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    South Asia
     Jan 26, 2008
BOOK REVIEW
Black turbans rebound
Koran, Kalashnikov and Laptop by Antonio Giustozzi

Reviewed by Sreeram Chaulia

Shortly after the overthrow of the Taliban government in the twilight of 2001, the new Afghan dispensation began facing a vigorous insurgency that buried hopes of stability and peace. While the American military was triumphantly announcing the demise of the Taliban, their trademark black turbans were back in view by 2003 and spread into the south and east of Afghanistan over the next four years.

In a revelatory new book, Antonio Giustozzi of the London School



content  of Economics analyzes the violence, its perpetrators and their backers. Though the author does not underestimate the role of Pakistan in the renewed activity of the Taliban, he emphasizes that internal weaknesses of the Afghan state opened the window for the insurgents to establish themselves deep inside Afghanistan and pose a serious challenge.

Compared to the old Taliban movement of 1994-2001, the new insurgents have less orthodox attitudes towards imported technologies like video production. By 2005, some district commanders were equipped with laptops, despite the scarcity of electricity. The neo-Taliban have no qualms in exploiting free-market principles for military operations. They protect opium traffickers' convoys in exchange for favors and pay non-hardcore members by piece work, such as firing a rocket or carrying out an assassination. By late 2006, their commanders were even relaxing harsh imposition of their infamous moral codes.

Giustozzi partially attributes the re-entry of the Taliban to the feebleness of President Hamid Karzai's administration, which is geared to accommodating tribal strongmen and warlords rather than to building a professional bureaucracy. Corruption, infighting and arrogance among provincial authorities delegitimize the government and open space for the Taliban to re-emerge. For instance, the abuses of Helmand's governor, Sher Mohammed Akhundzada, turned an uncommitted population into Taliban sympathizers by 2006. Harsh methods of the government's intelligence service drive many into the lap of the insurgency. The general weakness of the provincial administration alienates tribal elders who otherwise resent the Taliban's impudence.

Despite persistent efforts of the US and Afghan governments, Pakistan has arrested just a handful of Taliban on the whole. Under pressure to cooperate, Islamabad deports hundreds of suspects of little value to Afghanistan. Giustozzi cites evidence that Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) protects Taliban leaders and bases "by keeping away unwanted presences" and allowing free passage of insurgents across the border.

"Cool" ISI advisers may be helping the Taliban develop aspects of strategy like bomb attacks. Some dissenting Taliban members accuse the ISI of forcing attacks on schools and development projects to undermine the reconstruction of Afghanistan.

By consensus, Afghans believe that "the Pakistani state is behind the Taliban" and resent Washington's failure to curb this sponsorship. While the total number of Taliban forces was around 17,000 men by 2006, it was supplemented by 2,000 "international volunteers" (affiliated to al-Qaeda) and a whopping 40,000 "Pakistani Taliban". More than 20% of total insurgent losses in the new Afghan jihad are "Pakistani martyrs".

Since many Afghan families still send children to study in Pakistani madrassas (seminaries), they offer "an inexhaustible flow of new recruits" for the Taliban. (p 38) Pakistani policy in the North-West Frontier Province to patronize only pro-Taliban groups also swells the insurgents' ranks. Most Afghan mullahs are trained in Pakistan's Deobandi schools, and this too works to the advantage of the Taliban as a natural constituency in rural Afghanistan. Pro-government clergymen are being silenced through "night letters" and killings throughout Afghanistan.

Other "collaborationist" targets of the Taliban include teachers, doctors, judges, policemen and non-governmental organization workers. Beheading, mutilation and suicide attacks are being used by the insurgents as part of a "strategy of demoralization of the enemy". (p 108) From early 2007, frisking and execution of "informers" and "strangers" have become routine events as the Taliban grow vulnerable to intelligence penetration of the government and its foreign allies who employ "benefits-for-information" schemes.

