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    South Asia
     Apr 18, 2007
A dose of democracy for Pakistan
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - Al-Qaeda's resurgence and its new modus operandi through home-grown militant groups in the Muslim world has gone a long way toward prompting Washington to revise its approach to the "war on terror". In this, the promotion of democracy and social reform plays a significant part in confronting al-Qaeda.

This is especially true in frontline "war on terror" states such as Pakistan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, which are ruled by virtual dictatorships.

Washington has engaged in backchannel diplomacy with these



countries in an attempt to promote more representative government, but in the case of Saudi Arabia with limited success. For instance, this year several advocates of a constitutional monarchy have been arrested by the General Intelligence Services (al-Mahabith al-Amma). These include prominent lawyers and academics.

With regard to Pakistan, month-long mediation by the US has resulted in former prime minister Benazir Bhutto apparently agreeing to share power with President General Pervez Musharraf before or after presidential elections this year. This was done last Friday in Dubai in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) at the residence of a Pakistani tycoon and in the presence of a US State Department official.

The charismatic Bhutto, leader of the Pakistan People's Party Parliamentarian party, has been in self-exile in the UAE since her government was dismissed in 1996 on charges of corruption.

Subsequent to Friday's meeting, the anti-corruption cell of the National Accountability Bureau of Pakistan, which had been dealing with the charges against Bhutto, was closed down.

Clearly, the US sees the West-friendly Bhutto as a possible alternative to Musharraf, who since taking power in 1999 in a coup has steadfastly refused to step out of his uniform or relax his grip. This has fueled widespread unrest in the country, which extremist militant and religious elements are exploiting.

Since the September 11, 2001, attacks on the US and the invasion of Afghanistan, the US has relied heavily on Pakistan in the "war on terror". This has often been a stormy relationship, with Washington accusing Islamabad of not doing enough to curtail the activities of al-Qaeda and the Taliban, which have bases and draw support from Pakistan's tribal areas.

However, sources close to Pakistan's decision-makers have told Asia Times Online that in recent weeks all US talk with Pakistan has centered on democracy and Musharraf's uniform, rather than on issues related to the "war on terror".

According to the sources, Bhutto and other liberal. pro-Western political forces will become involved in Pakistan's affairs at the highest level, including in the National Security Council. This would act as a brake on Musharraf and the ruling military establishment and, the argument goes, help the country meet the threat from al-Qaeda by addressing the grassroot unrest from where al-Qaeda and militant organizations draw increasing support.

Western concern has heightened amid the understanding that al-Qaeda has re-established its financial networks and is preparing for a global campaign against US interests and its allies in Muslim countries.

Al-Qaeda's is a two-pronged approach - by militant means and through khurooj - mass mobilization to change a regime. This would be difficult to contain through military means or dictatorial oppression. Hence the move for the greater participation of democratic forces in Pakistan's political process.

Meanwhile, Musharraf has begun to feel the heat over the "war on terror". He said recently that if US pressure continued, he might sever his partnership with the US.

At the same time, Musharraf publicly rejected point-blank month-old discussions on a joint patrol mechanism of North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Pakistani forces along the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan to contain the Taliban. Musharraf had earlier signaled his willingness to go along with the plan.

Musharraf might be made to change his mind, though, as there is a move in the US Congress to condition US military aid to Pakistan on the country's performance in fighting terrorism and introducing democratic reforms.

Military aid apart, Pakistan has had loan payments rescheduled and been granted fresh US loans and economic packages worth billions of dollars. Simply put, Pakistan can't afford to lose this largesse and risk economic instability.

Syed Saleem Shahzad is Asia Times Online's Pakistan Bureau Chief. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


Pakistan: Trouble in the mosque (Apr 12, '07)

Pakistan's man in the middle (Apr 3, '07)

Another stiff test for Musharraf (Mar 30, '07)

 
 



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