Southeast Asia

East Asia summit needed to cope with SARS
By Phar Kim Beng

HONG KONG - There is no doubt now that virus outbreaks are a global concern. The speed with which severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) spread from China to four other continents speaks as much about the modern world as about the infectious nature of this illness.

Nevertheless, the response to SARS has revealed a very peculiar condition in East Asia. Many governments, fearing lost revenue and consumer confidence, have resorted to blocking or censoring the release of key information. This practice must stop.

Indeed, despite the apparent futility of covering up key information of SARS, since the chain of transmission would invariably lead to the source anyway, governments throughout the region have resorted to insular habits. For the lack of a better word, SARS, an atypical pneumonia, is fought in a typically parochial manner: information blockade.

In China, top officials have affirmed that only information approved by the Health Ministry can be released. Hospitals are not in the position to provide any tally of SARS cases or fatalities. The task of finding out the magnitude of the problem in China has, by default, fallen into the laps of foreign journalists. Stern, a prominent German magazine, for instance, reported that there had been 14 fatalities in Guangdong in contrast to the reported four cases published by the Chinese government. Other foreign journalists have speculated that the number could be as high as the 30s.

In Malaysia, Health Minister Chua Jui Ming has affirmed that Malaysia would release "current" rather than "cumulative" statistics. In other words, if the epidemic were to spread, only the latest numbers would be released, not the cases that had occurred before to reflect the true gravity. This is a practice that deviates from international protocol. The goal is to stem any unnecessary panic. The attempt to "adjust" the figures is consonant with press censorship to protect the image of Malaysia (see SARS: Nobody's buying Malaysia's silence).

In Vietnam, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has assured the world that the situation is under control. The World Health Organization (WHO) has lauded the response of Vietnam in battling SARS. But even Hanoi is evasive when it comes to public information.

According to information released by the ministry on April 2, "All infected cases share the same infection source from the Vietnam-France Hospital where the first foreign patient, who had just entered Vietnam, was treated - there is no infected case caused by other epidemiological relations." Yet by this Tuesday there had been new cases that had occurred away from the cluster, bringing the total to 62.

The only country in East Asia that has tackled SARS in earnest is Singapore. The number of new infections in the city-state has been dropping as a result. The Singapore government also announced it will begin reopening the country's schools in the coming week after shutting them last month because of SARS, which had killed eight people of an infected 113 as of Tuesday, according to WHO.

But the response of Singapore also reflects its authoritarian impulse. When the schools reopen, parents will have to sign declarations saying their children are healthy. Students who have traveled outside Singapore will have their temperatures taken by school staff for 10 days after their return. More important, the government is also on the verge of compelling people under quarantine to appear in front of web-cameras at designated hours. This is to ensure that they have not left quarantine.

To be sure, given the urgency of SARS, it is imperative that governments in the region converge quickly on the same protocol or code of conduct in handling SARS. Very simply, the world is watching. And East Asia, which needs foreign direct investment, cannot be shunned. The severity of SARS is obvious. Although the global outbreak has only lasted around a month, the political and economic impacts of SARS have been immense.

Indeed, once people begin to go about their business in surgical masks, as is the case at present in Hong Kong and Taiwan, the level of fear increases proportionately. Consumer confidence is affected, leading to a dip in spending. Measures to stop SARS, in other words, cannot be merely cosmetic. They have to be both curative and preemptory, without which the outbreak will continue indefinitely.

Be that as it may, organization theorists have noted that governments are poor self-evaluators. Indeed, while most states cooperate with the international system to accept common codes of conduct, their cooperation is often slow and sometimes minimal. This is because states widely fail to evaluate their own policies until the most critical stage.

Stephen Van Evera at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology said: "Governments can learn, but only poorly and unreliably, and they often forget at an even faster rate." Bureaucrats are often unwilling to evaluate their policies lest they be criticized as inept. In East Asia, this is akin to a loss of face. Hence, the authorities often resort to various tactics to deter or retard any attempts at evaluating their actions.

In the cases of China and Malaysia, not only have the authorities tried to regulate the flow of information from the top down, so that only official reports are accepted, they are also hampering efforts at containing SARS by releasing data to congenial analysts only.

The inability of some governments in the region to respond forcefully to SARS is also due to their lack of awareness of public epidemics. After all, the last influenza epidemic that killed more than 8 million people worldwide occurred nearly a century ago, in 1917. The collective memory of the deadly epidemic has long since faded from the collective consciousness.

Government failure on the SARS issue also arises from wishful thinking that SARS will go away with time. It will not. Coronaviruses that are now identified to be part of SARS have an extraordinary ability to capture stray bits of genetic material from related viruses. They can then weave them into their own genomes, or DNA. This is a feat biologists call "recombination", or what is popularly known as mutation.

Gene swapping is not necessarily the threat. But if SARS becomes a virulent strain, then an epidemic can only be contained effectively through a combination of preventive measures that are coordinated both across and within borders.

Prerequisite to prevention is the need for transparency, honesty and more information from governments throughout the region. Any attempt to circumvent the need for information can only create a short circuit in the regional system that will result in ruptured diplomatic relations, such as when citizens from one country are barred from entering another.

It is essential that the governments of East Asia convene an emergency session on SARS soon, without which many more lives will be unnecessarily lost, and decades-old political capital squandered.

(©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Apr 10, 2003


SARS threatens countries' political health (Apr 9, '03)

SARS: How Singapore outmanaged the others (Apr 9, '03)

Beijing loses big on SARS gamble (Apr 8, '03)

SARS fever hits economies (Apr 2, '03)

 

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