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COMMENTARY
California gets its groove back
By John Berthelsen

SACRAMENTO, California - A look at the 135 actors, dwarves, porn stars, skin merchants, television commentators, billboard models, Silicon Valley billionaires and ex-felons running in an unprecedented election to replace Gray Davis, the disastrous governor of California, might give the impression that here we go again, good old wacky California is up to its good old goofy tricks.

But the real story is that California is turning into the Philippines. This is not just because of the parallels between Arnold Schwarzenegger, an untried movie action hero and bodybuilder, and Joseph Estrada, another action-movie hero with few political credentials known as Erap (Buddy) when the voters overwhelmingly elected him president of the Philippines. The story is People Power, and it has the same ominous connotations for California that it has had for the Philippines, where democracy in the streets has weakened institutions and helped to drive the country into a cycle of economic and political instability.

It was People Power I that brought an estimated million Filipinos to Manila's Epifanio de los Santos Avenue (EDSA) in 1986 to defy army tanks and drive the odious kleptocrat Ferdinand Marcos into exile in Hawaii - although not before he had stolen as much as US$12 billion and outfitted his wife, Imelda, with enough shoes - 3,000 pairs - to make her forever the Marie Antoinette of Asia. It was hope for People Power II that led a succession of Rambos to believe they could bring the people into the streets to overthrow the constitutionally elected Corazon Aquino several times in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

It was the real People Power II that came along later and ousted the constitutionally elected Erap, who is reliably reported to have been stealing money even faster than Marcos had, although not as brutally, and replaced him in 2000 with Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo without the inconvenient nuisance of a legal transfer of power. It was hope for People Power III that this year led a group of young Filipino military officers to hole up in a luxury hotel in the Makati financial district of Manila to wait vainly for the uprising to drive Gloria from office. It is the continuing hope of a variety of coupsters that millions will reappear on EDSA and end her term and install them in power. People Power lives!

California has its own version of People Power, which lay largely dormant from the time in 1911 that a reformer named Hiram Johnson was elected governor and created the initiative and referendum and the recall, today the bedrock foundations of California state government and as much as anything government's bane.

Under the provisions of the three measures, passed in a successful challenge to break the power of the railroads in California politics, voters were empowered to create laws or constitutional amendments directly, and the referendum allowed them to veto acts of the legislature. The recall permitted voters to remove from office any elected official. All three require the collection of the signatures of a significant number of voters.

Nobody bothered much with any of the three for about 50 years, although in the 1950s an advertising genius from San Francisco named Clem Whittaker, with his partner, Leone Baxter, promoted a seemingly innocuous amendment to the state's constitution, to be voted upon by the people, under the slogan "Keep California Green and Golden". That slogan, and only that, appeared on billboards all over the state and ensured that the measure passed overwhelmingly. It is uncertain whether the voters ever learned that what they had passed was a tax break for golf courses.

People Power, California style, first popped up with a vengeance in 1978 when a pair of political troglodytes named Howard Jarvis and Paul Gann capitalized on voter outrage to engineer a constitutional reduction of local property taxes that remains the third rail of California politics and has been emulated by states all over the US. Under its provisions, property taxes are frozen when an individual buys a house, and cannot rise faster than 1 percent a year until the house is sold, at which time it can be reassessed at the new market value. It has kept property taxes so low that the financier Warren Buffett recently noted that he pays less tax on his priceless house in Malibu, on southern California's windswept beach, than he does for the plain one he owns in the heartland of Omaha, Nebraska.

But the real secret of Proposition 13, as it is known, is that by and large Californians sell their houses and move approximately every five years, and thus their property taxes go up with each new reassessment. But big corporations and the owners of large apartment blocks - which Jarvis particularly represented - sell their property much less frequency, sometimes almost never, and thus are never reassessed upward. Therefore, they are still paying largely the same property taxes that they paid in 1976. Nonetheless, every time anybody tries to introduce new legislation to amend the tax measure, the voters rise up in indignation, unaware of or unwilling to believe how comprehensively their pockets are being picked, and not only defeat the measure but threaten to end the political career of any politician who dares to seek reform.

Angry citizens have pushed through a wide variety of other measures that have mostly screwed up California's unwieldy constitution far beyond anybody's capacity to read it, let alone repair it, which has led to increasing irritation with the equally dysfunctional California legislature, once the nation's premier state lawmaking body. In 1990, the voters passed a bill limiting the state's lawmakers to three two-year terms in the Assembly, the lower house, and to two four-year terms in the Senate, the upper house, in the quite rational belief that a class of professional politicians was living large and permanently in Sacramento, happily dallying with lobbyists and eating and drinking on the public payroll.

But the effect of the term-limits measure was to produce a class of citizen politicians - nice sound! - that knew nothing when they arrived in the capitol and were gone before they found the bathrooms. Because of their inexperience, they were fair game for the lobbyists who are paid millions to make sure their companies and industries are protected from the vagaries of the law and the anger of the people. The lobbyists the voters thought they were neutralizing actually became the ones in charge, because without any lawmaking experience the legislators turned to them to write the bills.

"Remember when the British in Kenya used native beaters to drive the game to them?" chuckled a banking-industry lobbyist. "That's what term-limits has done for us."

