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    South Asia
     Apr 25, 2008
Page 2 of 2
The Indian elephant returns to Africa
By Chietigj Bajpaee

trade until as recently as 1999, India-African trade is now dwarfed by China's burgeoning trade with the region, which amounted to $73.3 billion in 2007, making it the region's third-largest trading partner after the US and EU. China and Africa have pledged to bring bilateral trade to $100 billion by 2010. China's investment in Africa stands at approximately $8 billion; four times India's investment on the continent while China's aid to African countries has often matched that of major international organizations and Western donors.

Similar to India, China's relations with Africa have shifted from holding a strong ideological bias in support of communist regimes and Marxist insurgencies to being led by market and resource

 

considerations. Notably, China now obtains a third of its oil imports from Africa, as well as looking to the region for other raw materials such as minerals and metals. Apart from resource interests, China's engagement with Africa has been driven by its desire to isolate diplomatic recognition of Taiwan, maintain a peaceful international environment or "harmonious world" so that Beijing can focus on internal development needs, prevent humanitarian intervention in states with poor human rights records, which may set a precedent for future intervention in China, exercise leadership in the developing world, and create a multipolar world.

In achieving these goals China has relied on both substantive actions and symbolic gestures. For instance, the Chinese Foreign Minister has maintained a policy of making his first overseas visit to Africa every year; the Chinese government appointed its first special envoy to Africa in May 2007 to address the genocide in the Darfur region of Sudan, and China hosted the heads of state of 48 African countries at the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in November 2006. Since 1990, China has also deployed troops on 15 UN peacekeeping operations in Africa, making it the largest contributor among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council.

In taking a holistic approach toward engagement with the region, China has often overtaken India in Africa. For instance, India has often lost energy assets to China as the latter has adopted a more strategic approach that integrates financial incentives with aid, infrastructure projects, diplomatic incentives and arms packages. For instance, in 2004, China's Export-Import Bank extended $2 billion in soft loans to Angola, which led Angolan company Sonangol to support the bid by China's CNPC (China National Petroleum Corporation) over that of India's ONGC for a stake in an offshore block.

Aside from India and China's growing role in the region, the United States has also been increasing its presence in Africa. It is estimated that African crude will account for a quarter of the United States' oil imports by 2015. On the security front, the US established the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) in October 2007, which will be fully operational by September 2008.

A new framework for engagement
India is finally developing a "Look West" policy to complement its "Look East" policy. India's rediscovery of Africa has been fueled by its pragmatic concerns, namely meeting resource needs. However, this pragmatic relationship continues to be embedded in shared culture and history. In addition to this, a string of shared strategic concerns have brought India and Africa closer together, including the need to address shared security threats emanating from maritime piracy, terrorism, health epidemics such as HIV/AIDS, climate change and food security.

Nonetheless, India is keen to distinguish its role in Africa from Western states, which were seen to be exploiting the region's people and resources. In his opening address to the first India-Africa Forum summit, Manmohan noted that the India-Africa partnership is "anchored in the fundamental principles of equality, mutual respect and mutual benefit". Indian Junior Minister for External Affairs Anand Sharma has also noted that "India's engagement with Africa is time tested, different and cannot be compared to any other country."

Meanwhile, China has been accused of fueling the region's instabilities by forming close relationships with pariah regimes such as Sudan, Zimbabwe and Angola, and selling arms to the region. China has also been accused of extracting resources from Africa without benefiting the region's people and undermining the local environment. The World Bank has noted that Indian companies generally have a better record than Chinese companies in Africa, with the former employing more locals that then latter. Sharma stated that "the first principle of India's involvement in Africa is unlike China. China says go out and exploits natural resources, our strategy is to go out there and add value."

Nonetheless, India's engagement with Africa has not been without controversy. Notably, there is a long-established history of labor unrest between ethnic Indians and indigenous Africans in countries such as Kenya and Uganda. For instance, on October 11, 2007, Indian steelworkers were abducted in Nigeria over a pay dispute with union members. India also engages with many of the region's same unsavory regimes that China does.

Notably, Indian firm OVL has a 25% stake in Sudan's Greater Nile Oil Project while India's trade with Zimbabwe amounted to $40 million in 2006. So far, India vhas avoided the international scrutiny that China has incurred over its policies in Africa although this is likely to change as it steps up its engagement with the region.

Conclusion
Africa remains vulnerable to instabilities ranging from piracy to terrorism, inter-state and tribal conflict, AIDS and political instabilities. Given the weak governments and significant Muslim populations of the region, the African continent is also a potential hub for Islamic extremism and terrorism. Finally, oil-rich countries in Africa have been unable to escape the "curse of oil", which has fueled corruption, conflict and environmental degradation across the region. Adding "great power" competition to this volatile mix could further destabilize the region.

Africa's most prominent Indian, Mahatma Gandhi, who lived in South Africa between 1893 and 1915, observed that "the commerce between India and Africa will be of ideas". Speaking at the opening of the first India-Africa Forum Summit this month, Manmohan noted this was a "new chapter in the long history of civilizational contacts, friendship and cooperation between India and Africa" with the goal of achieving "economic vibrancy, peace, stability and self-reliance". He added that he wished to see the 21st century as the "Century of Asia and Africa with the people of the two continents working together to promote inclusive globalization".

It remains to be seen if India's re-engagement with the region will be based on a new framework or follow a similar pattern taken by other external powers that fuels the region's instabilities.

Chietigj Bajpaee is a research analyst for Asia in the Country Intelligence Group at Global Insight. Prior to this he worked at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington DC, the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies, and for a New York-based risk management company. The views expressed here are his own. He can be reached at cbajpaee@hotmail.com.

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