Musharraf returns as Pakistani democrat
Syed Fazl-e-Haider
KARACHI - Former Pakistan president Pervez Musharraf has returned home after four years in self-exile this week amid death threats from Islamist extremists.
The ex-dictator has returned with democratic aspirations. As leader of the All Pakistan Muslim League (APML), the political party he formed in 2010, he is prepared to enter electoral politics. He plans to contest in the May 11 general election from three National Assembly seats throughout the country for a possible
political comeback. Given the political scene of the country, that is seen as an difficult prospect.
"I returned to Pakistan for the sake of my country. I am trying to persuade the people to vote for me," Dawn reported Musharraf as saying.
Musharraf was received with open arms by hundreds of his supporters when he landed at Karachi airport on March 24 from Dubai. As chief of Pakistan army, he took power in a 1999 coup after dismissing the elected government of Nawaz Sharif. He was forced to resign from the post of president in 2008 when a coalition government led by President Asif Ali Zardai came to power. He left the country in 2009 and has since lived in Dubai and London.
"The arrival of Musharraf is going to bring a new era of secular thought. During his tenure, religious fanaticism which had been prevailing in the country for nearly two decades was just about to be wiped out," The Express Tribune reported a businessman Syed Shehzad Ali as saying.
A day before his arrival, Pakistani Taliban threatened to assassinate him if he returned. He is a high-profile target for the extremists, who have reportedly prepared a special squad of suicide bombers to kill him. The Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) made the claim in a video message. Musharraf responded that he was not scared of any "hollow" threats from the TTP and vowed to rescue the country from extremism.
Musharraf was guarded by a team of commandos when his plane touched down in Karachi. He had been granted protective bail in a number of outstanding cases, including conspiracy to murder, freeing him from being arrested on entering Pakistan.
One of the charges Musharraf is likely to face involves allegations that he failed to provide adequate security for opposition leader Benazir Bhutto after she returned from exile in 2007. He has also been accused in the murder of Baloch leader Nawab Akbar Bugti.
Musharraf's return is neither a good news nor a bad news to most Pakistanis. It is not good news for those who want to see Musharraf in power because he has come back after four years in exile to a country where power has shifted from the military to the judiciary and there is no short-cut route left for him to take the top position in the government. It is not bad news for his political rivals because he is not going to make a major dent in their power by grabbing votes in the upcoming elections.
Musharraf held sway over the military and political power bases for eight years after the military coup that elevated him to the top position. Today, senior positions in the government are held by the judges. The caretaker prime minister and majority of caretaker chief ministers of the provinces have a judicial background. Judges were the primary victims of military-led coups, hence there is no soft corner in the judiciary for Musharraf, who violated the constitution and put the judges defying his dictatorial authority under siege.
Under Musharraf administration, the country's economy witnessed a high growth; the rupee remained stable against US dollar; the economic activities accelerated and jobs created and the country's finances were in good shape. He launched a major crackdown on Islamist extremists, who made attempts on his life during his government.
The News commented,
Time will tell if this is a wise move by a man who was despised by many at the time his tenure and power came to an end but who, in some places, is now remembered as a better leader than those who have followed. However, despite this, there is no evidence at all that Musharraf has enough ground level support to make a significant impact on the electoral picture. Indeed, it is unclear from where he intends to draw his following, or if the APML is even capable of picking up more than an odd seat or two, especially in places where it is not aided by the powerful MQM [Muttahida Qaumi Movement]. ...
The former dictator has spoken in rather typical fashion in both London and Dubai of wishing to save his country and rescue it from the many evils it faces. A few cries of support were heard as he raised these slogans. Few analysts in Pakistan believe these voices will grow. It is, therefore, unclear quite what Musharraf's agenda is and why he should have chosen to return. ...
But whether he can achieve anything in real terms and make any kind of impact on an election scene dominated by the major parties that he had once tried to squash - like the PPP and the PML-N - is yet to be seen. His advent will simply add to the overall election time flurry.
Now electoral politics is the only route left for him to clinch the top position in governance. He is a dictator-turned democrat, who still believes the military should have a formal role in governance. Many political observers see Musharraf unfit for the political power game because he does not have the disposition and temperament of a traditional civilian politician.
Dawn newspaper in its editorial said,
Musharraf may be trying to take a different route into power politics this time around. But it isn't easy to forget the way he entered it in the first place. His remarks to the media before he returned to Pakistan were revealing; the former dictator implied he thinks the military should have a formal role in governance. It wasn't clear exactly what he meant or whether he would limit that role to security matters, but his promise in 1999 to save the country from what he called "sham democracy", and his decidedly undemocratic actions that followed means that this comment cannot be easily dismissed.
As he campaigns for the polls Gen Musharraf needs to clarify to the public his views on the military's role in the kind of democracy, as flawed as it may be, that Pakistan is now trying to build. Promises of better governance are all well and good, but in order to be taken seriously as a politician he will have to prove that his views on civil-military relations have changed.
It further said,
Military dictators more often than not consider themselves to be more popular than they are, so he is probably in for a bit of a reality check; the relatively low turnout at Karachi's airport provided some indication of the struggle that lies ahead for the All Pakistan Muslim League. But Gen Musharraf has decided to enter electoral politics, and the court of the people can decide whether or not he is worthy of their vote even as the law takes its normal course.
Syed Fazl-e-Haider ( www.syedfazlehaider.com ) is a development analyst in Pakistan. He is the author of many books, including The Economic Development of Balochistan, published in May 2004. E-mail, sfazlehaider05@yahoo.com
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