American reliance on aerial bombardment, house combing and "clear and sweep operations" produces large numbers of displaced persons whose situations are tailor-made for joining the Taliban. Culturally disrespectful behavior of North Atlantic Treaty Organization troops generates nostalgia for the time when the Taliban were in power. From 2006 onward, there are widely shared feelings that Afghanistan is "again drifting towards a generalized jihad against foreigners". (p 71)

Personal rivalries and disputes within and between the Quetta shura and the Peshawar shura of the Taliban exist, but not at the expense of strong cohesion in the insurgency. The well-adhered layeha (Taliban's rulebook) helps maintain discipline and a unified chain of command in the field. As "spiritual instructions" predominate military training in the camps, obedience to commanders is honored with few exceptions. Unified Pakistan-based control over revenue sources also limits factionalism in the organization.

Unlike the old Taliban movement, the neo-Taliban have a more sophisticated propaganda machine that foxes opponents by manipulating the press. Motivational magazines, music tapes, VCDs, and DVDs exhorting jihad that are manufactured by sympathetic Pakistani businesspersons are available plentifully in Afghan towns and villages. The Taliban's priority is "mobilization of Muslim opinion worldwide as a source of funding, moral support and volunteers". (p 138)

To forge a countrywide revolt, the Taliban have been parleying with their former enemies of the Jamiat-i-Islami since 2005. Northern militias that feel marginalized by the Kabul government and enthused by anti-foreigner sentiments are working with the Taliban. The Karzai government itself has been negotiating with Taliban leaders since 2003 through United Nations auspices. For the latter, departure of foreign troops is a precondition for any agreement, while the former is "prepared to negotiate even with [Taliban leader] Mullah Omar as long as he freed himself from foreign slavery, ie Pakistan". (p 136) These mutually unacceptable prerequisites epitomize Afghanistan's predicament as a victim of chronic external interventions.

Giustozzi assesses the impact of NATO's counter-insurgency intervention as blurred overall, and counter-productive in Helmand and Kandahar. Rifts among the American, German, British and Dutch contingents have been inimical to formulating a joint strategy.

The government's militia conglomerate, Afghan Military Forces (AMF) suffers from serious indiscipline and primitive structure that rules out significant resistance to the Taliban. Karzai encourages private armies and village militias to fill the vacuum, but their notoriety for misbehaving with civilians wins few allies. The meagerly paid Afghan National Police (ANP) indulges in illegal activities and is, ironically, "a contributing factor to the insurgency". (p 175) Several police officers are alleged to be collaborating with the Taliban against foreign troops.

The Afghan National Army (ANA) has been heavily dependent on embedded foreign mentors and is incapable of autonomous action. Over-representation of Tajiks in the officer ranks causes public relations disasters with authorities in the Pashtun south. Irregularities and absence of communication with local people are eroding the ANA's reputation.

Although NATO forces make development aid a component of the counter-insurgency, villagers and town dwellers are "more concerned about the lack of security and death of relatives at the hands of foreign troops". (p 198) "Winning hearts and minds" of the Afghan public is difficult in a scenario where "many civilians are being killed and branded as Taliban". (p 202) Fearful of collateral damage, local residents in Kandahar and Helmand are asking for the withdrawal of foreign troops from their environs.

Belated moves by Karzai to implement "good governance" in the provinces are failing to appease local communities fearful of the reviled American hand behind these measures. Giustozzi considers the Taliban insurgency to be "nearing its metastasis" (p 216), a stage where slow improvement of governance is obsolete as a counter-insurgency ploy.

Kabul is also trying to reconcile insurgents at the grassroots level through the Peace Strengthening Commission, but this runs into mistrust about the genuineness of the amnesty offers. Also, the ISI is said to be actively trying to prevent Taliban militants from defecting to the other side. Local truces with individual insurgent commanders have been struck, but the Taliban are neither disbanding nor disarming.

Giustozzi concludes that the Pakistan-abetted insurgency is "probably inevitable", but the neo-Taliban could have been blocked from building a huge constituency had the Karzai government ensured a "de-patrimonialized subnational administration". (p 231) The future augurs indefinite war, especially as the neo-Taliban continue to get fully incorporated into "a global jihadist perspective". (p 236) It appears that the eventual fate of Afghanistan will be decided less by the battles on the ground and more by the international oscillations of radical Islam.

Koran, Kalashnikov, and Laptop. The Neo-Taliban Insurgency in Afghanistan by by Antonio Giustozzi. Columbia University Press, New York, 2008. ISBN: 978-0-231-70009-2. Price: US$ 24.95, 259 pages.

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