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    South Asia
     Sep 16, 2008
Nepal-India ties enter the Prachanda era
By Dhruba Adhiakry

KATHMANDU - Arriving in the Indian capital just a day after it was rocked by deadly serial blasts that claimed dozens of lives might be unnerving for a visiting head of government from a neighboring country. But this is exactly what Prachanda, Nepal's prime minister since August 18, faced on Sunday.

He probably could have called off the mission, but his flinty image as the revolutionary leader of a decades-long insurgency apparently does not allow for shaky nerves over safety issues.

Manmohan Singh, Prachanda's opposite number in India, also might have cited the bombings as reason enough to postpone the visit. But such a move might have sent the wrong message

 

across India - and the world - that his country was unstable.

In fact, Prachanda needed to meet Singh on a priority basis because the Indian leader had made the rare gesture of congratulating him within an hour of his election as prime minister. With the congratulatory message came Singh's wish "to meet you in the near future and would be happy to receive you in India as our guest at your earliest convenience".

The invitation could not, however, pre-empt Prachanda's plan first to fly to Beijing for the closing ceremony of the Olympics. In China, he developed a quick rapport with the Chinese leaders, and President Hu Jintao praised his Nepali guest for attaching great importance to relations with China.

While officially India did not comment on the trip to Beijing, hawkish elements in New Delhi chose to express their displeasure through certain media outlets, ignoring the fact that the Olympics were not something the leaders of China's neighbors would want to miss. Even Sonia Gandhi, India's Congress president, was at the opening along with her son, Rahul.

But, on returning from China, Prachanda quickly announced his plans to fly to New Delhi for a substantive political visit. Some of the remarks he made publicly were perceived by some as unnecessarily apologetic towards India. Prachanda rejected these criticisms.

"If I were a man who pondered too much about such pressures, I would not have gone to Beijing in the first place," he told Asia Times Online last week. He said he thinks it is important to break traditions, especially if they are not helpful in building a new Nepal.

As Nepal's Ministry of Foreign Affairs was busy making preparations for what was later billed as a goodwill visit, Prachanda addressed the Constituent Assembly about the Maoist-led coalition government's policies and programs for the next financial year. He spared a few hours on Saturday to inspect Narayanhity Palace Museum - the residence of former monarch Gyanendra while he was king until last May.

Prachanda's 40-strong entourage included four ministers, indicating the issues he planned to raise with the Indian leadership. Earlier, he held discussions with leaders of other parties including those from the centrist Nepali Congress which now sits in the opposition. He even found it necessary to meet Girija Prasad Koirala, the leader who reluctantly vacated the premiership last month.

Through public forums Prachanda has assured the Nepalis that, unlike some of his predecessors, he would not sign any kind of new or secret pacts with India while in New Delhi. On the contrary, he said he would take up all the controversial issues that are surrounded by suspicions that Nepal was shortchanged in a range of treaties since 1950. The focus has been on the Peace and Friendship Treaty (PFT) signed in 1950 and the agreement concluded in 1954 on the Koshi River project.

The first has security implications and the latter has to do with water resources - the two main areas where New Delhi maintains interest in Nepal. These treaties are perceived as examples of all the "unequal" pacts and agreements signed in the intervening years. The 1950 PFT treaty has often been compared to one the former Soviet Union imposed on Finland in 1948. It was signed by a hereditary Rana prime minister, Mohan Shamsher, whose 104-year regime was overthrown seven months later.

Now even the monarchy, headed by Shaha kings, has disappeared from Nepal's political picture. Many people feel an archaic treaty should not be allowed to govern bilateral relations at the turn of 21st century.

"Its relevance for India's security in today's context is limited and questionable," wrote K V Rajan, India's envoy in Kathmandu from 1995 to 2000, in a newspaper article earlier this year.

The PFT treaty contains, for instance, provisions that Indian nationals in Nepal be extended "national treatment" on a reciprocal basis. Analysts say it is ridiculous to expect reciprocity from Nepal on this matter. India is a country of more than one billion people while Nepal has about 25 million.

It is equally questionable, some say, to keep the 1,800-kilometer-long border porous and unregulated. There have been at least 60 cases of Indian encroachment on Nepali territory.

Another treaty clause requires Nepal to obtain New Delhi's permission before it imports military equipment through Indian territory. Initially, it was an innocuous clause, primarily aimed at offering landlocked Nepal a transit route for its overseas trade. But New Delhi subsequently interpreted it as Nepal's obligation to consult India before buying weapons.

This interpretation came out when Nepal imported some military hardware from China, using the Chinese road through its northern border. "This is clearly a case of misinterpretation, some of which is done by 'friends of India' in Kathmandu," said Badri Bahadur Karki, a former attorney general of Nepal, in reference to this controversial clause as well as an identical agreement concluded in 1965. In no way, he contends, did these agreements amount to a security pact.

The Koshi River agreement of 1954 came into focus when its main embankment collapsed on August 18, rendering over 50,000 people homeless. It also caused considerable losses on the Indian side of the border.

Prachanda dubbed the agreement an "historical mistake" after inspecting the affected area in Nepal. Many Nepalis believe the Indian side (the Bihar state government) neglected its responsibility of maintenance and repair as stipulated in the agreement.

There is a strong feeling in Nepal that New Delhi should be made to pay compensation for the losses Nepal was forced to incur. Most of the Nepal's water experts are also of the view that Prachanda must not accept India's proposition that only a high-rise dam can tame the Koshi River before a detailed study is conducted by the Nepali side.

The growing trade imbalance has been another matter of concern. In a total trade of $ 2.3 billion, Nepal recorded a deficit of $1.1 billion in the financial year ending mid-July. Since the bulk of trade is with India, Nepal cannot sustain excess of imports over exports.

Nepal's exports are also subjected to a range of tariff and non-tariff restrictions including quarantine tests. Such measures, trade experts concede, run counter to India's own commitments to facilitate trade among the member-countries of the South Asian regional organization SAARC.

In a strikingly assertive tone, Prachanda spelt out some of his opinions on Nepal-India relations in a detailed interview published in the official newspaper, Gorakhapatra, on September 13. He said he commanded the authority to take up those matters with his Indian counterpart and would seek the ways and means to resolve them.

"We cannot choose our neighbors," an agitated India's National Security Advisor M K Narayanan told a television network on September 6, referring to China and Pakistan. Whenever Nepalis are reminded of this traditional wisdom they unmistakably think of India. Surprisingly, Nepalis are not jittery about China, which is a far more powerful neighbor. Also, Nepal shares an 1,100-km border with the restive Chinese province of Tibet.

If the public mood reflected in the Kathmandu media on the eve of Prachanda's departure for New Delhi is anything to go by, the Nepali people view the controversial agreements relevant to today's political reality. Elements of skepticism that Prachanda might not take a bold stand at the crucial moment seemed rife. For example, what happens if he becomes sentimental that some of his hideouts during the insurgency years between 1996 and 2006 were in Indian territory?

"Relations are what they are and adjectives do not add or subtract from them," is how Indian diplomat Deb Mukharji characterized the Nepal-India relations in an article published in Nepali Times on Friday.

Words like "special" and "unique" are clearly superfluous, and dated.

Dhruba Adhikary, a former head of Nepal Press Institute, is a Kathmandu-based journalist.

(Copyright 2008 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


For Prachanda, a tale of two cities
(Sep 5, '08)

Prachanda's journey begins in Beijing (Aug 22, '08)

A Maoist in Nepal's palace (Apr 19, '08)


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