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Vietnam: Coffee profit not worth beans
By Nelson Rand

HO CHI MINH CITY and DAK LAK PROVINCE - Vietnam's 80 million people consume only about 5 percent of the country's total coffee output, but one would never guess that if they were inside a Highlands cafe in Ho Chi Minh City or Hanoi. With high-quality coffee served in a relaxing atmosphere, the coffee chain is Vietnam's version of Starbucks - and it's brewing up big business among the country's middle and upper classes. But the other 95 percent of Vietnam's coffee is exported, and with world coffee prices falling to a 30-year low last year, Vietnam's coffee farmers have been facing lean times.

"I can't make money anymore selling coffee," said 57-year-old farmer Dao Dinh Phuc, who has five hectares of farmland in the country's biggest coffee-producing province of Dak Lak. He said it costs about VND10,000 (about 67 US cents) for him to produce a kilogram of coffee - about the same price as what he can sell it for. "I can't make any profit." His tiny shack without electricity and running water on a remote hillside in the Central Highlands of Vietnam is a stark contrast from a Highlands cafe in the city that sells a regular cup of coffee for the same price as what he sells his kilo for.

In response to Vietnam's coffee problem, the country has been changing its production strategy. The world's No 2 coffee exporter is now focusing on improving quality and increasing value while reducing output.

"The over-supply of coffee in the world has brought many difficulties to Vietnam's coffee industry and [especially] growers," said Doan Trieu Nhan, chairman of the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa), in an e-mail interview. So the country's industry is making a strategic adjustment, he said. Under the plan, the area under coffee production is to be reduced and farmers are encouraged to switch from the low-grade Robusta bean to the higher quality Arabica bean as well as to diversify to other crops such as rubber, cashew nuts, pepper and fruit trees. Vicofa said the area under coffee production in the country has been reduced by 100,000 hectares over the past three years to a total of 470,000 hectares now.

Vietnam has been blamed for over-supplying the world's coffee market with its rapid expansion of production in the 1990s and contributing to the coffee price slump by selling its coffee at the world's lowest prices. After government encouragement in the early '90s to expand coffee production, the crop became Vietnam's second-highest export earner after rice by 1995. By 1999, Vietnam was the third-largest coffee exporter in the world after Brazil and Colombia but world coffee prices were on a downward trend. Vietnam has since surpassed Colombia to become the world's No 2 exporter of coffee and the world's No 1 exporter of Robusta - just as the world's coffee industry has slid into a serious crisis. In the 1980s, world coffee prices averaged about US$2.64 a kilo. Today, they average about $1.10.

In 1994, Dak Lak coffee farmer Sui Thom cashed in on the coffee market and bought a Honda motorcycle with his earnings. Now he doesn't have enough money to repair it. Last year, he lost about $400 growing coffee. This year, he has stopped growing the money-losing crop and is banking on corn and cashew nuts among other crops to make just enough money to survive on. On his remote hillside farm, Phuc has also slashed his coffee crop, although just by half. He too is counting on corn and cashew nuts among other crops such as cotton and pepper to offset his coffee losses.

According to Vietnam's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD), the total coffee output for the 2002-03 crop year that ends at the end of September is 550,000 tons. This is down from a record 900,000 tons in 2000-01. According to MARD, the export target for 2003 is 635,000 tons, compared with 713,000 tons last year, which includes coffee stored from previous years. In the first eight months of this year, Vietnam shipped 459,000 tons of coffee, a drop of 6.1 percent from the same period last year, according to MARD. Vietnam's main export market for coffee is the United States, which buys about 90,000 tons from the country per year at a total cost of about $41 million.

The production costs of Robusta coffee in Vietnam averages about VND10,000 a kilo, while the current market price is just over VND9,000 a kilo. Total losses this year are expected to be about $18 million for local coffee growers and producers.

But as Vietnam's coffee farmers are facing lean times, coffee houses such as Highlands are thriving in the domestic market. In a country where Starbucks has not yet entered the retail sector - despite having more than 1,000 stores outside of North America - Highlands is brewing up Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi with nine outlets and two more to open by the end of next month. With oversized lounge chairs, Western music, lighting and mirrors designed to make the customer feel as relaxed and comfortable as possible, and people filling up the cafes at all times of the day to drink some of the best coffee in Vietnam, one would never guess that there is a coffee problem in the country. For now, only the farmers are missing out on the profits.

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Sep 11, 2003



Vietnam to grab coffee market by the beans
(Jun 18, '03)
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