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    South Asia
     Jan 30, 2013


Kashmir spat shows political-military splits
By Priyanka Bhardwaj

Although 2013 is less than a month old, tensions have already spiked between nuclear-armed neighbors India and Pakistan, this time at the Line of Control (LoC) between the countries' administrative regions in Kashmir.

The Indian side claims that in clear violation of ceasefire agreement signed at Geneva in 2003, Pakistan soldiers on January 9 killed two Indian soldiers, decapitating one and mutilating the other's body. Two Pakistani soldiers were also killed in a fire-fight the same week.

Outraged at the killing of Indian soldiers - and the nature of their death - the country's media, public and opposition parties have

 
demanded the government take a firmer stance towards Pakistan. Opposition leader Sushma Swaraj has called for "10 heads of Pakistani soldiers in return for one".

Emotions were further heightened when the Indian Chief of Armed Forces, General Bikram Singh, declared the killings "intentional" and "pre-meditated", adding at a press conference that they could provoke India into exercising its right to retaliate "at a time and place of its choice".

The site of two wars in 1947-48 and 1965, Kashmir has been a flashpoint for Indo-Pakistan relations since the state's partition in 1947. It sees more regular eruptions of violence than other disputed areas such as Sir Creek, dividing the Indian province of Gujarat from the Pakistani province of Sindh, and the Siachen glacier, in the eastern Karakoram range in the Himalaya Mountains.

Angered at the reported brutality of the killings, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has said that relations with Islamabad now "cannot be business as usual", suggesting recent progress in talks will be rolled back. Delhi was preparing to implement a landmark visa-on-arrival deal for Pakistani senior citizens at the Wagah crossing on the Grand Trunk Road.

However, some policymakers are moving to retrieve the situation, with Indian External Affairs Minister Salman Khurshid saying "jingoistic conversations" need not color the peace process.

“I think the peace process is going well," he told CNN IBN's Devil's Advocate program. "Just in order to overcome something that is unpleasant [the LoC incident] we are not going to reopen everything going back to 1950. We have to look forward. But something has happened right now and we cannot give the impression that nothing causes concern to us."

Khurshid said that as the reported beheading had "caught the public's imagination", leaders had to respond.

A telephone conference between directors-general of military operations on both sides on Monday resulted in an agreement to resume cross-border trade and bus services and to generally de-escalate border tensions.

India is likely concerned that Pakistan will take advantage of its current presidency of United Nations Security Council and internationalize the issue, such as by demanding the presence of UN Military Observers Group at the LoC.

While Islamabad has long sought such intervention, India says the UN cannot play a role in the region as its observers cannot prevent LoC violations.

Military posturing
The tensions on the LoC come as the Pakistani government is reeling from internal problems. The country's Supreme Court on January 15 ordered the arrest of Prime Minister Raja Pervez Ashraf, while in the same week cleric Tahir-ul-Qadri led a protest of tens of thousands on the capital and sectarian tensions between Sunnis and Shi'ites have seen a spate of fatal bombings.
Indian critics say the Pakistan army has provoked a fight in Kashmir to buttress its position as the nation's number one security provider, potentially in preparation of a coup d'etat- of-sorts that leads to a more formal and legal sharing of legislative powers with the civilian government.

Pakistani officials have played down the beheading incident, with Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar saying an inquiry into the death had "yielded nothing", while accusing India of "war mongering".

She added that South Asia could not withstand a fully-fledged India-Pakistan conflict, and that the Pakistani government wanted the bilateral dialogue to remain "uninterrupted and uninterruptible"".

The Pakistani Foreign Minister to India, Salman Bashir, has assured India that a probe has been ordered into the incident, but this has prompted disbelief in some Indian political circles.

Priyanka Bhardwaj is a New Delhi-based freelance journalist. She can be reached at priyanka2508@yahoo.co.in.

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India, Pakistan peer into the abyss (Jan 22, '13)

 

 
 



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