anonymous author of Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror and Through Our Enemies' Eyes: Osama bin Laden, Radical Islam, and the Future of America.

(This article first appeared in The Jamestown Foundation. Used with permission.)

(Copyright 2007 The Jamestown Foundation.)

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