What if the 'Lion' hadn't been slain?
By Farangis Najibullah
Just before al-Qaeda achieved its defining moment with the terror attacks
against the United States in 2001, it was in a gift-giving mood in Afghanistan.
On September 9, the terrorist organization paid back its Afghan hosts by taking
out the Taliban regime's most powerful enemy - Ahmad Shah Massoud.
Before his assassination at the hands of two al-Qaeda operatives posing as
television journalists, Massoud, an ethnic Tajik, enjoyed a reputation as a
warrior, earning him the moniker "The Lion of Panjshir".
He was as polarizing as he was charismatic, having earned as
many friends as enemies while establishing himself as a successful mujahideen
commander during the Soviet invasion in the 1980s and later as the leader of
the Northern Alliance, which was taking on the fledgling Taliban.
By 2001, Massoud was considered the last bulwark against the Taliban. From
Afghanistan's northeastern provinces, including his stronghold in the Panjshir
Valley, Massoud commanded an estimated 12,000 troops and controlled between 5%
to 10% of the country.
Massoud's assassination ushered in dramatic changes for Afghanistan.
Within two days, al-Qaeda would carry out the terrorist attacks against the
United States, prompting Washington to begin the so-called "war on terror"
whose centerpiece was the invasion of Afghanistan and the overthrow of the
Taliban regime in Kabul.
Ten years later, peace has yet to come to Afghanistan. Taliban militants are
still engaged in fighting against Afghan government forces. Tens of thousands
of Western coalition troops remain on Afghan soil.
This week's anniversary of the 9/11 attacks has many pondering how their lives
have changed in the last decade. Taking things one step further, one can ask
many more questions:
How would the world look today had Massoud not been killed?
Would al-Qaeda have given the green light to its September 11 plans if he had
lived?
Would Massoud regained the upper hand against the Taliban on his own?
Might Massoud have emerged as the man to lead the country, instead of Hamid
Karzai, following the Taliban's overthrow?
Different opinions
Ahmad Sayeedi, a former Afghan diplomat, considers the possibilities and
concludes, "I believe Massoud not have resisted the US-led coalition in
Afghanistan. Like other mujahideen leaders who received assistance from other
countries. Massoud, too, knew how to deal with foreign powers.
"America is a superpower, and I don't believe Massoud would have fought against
the US presence in Afghanistan. He would cooperate with them with
understanding. After all, his closest friends - Yunis Qanooni, Muhammad Fahim
and Abdullah Abdullah - are today among those who support pro-US policies."
Sayeedi says some of Massoud's allies in the Northern Alliance went on to
occupy high posts in post-Taliban Afghanistan, but tarnished their reputations
by getting involved in corruption, misuse of public office and criminal
activities.
Sayeedi suggests things might have been different had Massoud lived. "I believe
Masud would not do the same," he says. "But would he be able to stop his
supporters from going off-track? A lot would depend on that."
For many Afghans, Massoud, who died at the age of 48, is known as a war hero
and military commander, but not as a political leader. Would he, like many of
his fellow mujahideen warriors, have involved himself in government and
politics?
Siddiqullah Tawhidi, an Afghan journalist and Massoud's friend, says he
believes Massoud's heart was elsewhere. "Massoud would dream of returning to
civilian life," Tawhidi says. "But there are many people who would have wanted
to see him in the highest post in this country.
"He used to say during interviews that once peace was restored, he would go
back to the polytechnic university to complete his studies. And he wanted to
work as a civilian engineer. It was his private dream. But I think he would be
worthy of the presidency."
Born to the family of a colonel in the town of Bazarak in the Panjshir Valley,
Massoud grew up in Kabul, where his father had been given a post. After
graduating from the French school of al-Istiqlal in Kabul, Massoud went to
study at Kabul Polytechnic University. He joined the Muslim Youth League during
his student years and subsequently became a guerrilla fighter.
He returned to Kabul in 1992 after the communist regime of president Mohammad
Najibullah was overthrown by mujahideen forces. Massoud was appointed defense
minister, but infighting would doom the mujahideen government.
Massoud withdrew to the northeast in 1996, as the Taliban rapidly advanced
toward the capital. Soon, the Panjshir Valley became one of the last remaining
pockets of resistance.
The legend lives on
Massoud's status in post-Taliban Afghanistan was officially cemented in 2002
when President Hamid Karzai named him a "national hero". But his legend lives
strongest at the local level, in his birthplace, the Panjshir Valley, and in
neighboring areas in the northeast.
There, posters of Massoud - wearing his trademark woolen hat, the pakol -
still hang along the streets and on the walls of teahouses, schools and shops.
Massoud has become a popular name for boys, says Maryam Panjshiri, a women's
right activist and resident of Panjshir. "People here always remember him and
pay tribute to him. We don't need an anniversary to remember Massoud," she
says. Panjshiri believes Massoud would have continued to play a crucial role in
determining Afghanistan's fate if he hadn't been killed.
"Today, it feels like Afghanistan has no owner," Panjshiri says. "There is no
peace in this country. When one part of Afghanistan becomes peaceful, a
conflict arises in its other part. All kinds of foreigners interfere in our
affairs. I don't think Massoud would let that happen if he were alive today."
Opinions about Massoud and of his role differ sharply. There are people who
still worship him as a one-of-a-kind hero who fought for Afghanistan's freedom.
Critics remember difficult days when mujahideen fighters, including Massoud's
Jamiat-i-Islami, launched rocket attacks on Kabul in the early 1990s, killing
scores of civilians.
"For me, he is one of the mujahideen commanders who bombarded my city," says
Shukriya Barekzai, an Afghan journalist and politician. "I lived in Kabul in
those days and I have bitter memories. Ordinary people were killed. Mothers
lost their children. We were exhausted from moving from one place to another
trying to escape the fighting and bloodshed.
"I hold all mujahideen commanders and leaders accountable for that, and Massoud
was one of them."
As for what role Masud would have played today had he not been killed, Barekzai
says, "Masud was a skilled military commander, but when the war is over, it is
important what a leader can do to maintain lasting peace, to rebuild the
war-ravaged country. I don't know what Masud would have done in that
direction."
Some in Afghanistan say Masud's legend will always live on, killed as he was in
his prime, at the peak of his struggle to save his country from a hardline
force that was dragging its people backward.
"He is a hero frozen in time and will always be remembered as a handsome and
charming warrior who fought for peace," says his friend Tawhidi.
Copyright (c) 2011, RFE/RL Inc. Reprinted with the permission of
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Washington DC
20036
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