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    South Asia
     Oct 6, 2011


Gilani payout fails to stop power riots
By Syed Fazl-e-Haider

KARACHI - Emergency payments by Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani have failed to halt riots and protests demanding an end to power outages that have extended to as much as 20 hours a day due in large part to the government's failure to pay its bills.

Rioters attacked public and private properties particularly in Punjab, the country's most heavily populated province, in a second day of protests after Gilani on Monday ordered an immediate release of 11 billion rupees (US$125 million) so that two leading independent power producers (IPPs) could continue to receive fuel supplies.

Power generated by IPPs Hub Power Co and Kot-Addu Power Co dropped to 500 megawatts last week from their combined

 
production capacity of 2,500MW (in the West, considered enough to power 600,000 homes). The country's overall electricity shortfall has soared to more than half of demand, bringing much of industry to a stuttering halt.

Local experts say that the major cause of the energy crisis is rising circular debt, with low payment collection and rising power generation costs. Oil-operated power generating units do not run at full capacity due to insufficient oil supply, aggravated by the finance ministry not making agreed payments to IPPs and state-run fuel supplier Pakistan State Oil (PSO).

PSO is on the verge of default on international letters of credit, owing 120 billion rupees to international fuel suppliers, according to The Express Tribune. Meanwhile it is waiting to receive 133 billion rupees from clients, including those in the power sector.

Pakistan Electric Power Company (Pepco), which made a loss of 170 billion rupees last year, owes IPPs 210 billion rupees. Gul Ahmed Energy has been shut down because of non-payment of about 3 billion rupees by Karachi Electric Supply Co.

The power generation system has virtually collapsed, according to Dawn newspaper. "With hydel [hydroelectric power] generation receding further, the oil squeeze worsening and two nuclear power plants stalled because of technical faults, the electricity deficit has shot up by over 8,000MW - almost 50% of demand," it reported.

Anti-government feeling is growing in a country where up to 40% of the 170 million population live below the poverty line, and the ruling Pakistan Peoples Party appears after three-and-a-half years in office to have forgotten its popular slogan of giving roti (food), kapra (cloth), and makan (house) to the poor. Mobs burnt six electricity company offices in the industrial hub of Gujranwala, Punjab province, on Monday, the Financial Times reported.

The country's electricity generation mix comprises 65% thermal and 33% hydro-electric power. The leading oil companies recently disrupted oil supplies to thermal power generation units because their bills were not paid, further aggravating overall electricity production

Dawn commented:
The power riots that have rocked Punjab since the weekend and threaten to spread to other provinces, as "loadshedding" is in effect for up to 18 hours a day in parts of the country, have their roots in mismanagement of the power sector over the last decade, exacerbated by the lack of a coherent power policy by the present government.

For a country which has an installed capacity of more than 18,000 MW, producing less than 10,000 MW at a time when demand is nearly 17,000 MW is a dire indictment of the state of the power sector ... At a time when the economy is already struggling with low growth, high inflation and a sagging job market, the power crisis is estimated to add up to between 1 and 2% of lost GDP each year.
The chronic energy crisis has forced many textile manufacturers in Faisalabad, the country's textile hub, to move manufacturing to Bangladesh. Cosy International, a composite textile manufacturer, Masood Textile Mills, a knitwear exporting firm and Tauseef Enterprises have reportedly set up textile factories in Bangladesh, while K&M Textile a composite manufacturer plans to move abroad.

"If the energy crisis remains the same, industrialists would take not much time to ... shift their industrial units to Bangladesh and other countries where the industrial sector is the top most priority," The Nation newspaper reported, citing a statement by business community leaders in Lahore, the capital of Punjab.

Repeated breakdowns in electricity and gas supplies to the textile plants reportedly caused production losses of 30% in the 12 months to June. The textile industry accounts for 38% of workers in the manufacturing sector.

Syed Fazl-e-Haider (http://www.syedfazlehaider.com) is a development analyst in Pakistan. He is the author of many books, including The Economic Development of Balochistan (2004). He can be contacted at sfazlehaider05@yahoo.com.

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