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    South Asia
     May 1, 2008
Mumbai slum nears its end - perhaps
By Sudha Ramachandran

BANGALORE - Dharavi, home to about a million people in the heart of Mumbai in western India, is attracting a growing number of well-healed visitors, even though it is one of Asia's largest slums.

Initially it lured poor folk keen to establish a foothold near the country's booming financial center. Then it was tourists with an urge to see what real-life squalor could look like. The latest arrivals are less disinterested - these are representatives of the local authorities, bankers and big-time developers preparing to give the slums a makeover and throw up buildings more in line with Mumbai's standing as a global capital of finance.

Spread over 212 hectares, life in Dharavi is a crush, with a population density 11 times that of Mumbai as a whole, itself the


 

world's most densely populated city. Hindus, Muslims and Christians live cheek-by-jowl, as Marathis, Tamils, Telugus, Bengalis and Biharis, indeed people from all over India, throng to the place.The average dwelling is a one- or two-room tenement with no natural ventilation, running water or sanitation. Sheets of tarpaulin or tin serve as roofs. Outdoors is little better, a maze of narrow, garbage-strewn lanes and open sewers. There are public taps and toilets, but these are sparse, at one toilet for every 1,440 people.

Yet it is not just stench and squalor that define Dharavi. It is also known for its remarkable entrepreneurial spirit and flourishing economy.

Dharavi's annual turnover is estimated at anywhere between US$700 million and $1 billion. Amid the cramped housing are an estimated 15,000 single-room factories and workshops that turn out garments, leather goods (17% of India's leather exports are from Dharavi), pottery, jewelry, food products and much else. The township is home to a flourishing recycling industry, which employs about 200,000 people.

For all its drawbacks, in a city where rents are among the highest in the world, Dharavi offers a roof over heads for a rent as low as $4 per month. Just as remarkably, foreign tourists are increasingly drawn to the place to get a feel of life in the slums, making it a hotspot for "reality tourism".

The latest arrivals are also moneyed, but have other concerns - speculation, investment and construction. The government of Maharashtra (of which Mumbai is the capital) proposes to redevelop Dharavi and transform it into a modern township, complete with proper housing and sanitation, malls, hospitals and schools.

The Dharavi Redevelopment Project (DRP) was first conceived in 1995. It took the government eight years to give the go-ahead and in June last year it invited bids to execute the $2.3 billion project. The advertisement inviting bids described the project as "the opportunity of the millennium" and a "perennial source of income". With that the scramble for a slice of the Dharavi pie began.

Twenty six consortiums, several including international realty companies, put in bids in the first round and 19 made the short list for final bidding. The last date for submission, initially April 26 then April 30, is now May 30.

Those in the final bidding round include Dubai-based Limitless (part of the Dubai World conglomerate) and Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd (HDIL), which is partnering the New York-based Lehman Brothers, a global financial services firm.

Indian real estate major, DLF, which has partnered Limitless in building a $15 billion township at Bidadi in Bangalore to house 750,000 people, is linking up with Bangalore-based Akruti Builders & Developers for the Dharavi bid.

Other big Indian companies in the running include Mumbai-headquartered Larsen & Toubro and Reliance Engineering Associates, while Indiabulls Real Estate, one of the country's largest listed real estate companies, is hoping for success with US-based Shea Homes. Africa Israel Investment Ltd, which has extensive real estate investments in Israel, Russia and the United States, is also in the hunt, as is Dubai-based Emaar MGF.

At stake are five contracts to match the five sectors into which the development plan has divided Dharavi, with each winning bid to be allotted a sector to develop.

Dharavi is a potential goldmine. Located in the heart of Mumbai, it is sandwiched between Bandra-Kurla, the city's swanky new business district where current real estate prices are about $1,000 per square foot (.0929 square meter), and Sion, a residential neighborhood. Dharavi is just 10 kilometers south of Mumbai's international airport and is located between the city's two main suburban railway lines.

The actual project area is about 144 hectares. About 70 million square feet of construction is envisaged. Under the plan, Dharavi residents will be provided 225 square foot of housing free of cost in high-rise buildings. For every square foot provided to rehabilitate residents, developers will be entitled to 1.33 square feet of commercial space. That means builders will have the right to develop 43.5 million square feet and put it up for sale. As the neighboring Bandra-Kurla Complex commands the highest commercial real estate values in India, developing Dharavi should be a great business proposition, for government as well as developers and their associates.

Builders are expected to pay the government a minimum of $10 per square foot for the saleable component of the redevelopment. The minimum price quoted by developers in their bids is around $100 per square foot, according to reports.

Others who hope to make a killing on the redevelopment are speculators. They are buying up slum structures from their owners to cash in on the coming boom. Since bidding began last year, land prices in Dharavi have risen 30-40%.

Analysts, agreeing that the DRP looks great on the drawing board, say it will be hard to execute, given the fierce resistance from residents, activists and a section of politicians. The opposition Shiv Sena, under whose rule the DRP was first conceived, has shifted positions as it sees the potential for power-winning votes, moving away from backing the builders at one point to projecting itself now as the messiah of the residents, the leader of resistance against the project.

An Indian builder who wished to remain anonymous said that a project of this size should have attracted more international players. "It hasn't because foreign players are wary of the difficulties in a public-private partnership in a notoriously corrupt system. Besides the project is clouded in confusion," he said. "The government has not done its homework before inviting the bids."

Bangalore-based Sobha Developers is one company that has pulled out of the race. "Our firm amply qualifies but the current business judgement ... is that the returns may not be worth the effort," a spokesman of Sobha Group said.

Dharavi's residents say they are not against the redevelopment project but oppose the way this is happening and for whom it is being redeveloped. The current plan, they say, is too generous to builders and does not provide enough for the residents. The size of houses being provided to residents is far too small.

"It is evident that both the government and builders think that the poor, who make up half of the city of Mumbai, should not live on such valuable land. The vision of a slum-free Mumbai appears to be a city free of the urban poor," writes Kalpana Sharma, author of Rediscovering Dharavi: Stories from Asia's Largest Slum.

Critics point out that the government has no idea how many families live in Dharavi. Based on a random estimate, 57,000 families will be provided with housing under the DRP, when it seems there are over 90,000 families. Those who aren't provided housing under DRP, that is roughly 300,000 people, will be rendered homeless, without compensation.

Relocation of people and their businesses will also strike at the economic security of thousands of families. Most residents are self-employed. There is concern that Dharavi's redevelopment will destroy the famed entrepreneurial spirit of its community.

Mumbai's chief minister Vilasrao Deshmukh has promised to make the city another Shanghai and to this end has spearheaded a series of infrastructure projects in Mumbai. A redeveloped Dharavi, his government believes, will remove Mumbai's biggest eyesore and take the city a big step towards achieving its Shanghai dreams.

Yet the DRP could end up fueling the problems it claims to address. It might take out a sprawling slum but in the process is likely to result in a sharp spurt in the number of homeless people. This would mean new slums and expansion of other existing ones in the city.

Dharavi's remarkable recycling powers could come to an end with the redevelopment, so that in the name of cleaning up Mumbai, of garbage if not of people, the government will end up dismantling a system that takes out at least some of waste off the city's streets.

The DRP has seen many delays and deferred deadlines so far. Redevelopment is scheduled to be completed by 2013. But the confusion around the project indicates that the promised facelift for Dharavi will not happen anytime soon, or worse, could remain on paper. Speculators and builders could be counting their chickens before they are hatched.

Sudha Ramachandran is an independent journalist/researcher based in Bangalore.

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