Southeast Asia

Yangon approves UN envoy's return
By Larry Jagan

BANGKOK - United Nations envoy Razali Ismail's return to Yangon in June after an absence of more than six months will signal yet another opportunity to see how much of a push he can give to the stalled dialogue between the generals and opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

"Mr Razali will be visiting Burma for four days from the 6th June," government spokesman Colonel Hla Min said. Yangon gave permission this week for Razali to visit.

Razali has been trying for months to return to Myanmar, formerly known as Burma, to help restart the process, but the generals have rebuffed his repeated attempts to visit the country over the past three months. The authorities continually found excuses - the country's banking crisis, the visit by the UN rapporteur on human rights Paulo Pinheiro or trips abroad by key government ministers - to delay his visit.

In the past few weeks, the UN envoy has begun to express his frustration and annoyance publicly. "I am perplexed and disappointed," he said recently when he was in Bangkok to see Thai Foreign Minister Surakiart Sathirathai. "I thought I was a good friend to all sides, so can't understand why I'm unable to visit," he said.

The UN envoy was largely responsible for brokering secret talks between the two sides more than two years ago, while the opposition leader was under house arrest.

He also persuaded the Myanmese generals to free Suu Kyi a year ago. But since then, there has been little contact between the military government and the opposition leader.

"There's nothing happening on the political front," said an Asian diplomat in Yangon. "The whole national reconciliation process has stalled and needs Mr Razali to return to give it new momentum."

Since Razali started his diplomatic mission more than three years ago, he has visited Yangon every three months or so. "It is crucial that I see all parties involved in the dialogue process as regularly as possible," Razali emphasized recently.

It will now be more than six months since his last visit - the longest interval ever between trips. Diplomats in Yangon believe the military regime's reluctance to allow the UN envoy to return to Myanmar is a clear sign that the dialogue process is in real trouble. So Razali will be returning to Myanmar at a very crucial time.

There has been no real contact between the two sides for more than six months. In recent weeks there had been fears that the dialogue process was degenerating into a war of words between the two sides, fought through press conferences and press releases.

Four weeks ago, Suu Kyi went on the offensive and for the first time since her release a year ago publicly accused the military government of not being sincere about their promises to introduce democratic reform. "I have come to the conclusion that the SPDC [State Peace and Development Council, as the military government is called] is not interested in national reconciliation," she told reporters in Yangon.

Since then there have been signs that the military government was anxious to repair its relations with the opposition leader. These include the release of more than 20 political prisoners more than a week ago.

Diplomats in Yangon also expected a face-to-face meeting to take place between Suu Kyi and senior representatives of the military government, but this does not appear to have happened.

It is unlikely to take place now, as the opposition leader is touring Kachin state in the north of the country and is not due back until a few days before Razali is scheduled to arrive in Yangon.

But even if the regime seems to have mellowed and agreed to allow Razali to return to Yangon to talk to both sides, as yet there has been no sign that Myanmar's top generals are prepared to start the serious political talks they promised after the release of the opposition leader from house arrest.

According to UN officials, Razali hopes to able to convince them to do just that on this trip. But Razali will have his work cut out for him. "Ambassador Razali is likely to be exploring ways in which the two sides can actively cooperate with each other as a preliminary stage before substantive political negotiations," said a UN official.

The envoy is anxious to find ways of moving the process on from the pure confidence-building stage to active cooperation between them, which could lead to substantive talks.

Razali is likely to try to resurrect some of the recommendations he has made to both sides in the past. "He's looking for a project or two on which both sides can work together on," UN officials in New York said.

Razali is believed to feel there is scope now to pursue this as the humanitarian crisis is rapidly worsening and both sides realize Myanmar's desperate need for humanitarian and development assistance.

Both the opposition leader and the senior military officials say the two sides should cooperate on humanitarian and development issues such as AIDS, health and education. "They [the generals] have shown that they are not willing to cooperate with us in matters of humanitarian aid," Suu Kyi told a news conference in Yangon last month.

"The government actively welcomes meaningful and constructive help in all areas of national development - particularly in education, health care and economic development," said Colonel Hla Min in a recent statement to the international press.

Razali remains convinced that he can help all sides in their reconciliation process - the government, the opposition and the ethnic minorities.

Diplomats feel that the generals and Aung San Suu Kyi are unable to talk to each other without some form of international mediation, and that otherwise Myanmar's political deadlock will never be resolved.

UN officials insist the organization has a very important role to play in all conflict situations - not just in Myanmar - that goes beyond facilitation. In recent months the international community has also begun to suggest that Razali's role should be boosted.

Now Razali will have another opportunity to see if he can help push the dialogue process forward. Interestingly, the Myanmese authorities agreed to this last trip just as the United States and the European Union are in the process of strengthening economic sanctions against Yangon because of the lack of progress in the dialogue process (see Another blow for Yangon, April 18).

(Inter Press Service)
 
May 17, 2003



 

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