Then, in 1994, California's voters, fed up with what they thought was a serious crime wave that was exacerbated by sensational television broadcasts of various child kidnappings, although crime rates in California actually had been falling for several years, rose up and approved a ballot initiative known as "three strikes and you're out". Under its provisions, those convicted of three felonies end up facing life in prison.

Three Strikes, as it became known, undoubtedly took a lot of undesirable felons off the street. But it also had the unintended consequence of jailing for life petty criminals whose third offense often consisted of shoplifting or a variety of other inconsequential crimes. California's prison population skyrocketed as judges were left with no alternative but prison sentences, making the state the biggest incarcerator of criminals in the United States and putting more people in jail as a percentage of its population than any country in the world.

Instead of slackening off, People Power actually picked up, in the form of more initiatives for the people to decide. One measure passed by the voters mandated that 40 percent of all state spending be reserved for the schools, eliminating virtually all the discretion lawmakers had to deal with the state budget.

State government was thus increasingly paralyzed when the luckless Davis, a man who drinks tofu milkshakes for breakfast and eats turkey sandwiches with mayonnaise on white bread for lunch and acts like it, squeaked between two warring high-powered candidates and was elected to office. In the flush of the dot-com boom, there were rumors of a presidential bid. His career first went well as capital-gains taxes on a rising and churning stock market poured ever more money into California's treasury - which the legislature happily spent. But the first thing that went wrong was a major energy crisis that hit California, delivered by the energy companies who wrote deregulation legislation and then gamed the system to make billions of dollars from it.

Brownouts and soaring energy prices infuriated the voters. Then, in 2000, as the dot-com industry cratered - its epicenter in California - and the stock market collapsed, the state's revenues from capital gains disappeared. Suddenly, not only the state but the nation were in a recession. California has done no better, but certainly no worse, than most of the rest of the country despite the fact that it had lost a major industry in information technology as a result of the collapse of the dot-com bubble. The national treasury, under the largely inept economic management of the Republican administration of President George W Bush, went from a fiscal surplus to a US$400 billion deficit that is growing larger daily, although Bush has managed to remain largely unscathed because of his position as warrior-in-chief in the "war on terror".

Gray Davis, throttlebottom that he is, seemed unable to act. People Power was on the march. For the first time since Hiram Johnson thought of it in 1911, the perpetually furious voters actually signed enough petitions to demand that Davis, a Democrat, be recalled from office. The supposition in 1911 and for the years thereafter was that the recall was there to rid the government of thieves and crooks. Davis is merely a relative incompetent, saddled with a $38 billion budget shortfall that is largely the result of the lackluster national economy, and a squabbling legislature that refuses to do anything about it.

Nonetheless, a San Diego Republican congressman named Darrel Issa, who had made his fortune off an alarm system that warns presumed hoodlums away from cars in his own recorded voice, paid more than $1 million for paid signature-gatherers to round up the names.

Under the provisions of the recall process, the vote to recall the governor is made on the same day the voters choose his successor. Californians would thus be confronted with a first choice - whether or not to recall - and a second choice - whom to replace him.

A free-for-all ensued, with 135 of California's best sun-addled citizens lining up to pay the $3,500 and deliver the 65 signatures that qualified them to replace Davis. Prominent among them was Issa, who broke into tears and quit later when the Terminator himself, Arnold Schwarzenegger, made his announcement for office - from a chair next to Jay Leno, one of America's most prominent talk-show hosts.

Also among the candidates is Cruz Bustamante, the lieutenant-governor and equivalent of a kind of powerless vice governor, who loathes Davis. Bustamante, who physically resembles and mostly acts like a concierge at a four-star hotel, was put in the uncomfortable position of saying out of party loyalty that the voters should vote against recalling Davis, but if they did vote for the recall, they should vote for Bustamante. In the later stages of the campaign, he started saying they should just vote for Bustamante.

In a political spat with Bustamante a few years ago, Davis, as governor, took away the lieutenant-governor's parking spot in the garage under the State Capitol. Ultimately, after some uproar, the parking spot was restored. But presumably, if Davis somehow manages against extremely tall odds to defeat Schwarzenegger, Bustamante, who will retain office, will be operating out of his car - outside the capitol.

In the past few days, Schwarzenegger has begun to pull away from Davis, Bustamante and all of the other candidates. Unless there is a sea change in voter attitudes, it appears that People Power will make the actor the governor of California, much the same way enthralled voters made another muscleman, the television wrestler Jesse Ventura, the governor of the state of Minnesota.

As did Ventura, Schwarzenegger has vowed to come to Sacramento to clean house and knock heads. Ventura, his popularity at record lows and his legislative record a political travesty, ultimately gave up and went back to showbiz. The smart money is that for Schwarzenegger as well, cleaning house and knocking heads in the ornate State Capitol is going to be a lot harder than the Terminator found it to be in his movies. And People Power is going to be back on the road.

Bustamante said in a nationally televised debate between the top five candidates last month, "I think the recall is bad for democracy, bad for our state. I know people right now who are organizing to recall our next governor if it's a Republican. I think that is a bad way of doing politics, a perpetual way of politics."

So there are already people planning for Recall II. And if you hear anybody shout the equivalent of "Bayan Ko!" ("Our country," the EDSA rallying cry for millions in 1986), on, say, Market Street in San Francisco or Wilshire Boulevard in Los Angeles, look around. Things may be picking up.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Oct 4, 2003



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