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    South Asia
     Jan 21, 2011


NORTHERN LIGHTS, Part 2
Taking on the Taliban
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

Part 1: A shadowy new battlefield

BAGHLAN, Pol-e-Khurmi - The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) for a long time stuck to the belief that armed opposition groups in the long-running Afghan insurgency comprised only Pashtuns. Its non-combatant forces were thus stationed in northern Afghanistan, on the premise that the ethnic Tajik, Hazara and Uzbek majorities dominated the region and it could not possibly be a Taliban bastion.

This ignored sporadic incidents of violence, then the mobilization in 2010 of a strong Taliban movement, with the establishment of command and control centers, dispelled all myths that the Taliban were only a southern-based outfit.

This coincided with the United States and Britain being largely left

 

alone in the Afghan war. All major allies gave deadlines for their withdrawal from the country, with the likes of the French and Germans categorically telling NATO that they would not participate in combat operations.

The administration of US President Barack Obama devised a war strategy for southern Afghanistan and the provinces around Kabul, similarly based on the understanding that the Taliban-led insurgency was a phenomenon only in Pashtun-majority areas. The entire battle surge and the deployment of additional forces was concentrated on southern Afghanistan.

The emergence of the Taliban in northern Afghanistan has left the occupiers with no option but to rely on indigenous strength.

On the political front, Munshi Abdul Majeed, a highly respected figure with a religious background and a former loyalist of veteran mujahid Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, was in 2010 appointed governor of Baghlan province, about 200 kilometers north of the capital Kabul. His brief was to establish a line of communication with the Taliban and local tribes with the aim of brokering a ceasefire until NATO could come up with a new strategy to isolate ultra-radical militants.

On the security front, General Abdul Rahman Rahimi, a top security official with intense training by the Americans, was the district police chief of Kabul; he was the logical choice, when problems began in Baghlan, to take over as provincial commander of the police force to chop off the militancy.

A battle plan
The main police compound in Pol-e-Khumri, the provincial capital of Baghlan, is extremely well-guarded. Visitors have to pass through various checkpoints and security barriers and entry is not possible until clearance is received by wireless from the control room.

After spending at least 20 minutes crossing three security barriers, I expected to be met by a police commandant, but Rahimi himself was waiting for me in a courtyard, sitting on a chair.

"We met in Kabul earlier right?," Rahimi said after giving me a warm traditional hug and kiss.


Rahimi is also responsible for issuing passports, so he was surrounded by applicants. He read a passport, alled out a name, asked a few questions and listened to the answers, then signed the passport if he was satisfied. This he did with some interesting comments that brought smiles to everybody standing in the queue.

"Fouzanullah," he called.

"Fouzanullah? What kind of name is this?" (Fouzan means success and ullah represents the word Allah meaning God). Rahimi spoke in Dari with a Pashtun accent as he originally came from Logar province.

He stared at the speechless applicant, then signed the passport. "This is not the correct name my son," he remarked with softness.

That was the last passport of the day, and Rahimi then took me to a large boardroom decorated with huge portraits of Northern Alliance leader Ahmad Shah Massoud, killed by al-Qaeda in 2001, and Afghan President Hamid Karzai.

"The Taliban coming to Baghlan is no coincidence. They chose Baghlan as the center of their activities in northern Afghanistan because of its particular characteristics," Rahimi said.

"Baghlan is a strategic province. Its valleys and mountains provide a huge advantage to the Taliban to establish sanctuaries. However, Baghlan is not a destination but a transit point for the Taliban. Baghlan's mountain passes and valleys provide routes to Shir Khan Bandar [a town near the Tajikistan border] and Hairatan [another border town with Uzbekistan]."

Rahimi did not deny the presence of Taliban groups in Baghlan, adding that militant activities had a broader perspective than a local insurgency.

"If you closely read the situation, you will find that the militancy does not have a local dynamic, although a big chunk of the militants are local. In the last year for the first time we have found a large number of Uzbek and Chechen fighters. None of them was arrested alive. DNA tests confirmed that they were Uzbek and Chechens," Rahimi said.

"Our intelligence wing confirmed that this is al-Qaeda's operation and al-Qaeda has established its Jundallah wing in the district of Borka in Baghlan. [See The legacy of Nek Mohammed Asia Times Online, July 20, 2004.] The target is mobilizing the armed opposition in Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Chechnya," Rahimi said. He added that the worrisome part was that al-Qaeda had tapped into the local Afghan Uzbek population. This has alarmed Uzbek, Tajik and Russian authorities, who have increased border patrols.

Rahimi insists that the insurgency is under control and that all Taliban claims of attacking NATO convoys are a lie.

"They target ordinary oil tankers and say that they have targeted NATO supply convoys. The Taliban are liars," Rahimi scornfully said.

Yet, as I sat in a guesthouse in Pol-e-Khumri, sharp at 6 pm, under the Taliban's instructions, all cell-phone transmission towers were switched off until 6 am the next day. The Taliban have warned that the government uses cell-phone signals at night to trace the Taliban and their sanctuaries. If the towers are not silenced, they will be blown up.

On the political front
The governor's house was full of visitors, but a reporter of a state-run Afghan TV channel, assigned to cover the governor's activities, arranged my meeting with Majeed as a priority.

Like Rahimi, Majeed was appointed in the spring of 2010, when the Taliban emerged with full force in Baghlan. He is from Baghlan and is a former loyalist of Hekmatyar; he severed these ties in 1990 when Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence brokered a deal between the communist General Shahnawaz Tanai and Hekmatyar to stage a coup, which failed, against Mohammad Najibullah's regime.

Majeed, an Islamist to the core, could not tolerate Hekmatyar's alliance with the communists and left the party.

He, like most former Gulbuddin loyalists, is a close aide of President Karzai. The idea of making Majeed governor of Baghlan was to use his Islamist credentials and establish a line of communication with the Taliban and the local Pashtun tribes so that al-Qaeda and foreign fighters would be alienated.

"Let's not use the term Taliban for insurgents. We may call them opposition forces," Majeed said at the beginning of the interview.

"I don’t call them terrorists either. They are local people who are not aware of good and bad. They are less educated. I am completely in favor of talking to them so they will give up their opposition to the government, but unfortunately several external factors are using them," Majeed said, pointing to Iran as the main culprit.

"I don't know personally, but this is the opinion of some very well informed people here in Afghanistan that although Iran may not have any sympathy with the Taliban and al-Qaeda, it is interested in engaging the Americans in the conflict, and that's why it is supporting the opposition forces here," Majeed said.

"Another factor is al-Qaeda, which like the whole Muslim world also wants trouble in our region, especially for Russia and for Uzbekistan. There have recently been complaints to the Afghan Foreign Office by the Russians as well as by Uzbekistan that the growing activities of militants in northern Afghanistan were becoming a serious threat for their security," Majeed said.

I finished my interview and walked along a river - although the winter is dry, the snow-covered mountains would make movement for the militants difficult. They are better off in the southern regions - the tribal areas between Pakistan and Afghanistan - where they can preserve their strength until this summer. The governor of Baghlan and the security chief saw this lull as a success. It is not.

NEXT: The al-Qaeda factor

Syed Saleem Shahzad is Asia Times Online's Pakistan Bureau Chief and author of upcoming book Inside al-Qaeda and the Taliban beyond 9/11 and Beyond published by Pluto Press, UK. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com

(Copyright 2011 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


Afghan solutions lead to Central Asian crisis (Jan 12, '11)

 

 
 



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