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COMMENTARY
Thailand: Terrorists and spin doctors

Perhaps encouraged by mounting evidence that the United States and United Kingdom concocted a disinformation campaign about the Iraqi "threat" to global peace to justify their invasion and occupation of that oil-rich country, Southeast Asian countries - most recently Thailand - are still using the "war on terror" as a public relations exercise.

Thailand, whose prime minister just a few months ago was accusing "crazy people" of concocting "ridiculous" charges that his country was a haven for radical Islamic terrorists, is now making global headlines for apparently uncovering plots to blow up embassies in Bangkok and to construct a "dirty bomb" with a highly radioactive substance called cesium-137.

Thailand does have a functioning intelligence apparatus, and it is probably true that the recent arrests of would-be terrorists were indeed the result of a months-long investigation based on information from neighboring agencies. All of said agencies have long suspected - or known - that Islamic extremists, under the gun in their own countries since the Bali bombings of last October 12, have been hiding out in Thailand, a predominantly Buddhist country that has a sizable and disgruntled Muslim minority in its south.

So the fact that there are terrorist cells in Thailand is not really a surprise, and it's only a minor surprise that Thai law-enforcement officials have actually nabbed some of their suspected members. What would be a real surprise would be to discover that the timing of these arrests, coinciding with Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra's visit to Washington this month in a belated effort to get onside with the US "war on terror", was not manipulated in any way.

To some observers, it's all too convenient. When what's important is to attract woo the tourists scared away from Bali by the October 12 bombings, there are no terrorists in Thailand. When it's important to cozy up to George W Bush, the kingdom is crawling with 'em.

The dangerous game of spinning the terrorist reality in Southeast Asia for political or economic gain is not unique to Thailand. Indonesia had been victimized by Islamist violence long before the al-Qaeda-style enormity of the October 12 events finally made Jakarta's policy of denial completely unsupportable. The Philippines has worked overtime to play down the violence that plagues that country, while failing to deal with the fundamental injustices that for decades have fueled both Islamic and communist insurgencies, or to tackle the US-style gun culture that adds to the carnage. Malaysia, meanwhile, has cynically used "homeland security" as a tool to crush non-violent reform movements, muzzle the media and jail the politically incorrect.

None of this comes as a shock to Asians themselves, of course. In Thailand, for instance, no one trusts or believes anyone in authority, usually with good reason. The police are corrupt and incompetent, the military answers to no one, and the government winks at it all until it finds it politically expedient to go on a hyped-up "cleanup" campaign, shoring itself up in the polls while getting rid of people it didn't like much anyway.

Having said that, it would be going way to far to suggest that the Thai authorities' allegations of the multiple bomb threat is completely bogus. The details that have been released, both of the alleged plot itself and how it was uncovered, indicate that the threat was frighteningly real.

This month, police arrested three Thai nationals in the country's south and accused them of plotting car-bomb attacks on five embassies in Bangkok, namely those of the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, Israel and Singapore. Police said the trio, allegedly members of Jemaah Islamiyah, the pan-Islamist group that has been linked to the Bali bombings, also planned to hit targets in the Thai capital's backpacker quarter around Khao San Road and in Pattaya and Phuket, two of Thailand's most popular foreign-tourist resorts.

The attacks, it is charged, were to take place next October during the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Bangkok, to be attended by the heads of state of APEC members, including US President Bush.

The audacity and enormity of this alleged plot certainly have the hallmarks of the kind of brutal crimes perpetrated in the past few years by major international terrorist organizations such as al-Qaeda and probably Jemaah Islamiyah, reportedly an al-Qaeda client. The timing is also interesting: It would have occurred approximately one year after the Bali tragedy, which occurred one year, one month and one day after the infamous September 11, 2001, attacks on New York City and the Pentagon.

More bizarre, however, is the case of Narong Penanam, a Thai school principal from the northeastern city of Surin, who was allegedly caught in Bangkok this month with 30 kilograms of cesium-137, a radioactive substance. Thai authorities charge that Narong tried to sell the material to undercover agents, and that it could be used to build a so-called "dirty bomb" - one that wreaks some of the radioactive-contamination havoc caused by a nuclear explosion without the physical devastation of such a blast.

Eyebrows have been raised about some aspects of this case, including how a schoolteacher in a remote Thai city would happen to have in his possession such a large quantity of such a volatile material. Naturally a political spin has been put on this story as well, with Laos being fingered as the source of the cesium-137. The Laotian authorities have angrily denied that any of this substance exists there; meanwhile the US-based Fact Finding Commission, which opposes the communist government in Laos, has suggested that the regime has been using cesium-137 on its own people, noting that some have come down with symptoms similar to those caused by radiation poisoning of this type.

It could turn out, of course, that everyone is correct. While cesium-137 is not available at every corner store, it is widely used in industry and medicine, and its theft has been a problem since the collapse of the Soviet Union, whose former republics are notorious for the lack of security surrounding nuclear materials, either from dismantled weapons or decrepit reactors. The Soviet Union, as it happens, was also indirectly responsible for some cesium poisoning when quantities of the isotope were blown into the atmosphere by the Chernobyl disaster, and nuclear explosions - planned or otherwise - have in fact been a primary cause of cesium-137, which is a byproduct of nuclear fission, entering the environment.

Cesium is an element having both stable and radioactive forms. The cesium-137 isotope, discovered in the late 1930s, is highly radioactive, which is why it is favored by industry and medicine (for cancer treatment) and by those with less benign motives. According to the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), "cesium-137 is one of the most common radioisotopes used in industry. Thousands of devices use cesium-137:
  • "Moisture-density gauges, widely used in the construction industry.
  • "Leveling gauges, used in industries to detect liquid flow in pipes and tanks.
  • "Thickness gauges, for measuring thickness of sheet metal, paper, film and many other products.
  • "Well-logging devices in the drilling industry to help characterize rock strata."

    Terrorists would have other uses in mind. When deployed in a device that uses conventional explosives to distribute the poisonous isotope, cesium-137 could contaminate an area of several hundred square meters. Those immediately exposed to it could get badly sick or die, although nuclear scientists suggest that the most potent effect of such a device would be the fear it generates, not its actual destructive power.

    According to the EPA: "If exposures are very high, serious burns, and even death, can result. Instances of such exposure are very rare. One example of a high-exposure situation would be the mishandling a strong industrial cesium-137 source. The magnitude of the health risk depends on exposure conditions. These include such factors as strength of the source, length of exposure, distance from the source, and whether there was shielding between you and the source (such as metal plating)." Cesium-137, like all radioisotopes, is also a carcinogen.

    The Thai case is not the only one connecting cesium-137 to a possible dirty bomb. Officials in the Caucasian republic of Georgia claimed this week that a routine police search of a taxicab in Tbilisi on May 31 found quantities of cesium-137 and strontium-90 (also a byproduct of nuclear fission), possibly meant for a dirty-bomb attack.

    The point, once we wade through the politicking and spin-doctoring, is that people do exist who are willing to use such devices to further their fanatical causes, and it is foolish to deny that such people cannot work their foul deeds in tropical paradises like Thailand. Last October 12, Indonesia learned the high price of playing games with terrorists and of refusing to acknowledge the threat posed by extremists.

    This month's arrests might mean that Thailand has woken up in time, and has gotten serious about catching the terrorists who roam the kingdom, rather than playing the issue for political or economic gain or to oppress minorities. But for now, it has to deal with a serious credibility gap.

    (Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact
    content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
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    Jun 20, 2003



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